8590 W Thomas Rd · Benona, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
**Home to be moved off land** This well-maintained stick-built ranch-style home offers nearly 1,400 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and 1.5 updated baths. Home is being sold without land and must be placed on property owned by the buyer. A mover is already arranged, making this a rare opportunity to secure a full-size home with minimal hassle. Step inside from the inviting front porch into a bright living room featuring rich hardwood floors, natural wood trim, a stylish stacked stone fireplace, and a large picture window that fills the space with natural light. The updated kitchen offers white soft-close cabinetry, tiled backsplash, and a convenient snack bar overlooking the dining area. The main floor includes laundry, four spacious bedrooms, and 1.5 baths, providing a functional layout with easy single-level living. Opportunities like this are hard to find--schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Inviting front porch
- Rich hardwood floors
- Large picture window
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Shelby Public Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #433 of 540 in MI (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Oceana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oceana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.39%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,911
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -58.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4743 S Scenic Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+10%) | 16mo | $280,100 | $187 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $15,396
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $53,814
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49455
- Home prices YoY
- -27.0%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,393 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $556/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $494
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $550 | -5% $522 | +0% $494 | +5% $466 | +10% $438 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $384 | -5% $439 | +0% $494 | +5% $549 | +10% $604 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $544 | -0.5pp $519 | base $494 | +0.5pp $468 | +1.0pp $442 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-17pricedays on market $99,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-03-27$109,000 Active 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (950 chars)
* * Home to be moved off land * * This well-maintained stick-built ranch-style home offers nearly 1,400 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and 1.5 updated baths. Home is being sold without land and must be placed on property owned by the buyer. A mover is already arranged, making this a rare opportunity to secure a full-size home with minimal hassle. Step inside from the inviting front porch into a bright living room featuring rich hardwood floors, natural wood trim, a stylish stacked stone fireplace, and a large picture window that fills the space with natural light. The updated kitchen offers white soft-close cabinetry, tiled backsplash, and a convenient snack bar overlooking the dining area. The main floor includes laundry, four spacious bedrooms, and 1.5 baths, providing a functional layout with easy single-level living. Opportunities like this are hard to find--schedule your showing today.
-
2026-03-27$109,000 Active 950-char remark
Show marketing remark (950 chars)
* * Home to be moved off land * * This well-maintained stick-built ranch-style home offers nearly 1,400 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and 1.5 updated baths. Home is being sold without land and must be placed on property owned by the buyer. A mover is already arranged, making this a rare opportunity to secure a full-size home with minimal hassle. Step inside from the inviting front porch into a bright living room featuring rich hardwood floors, natural wood trim, a stylish stacked stone fireplace, and a large picture window that fills the space with natural light. The updated kitchen offers white soft-close cabinetry, tiled backsplash, and a convenient snack bar overlooking the dining area. The main floor includes laundry, four spacious bedrooms, and 1.5 baths, providing a functional layout with easy single-level living. Opportunities like this are hard to find--schedule your showing today.
-
2026-03-27$109,000 Active
Show marketing remark (950 chars)
* * Home to be moved off land * * This well-maintained stick-built ranch-style home offers nearly 1,400 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and 1.5 updated baths. Home is being sold without land and must be placed on property owned by the buyer. A mover is already arranged, making this a rare opportunity to secure a full-size home with minimal hassle. Step inside from the inviting front porch into a bright living room featuring rich hardwood floors, natural wood trim, a stylish stacked stone fireplace, and a large picture window that fills the space with natural light. The updated kitchen offers white soft-close cabinetry, tiled backsplash, and a convenient snack bar overlooking the dining area. The main floor includes laundry, four spacious bedrooms, and 1.5 baths, providing a functional layout with easy single-level living. Opportunities like this are hard to find--schedule your showing today.
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2017-09-01soldstatus $148,000
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2017-09-01soldstatus $148,000 Sold
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2017-09-01soldstatus $148,000
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2017-07-28status Pending
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2017-07-23$149,900 Active
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2017-07-20$149,900
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2012-05-29soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $556 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,040 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$484/yr (+$40/mo · 87.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$556
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,338
- − Management
- −$1,338
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $4,569
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,097
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,832/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shelby Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2631320
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,759
- Composite
- 20.8/100
- National rank
- #8509
- State rank
- #433 of 540 in MI
Livability — Benona
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,272
Population outlook (Oceana County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,141 people
- By 2030
- 24,324 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 22,484 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 20,561 · -18.2%
- By 2075
- 16,280 · -35.2%
- By 2100
- 11,376 · -54.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 11% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Romanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 24%
Political lean MEDSL · Oceana
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+27.3 2012: R+10.3 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.16%
- Current HPI
- 208.6615
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+489.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Listed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $109,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2017-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
- 2017-09-01 Sold (MLS) $148,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2017-09-01 Sold (MLS) $148,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-07-28 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2017-07-23 Listed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2017-07-20 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2012-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $556 · -55.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…