2438 N Goodlet Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent investment property!
Key facts
- Fenced in backyard
- Parking pad
- Private retreat
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking (no garage)
- Utilities: Community sewer; Private water; Municipal solid waste service
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Property listed as fixer
- Construction: Vinyl siding and wood siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link full fence; City lot with mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total — two on the main level and one on the upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level, one on the upper level); Primary bathroom has a full shower stall
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom other on main; Utility room
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.88%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,586
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -32.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2438 N Goodlet Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 915 (-10%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $71 | 84 |
| 2345 N Centennial St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,015 (+0%) | 16mo | $115,000 | $113 | 76 |
| 2370 N Moreland Ave | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 920 (-9%) | 8mo | $166,000 | $180 | 75 |
| 3201 W 22nd St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 995 (-2%) | 8mo | $183,500 | $184 | 63 |
| 2464 Sharon Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-7%) | 10mo | $163,500 | $175 | 60 |
| 2250 N Goodlet Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-8%) | 11mo | $85,000 | $92 | 59 |
| 2249 N Centennial St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,125 (+11%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $164 | 57 |
| 2448 Winfield Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-7%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $155 | 56 |
| 2507 Winfield Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (+14%) | 6mo | $156,000 | $135 | 51 |
| 1816 N Moreland Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 984 (-3%) | 13mo | $177,000 | $180 | 48 |
| 2055 N Somerset Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (+9%) | 12mo | $173,000 | $157 | 46 |
| 2221 N Moreland Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (+15%) | 17mo | $200,000 | $172 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $5,336
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $26,605
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46222
- Home prices YoY
- -16.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,265 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$251 /mo · $3,008/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $296
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $341 | -5% $319 | +0% $296 | +5% $273 | +10% $251 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $196 | -5% $246 | +0% $296 | +5% $346 | +10% $396 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $336 | -0.5pp $316 | base $296 | +0.5pp $275 | +1.0pp $254 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2418 N Centennial St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,099 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2365 N Goodlet Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,099 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3621 Lawnview Ln Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1012 | $1,162 | $1.15 | 2d | 13 | 0.37mi |
| 2825 N Kessler Boulevard Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1228 | $1,701 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2602 Mansion Dr Indianapolis, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,675 | $0.91 | 8d | 6 | 0.52mi |
| 2011 N Kessler Boulevard Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,375 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2930 Lafayette Rd Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 642 | $1,108 | $1.72 | 2d | 5 | 0.57mi |
| 2106 Cold Spring Rd Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 940 | $1,189 | $1.26 | 3d | 4 | 0.65mi |
| 3215 N Alton Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $1,579 | $1.63 | 3d | 16 | 0.87mi |
| 3215 N Alton Ave Unit 33P3327D Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,379 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3215 N Alton Ave Unit 33P3327A Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,339 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3215 N Alton Ave Unit 3326C Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,109 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3215 N Alton Ave Unit 32_3323C Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,579 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3215 N Alton Ave Unit 33P3327C Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,369 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3215 N Alton Ave Unit 3303A Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,299 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3215 N Alton Ave Unit 33S3323B Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,109 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2907 Corvallis Cres Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2907 Corvallis Cres Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2 Philip Ct Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2701 W 17th St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $899 | $1.11 | 8d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1621 N Livingston Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1409 N Warman Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3141 Danbury Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 11d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4014 Alberta St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,195 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1155 N Holmes Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $2,800 | $2.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1519 W 28th St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $895 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3232 Normandy Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 20d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1415 W Pruitt St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1001 | $1,249 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2248 N Harding St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $899 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3014 W 10th St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $749 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3014 W 10th St Unit 1 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $749 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3120 Nobscot Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $1,370 | $1.34 | 2d | 11 | 1.44mi |
| 1367 W Pruitt St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3451 Sherburne Ln Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,386 | $1.63 | 3d | 38 | 1.48mi |
| 3060 Midvale Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 700-char remark
-
2026-05-04$79,900 Active 700-char remark
-
2017-10-27soldstatus $11,068 Sold 30-char remark
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
Excellent investment property!
-
2017-07-27status Pending 30-char remark
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
Excellent investment property!
-
2017-07-18price $34,900 30-char remark
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
Excellent investment property!
-
2017-05-08price $39,900 30-char remark
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
Excellent investment property!
-
2017-04-07$42,500 Active 30-char remark
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
Excellent investment property!
-
2017-03-18historical
-
2017-02-03price $42,500
-
2016-12-01price $43,000
-
2016-11-03$43,500 Active
-
2006-05-22soldstatus $31,500
-
2005-11-10$34,900
-
2005-09-22historical
-
2005-03-21$45,000
-
2002-01-29soldstatus $51,870
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,008 · $251/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,008 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,174
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$3,008
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,214
- − Management
- −$1,214
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,539
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$609
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,943/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,887
- Household income
- $50,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1750.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.47%
- Current HPI
- 375.8479
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.46%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+25.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listed $79,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-27 Sold (MLS) $11,068 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-27 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-18 Price Changed $34,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-08 Price Changed $39,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-07 Listed $42,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-18 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-03 Price Changed $42,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-01 Price Changed $43,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-03 Listed $43,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-22 Sold (MLS) $31,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-10 Listed $34,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-22 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-03-21 Listed $45,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $51,870 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,008 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…