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11186 Renwick
D+ Composite 46.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0

$399,000

11186 Renwick · Adelanto, CA 92301
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,164 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 2006 7,620 sqft lot Est $560k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great home on private culdesac in quiet neighborhood. Come and check this one out 5 bedrooms with 3 full baths, this one is a must see!! Tiled kitchen counter tops, floor to ceiling pantry, newer (2020) stainless steel LG appliances. and refrigerator stays. Large island which opens up to the family room for all of those wonderful family gatherings. Beautiful fireplace that has never been used, vaulted ceilings, newer water heater and front door keyless entry pad. Spacious master bedroom with walk in closet. En suite bath offers dual sinks, separate stall shower and jetted jacuzzi tub. Inside laundry with storage and a finished three car garage. Low maintenance front landscapng and nice concrete pad in backyard. Just minutes from shopping and schools and very commuter friendly. This one will not last long, make your appt to preview today!!

Key facts

  • 7,620 sq ft lot
  • 6 garage spots
  • Built 2006

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Urban community setting

Exterior

  • Parking: Six garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: House; One story; Entry on the front of the home; No accessory dwelling unit
  • Construction: Year built information from public records
  • Exterior features: No pool; Lot classified as 0–1 unit per acre

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Five bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (central furnace); Central cooling
  • Interior features: Single-story home; Front door entry; All bedrooms located on the main level; Main level has 2 bathrooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area located in the garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-528 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (23.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $282k (29.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $282k (29.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 47/100 on livability (#1,250 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Victor Valley Union High (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #407 of 517 in CA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 615 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,822/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 1345% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 2→6/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $282,165 (29.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.70%
Cash-on-cash
-5.67%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$560,476
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15158 Biltmore St 0.12mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,196 (+2%) 3mo $425,000 $194 82
15173 Hill Way 0.39mi 5/3.0 2,276 (+5%) 1mo $400,000 $176 73
11522 Mojave Dr 0.44mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,178 (+1%) 4mo $203,000 $93 66
15192 Amber Way 0.57mi 5/3.0 2,010 (-7%) 3mo $390,000 $194 59
10729 Alton Ct 0.59mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,010 (-7%) 3mo $420,000 $209 53
14966 Decarlo Dr 0.44mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,874 (-13%) 6mo $502,260 $268 47
14961 Decarlo Dr 0.43mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,874 (-13%) 7mo $503,415 $269 47
14999 Coppola St 0.43mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,874 (-13%) 8mo $485,052 $259 46
14984 Coppola St 0.46mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,874 (-13%) 10mo $491,260 $262 43
10967 Milano Way 0.47mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,874 (-13%) 11mo $498,537 $266 42
14959 Coppola St 0.50mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,874 (-13%) 10mo $493,359 $263 41
11527 Crest 0.74mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,913 (-12%) 1mo $450,000 $235 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$188,560
Equity at exit
$359,451
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
6.30×
Total profit
$592,351
Equity at exit
$775,169

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92301

Home prices YoY
10.0%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
615
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,822 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax from tax record
$499 /mo · $5,983/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$593
Net cashflow
$-528

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,490
Max offer price $305,701
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,750
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14914 Binford Ave Adelanto, CA 4.0 2.0 1468 $2,400 $1.63 10d 1 0.90mi
11860 Lupin Rd Adelanto, CA 4.0 2.0 1902 $2,350 $1.24 19d 1 0.95mi
14245 Tierra del Sur St Adelanto, CA 4.0 3.0 2100 $3,200 $1.52 1d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $399,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $399,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $399,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $399,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $399,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    listed $399,000 Active
  15. 2024-01-31
    soldstatus $440,000 Closed Sale 850-char remark
    Show marketing remark (850 chars)

    Great home on private culdesac in quiet neighborhood. Come and check this one out 5 bedrooms with 3 full baths, this one is a must see!! Tiled kitchen counter tops, floor to ceiling pantry, newer (2020) stainless steel LG appliances. and refrigerator stays. Large island which opens up to the family room for all of those wonderful family gatherings. Beautiful fireplace that has never been used, vaulted ceilings, newer water heater and front door keyless entry pad. Spacious master bedroom with walk in closet. En suite bath offers dual sinks, separate stall shower and jetted jacuzzi tub. Inside laundry with storage and a finished three car garage. Low maintenance front landscapng and nice concrete pad in backyard. Just minutes from shopping and schools and very commuter friendly. This one will not last long, make your appt to preview today!!

  16. 2024-01-31
    soldstatus $440,000
    Show marketing remark (850 chars)

    Great home on private culdesac in quiet neighborhood. Come and check this one out 5 bedrooms with 3 full baths, this one is a must see!! Tiled kitchen counter tops, floor to ceiling pantry, newer (2020) stainless steel LG appliances. and refrigerator stays. Large island which opens up to the family room for all of those wonderful family gatherings. Beautiful fireplace that has never been used, vaulted ceilings, newer water heater and front door keyless entry pad. Spacious master bedroom with walk in closet. En suite bath offers dual sinks, separate stall shower and jetted jacuzzi tub. Inside laundry with storage and a finished three car garage. Low maintenance front landscapng and nice concrete pad in backyard. Just minutes from shopping and schools and very commuter friendly. This one will not last long, make your appt to preview today!!

  17. 2024-01-04
    status Pending Sale 850-char remark
    Show marketing remark (850 chars)

    Great home on private culdesac in quiet neighborhood. Come and check this one out 5 bedrooms with 3 full baths, this one is a must see!! Tiled kitchen counter tops, floor to ceiling pantry, newer (2020) stainless steel LG appliances. and refrigerator stays. Large island which opens up to the family room for all of those wonderful family gatherings. Beautiful fireplace that has never been used, vaulted ceilings, newer water heater and front door keyless entry pad. Spacious master bedroom with walk in closet. En suite bath offers dual sinks, separate stall shower and jetted jacuzzi tub. Inside laundry with storage and a finished three car garage. Low maintenance front landscapng and nice concrete pad in backyard. Just minutes from shopping and schools and very commuter friendly. This one will not last long, make your appt to preview today!!

  18. 2023-12-29
    historical Active Under Contract 850-char remark
    Show marketing remark (850 chars)

    Great home on private culdesac in quiet neighborhood. Come and check this one out 5 bedrooms with 3 full baths, this one is a must see!! Tiled kitchen counter tops, floor to ceiling pantry, newer (2020) stainless steel LG appliances. and refrigerator stays. Large island which opens up to the family room for all of those wonderful family gatherings. Beautiful fireplace that has never been used, vaulted ceilings, newer water heater and front door keyless entry pad. Spacious master bedroom with walk in closet. En suite bath offers dual sinks, separate stall shower and jetted jacuzzi tub. Inside laundry with storage and a finished three car garage. Low maintenance front landscapng and nice concrete pad in backyard. Just minutes from shopping and schools and very commuter friendly. This one will not last long, make your appt to preview today!!

  19. 2023-12-12
    listed $429,900 Active 850-char remark
    Show marketing remark (850 chars)

    Great home on private culdesac in quiet neighborhood. Come and check this one out 5 bedrooms with 3 full baths, this one is a must see!! Tiled kitchen counter tops, floor to ceiling pantry, newer (2020) stainless steel LG appliances. and refrigerator stays. Large island which opens up to the family room for all of those wonderful family gatherings. Beautiful fireplace that has never been used, vaulted ceilings, newer water heater and front door keyless entry pad. Spacious master bedroom with walk in closet. En suite bath offers dual sinks, separate stall shower and jetted jacuzzi tub. Inside laundry with storage and a finished three car garage. Low maintenance front landscapng and nice concrete pad in backyard. Just minutes from shopping and schools and very commuter friendly. This one will not last long, make your appt to preview today!!

  20. 2023-12-09
    historical
  21. 2023-08-08
    listed $450,000 Active
  22. 2008-04-26
    historical
  23. 2008-04-05
    price $219,990
  24. 2008-03-03
    price $225,000
  25. 2008-02-25
    price $219,990
  26. 2008-01-16
    price $239,990
  27. 2007-11-07
    price $249,990
  28. 2007-10-30
    listed $269,990

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,983 · $499/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,983 · $499/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 2 d/yr ≥99°F today · 6 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 23 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,860
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$5,983
− Insurance
−$1,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,709
− Management
−$2,709
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable loss
−$13,493
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,238
After-tax cash flow
$-3,099/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Victor Valley Union High
NCES district ID
0636972
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$45,112
Composite
21.6/100
National rank
#8296
State rank
#407 of 517 in CA

Livability — Adelanto

Score
47/100
State rank
#1250
US rank
#26338

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Adelanto, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
38,577
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
38,577
Household income
$68,676
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1345.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 34% Black 15% White 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 58%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 46%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 41.09%
Current HPI
453.6071
Rent YoY
▲ 4.68%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+47.8% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $399,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
  • 2024-01-31 Sold (MLS) $440,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-01-04 Pending CRMLS
  • 2023-12-29 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2023-12-12 Listed $429,900 CRMLS
  • 2023-12-09 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2023-08-08 Listed $450,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-04-26 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-04-05 Price Changed $219,990 CRMLS
  • 2008-03-03 Price Changed $225,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-02-25 Price Changed $219,990 CRMLS
  • 2008-01-16 Price Changed $239,990 CRMLS
  • 2007-11-07 Price Changed $249,990 CRMLS
  • 2007-10-30 Listed $269,990 CRMLS

Property tax history

+14.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,983 · +382.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…