717 Murphy Ct · Linden, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tri-Level Corner-Lot Home with Flexible Living Space Welcome to this inviting tri-level home ideally situated on a desirable corner lot. Designed for everyday comfort and easy entertaining, the multi-level layout offers distinct living areas and the flexibility to create a home office, playroom, or additional lounge space. Enjoy abundant natural light, convenient flow between levels, and extra outdoor breathing room that comes with corner-lot living, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or simply relaxing at home. A great opportunity for buyers seeking space, functionality, and a location that stands out. Seller offering $1000 carpet allowance to buyers at closing. All appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
Key facts
- Corner lot
- 0.24 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One main level above grade
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.24 acres (92 x 144)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Finished basement; 6 total rooms; Ground-level entry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $724 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 1.8% in Linden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#170 in MI, #4,456 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Linden Community Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #119 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $99k; list at $230k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.50%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $319,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717 Murphy Ct | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,700 (0%) | 1mo | $237,000 | $139 | 99 |
| 712 Bush St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (-12%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $170 | 69 |
| 185 Laura Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,805 (+6%) | 1mo | $339,900 | $188 | 68 |
| 902 N Bridge St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (-13%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $136 | 63 |
| 185 Laura Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,805 (+6%) | 8mo | $305,000 | $169 | 62 |
| 417 E Rolston Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,780 (+5%) | 8mo | $424,900 | $239 | 62 |
| 802 Tickner St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,642 (-3%) | 7mo | $274,900 | $167 | 56 |
| 231 Kathy Cir | 0.32mi | 3/3.0 | 1,908 (+12%) | 1mo | $333,000 | $175 | 55 |
| 313 Maple Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (-10%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $207 | 51 |
| 245 Andrea Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-15%) | 8mo | $322,500 | $222 | 50 |
| 1565 W Rolston Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,588 (-7%) | 2mo | $320,500 | $202 | 48 |
| 301 Lindenwood Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (-11%) | 0mo | $315,000 | $207 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $8,836
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $66,999
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48451
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,795 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,182/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$587
- Net cashflow
- $724
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 334 Saddlebrook Dr Linden, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2003 | $2,795 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 720-char remark
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Tri-Level Corner-Lot Home with Flexible Living Space Welcome to this inviting tri-level home ideally situated on a desirable corner lot. Designed for everyday comfort and easy entertaining, the multi-level layout offers distinct living areas and the flexibility to create a home office, playroom, or additional lounge space. Enjoy abundant natural light, convenient flow between levels, and extra outdoor breathing room that comes with corner-lot living, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or simply relaxing at home. A great opportunity for buyers seeking space, functionality, and a location that stands out. Seller offering $1000 carpet allowance to buyers at closing. All appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
-
2026-05-06status Pending
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Tri-Level Corner-Lot Home with Flexible Living Space Welcome to this inviting tri-level home ideally situated on a desirable corner lot. Designed for everyday comfort and easy entertaining, the multi-level layout offers distinct living areas and the flexibility to create a home office, playroom, or additional lounge space. Enjoy abundant natural light, convenient flow between levels, and extra outdoor breathing room that comes with corner-lot living, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or simply relaxing at home. A great opportunity for buyers seeking space, functionality, and a location that stands out. Seller offering $1000 carpet allowance to buyers at closing. All appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
-
2026-05-04$230,000 Active 720-char remark
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Tri-Level Corner-Lot Home with Flexible Living Space Welcome to this inviting tri-level home ideally situated on a desirable corner lot. Designed for everyday comfort and easy entertaining, the multi-level layout offers distinct living areas and the flexibility to create a home office, playroom, or additional lounge space. Enjoy abundant natural light, convenient flow between levels, and extra outdoor breathing room that comes with corner-lot living, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or simply relaxing at home. A great opportunity for buyers seeking space, functionality, and a location that stands out. Seller offering $1000 carpet allowance to buyers at closing. All appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
-
2026-05-04$230,000 Active
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Tri-Level Corner-Lot Home with Flexible Living Space Welcome to this inviting tri-level home ideally situated on a desirable corner lot. Designed for everyday comfort and easy entertaining, the multi-level layout offers distinct living areas and the flexibility to create a home office, playroom, or additional lounge space. Enjoy abundant natural light, convenient flow between levels, and extra outdoor breathing room that comes with corner-lot living, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or simply relaxing at home. A great opportunity for buyers seeking space, functionality, and a location that stands out. Seller offering $1000 carpet allowance to buyers at closing. All appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
-
2012-06-29soldstatus $99,000
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2012-05-30soldstatus $99,000 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Fresh, New and Updated! 3 bedroom Tri-level in City of Linden . Kitchen with ceramic tile, granite counter tops & new cabinets! New paint and carpeting and more! 2-car attached garage. Living room and family room, Office could be 4th Bedroom! Walking distance to town, parks and river. NOT a short sale. Private owned. Corner Lot! Great Sub! Rural Developement Mortgage Area!
-
2012-05-30soldstatus $99,000
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Fresh, New and Updated! 3 bedroom Tri-level in City of Linden . Kitchen with ceramic tile, granite counter tops & new cabinets! New paint and carpeting and more! 2-car attached garage. Living room and family room, Office could be 4th Bedroom! Walking distance to town, parks and river. NOT a short sale. Private owned. Corner Lot! Great Sub! Rural Developement Mortgage Area!
-
2012-04-22historical 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Fresh, New and Updated! 3 bedroom Tri-level in City of Linden . Kitchen with ceramic tile, granite counter tops & new cabinets! New paint and carpeting and more! 2-car attached garage. Living room and family room, Office could be 4th Bedroom! Walking distance to town, parks and river. NOT a short sale. Private owned. Corner Lot! Great Sub! Rural Developement Mortgage Area!
-
2012-04-22historical
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Fresh, New and Updated! 3 bedroom Tri-level in City of Linden . Kitchen with ceramic tile, granite counter tops & new cabinets! New paint and carpeting and more! 2-car attached garage. Living room and family room, Office could be 4th Bedroom! Walking distance to town, parks and river. NOT a short sale. Private owned. Corner Lot! Great Sub! Rural Developement Mortgage Area!
-
2012-03-08$99,900 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Fresh, New and Updated! 3 bedroom Tri-level in City of Linden . Kitchen with ceramic tile, granite counter tops & new cabinets! New paint and carpeting and more! 2-car attached garage. Living room and family room, Office could be 4th Bedroom! Walking distance to town, parks and river. NOT a short sale. Private owned. Corner Lot! Great Sub! Rural Developement Mortgage Area!
-
2012-03-08$99,900
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Fresh, New and Updated! 3 bedroom Tri-level in City of Linden . Kitchen with ceramic tile, granite counter tops & new cabinets! New paint and carpeting and more! 2-car attached garage. Living room and family room, Office could be 4th Bedroom! Walking distance to town, parks and river. NOT a short sale. Private owned. Corner Lot! Great Sub! Rural Developement Mortgage Area!
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2012-02-16soldstatus $48,000
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2012-01-05soldstatus $48,000
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2012-01-05soldstatus $48,000
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2011-12-13historical
-
2011-09-19$64,900
-
2011-09-19$64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,182 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,862 · $238/mo
- Expected delta
- +$680/yr (+$57/mo · 31.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,540
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$2,182
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,683
- − Management
- −$2,683
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable income
- $5,267
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,264
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,427/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Linden Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2621690
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,129
- Composite
- 41.24/100
- National rank
- #3532
- State rank
- #119 of 540 in MI
Livability — Linden
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #4456
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Linden, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,993
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -218.03%
- Current HPI
- 260.4332
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+254.4% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Listed $230,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Listed $230,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 2012-05-30 Sold (MLS) $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-05-30 Sold (MLS) $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2012-04-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2012-03-08 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-03-08 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2012-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2012-01-05 Sold (MLS) $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-01-05 Sold (MLS) $48,000 REALCOMP
- 2011-12-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-09-19 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-09-19 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,182 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…