6110 Lyon Rd · Spring Hill, FL 34606

$235,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,346 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market

Built 2003 10,845 sqft lot Est $273k · 14% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +13.8/15.0
• Cash flow +12.2/30.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• DSCR +3.6/10.0
• 1% rule +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

New Drainfield Installed. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,346 square feet of comfortable living space, ideally situated on just under a quarter-acre lot in the heart of Spring Hill, Florida. The functional floor plan provides a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, and well-proportioned bedrooms designed for everyday comfort. The expansive lot offers plenty of room for outdoor living, entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements such as a pool or outdoor entertaining area. With no shortage of yard space, this property provides a rare combination of privacy and flexibility while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or investing, this home presents an excellent opportunity to enjoy Florida living with space to grow in an established Spring Hill neighborhood.

Key facts

• Expansive lot
• Ample cabinetry
• Practical kitchen

Tags

• FUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLAN
• PRACTICAL KITCHEN
• AMPLE CABINETRY
• EXPANSIVE LOT
• OUTDOOR LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Zoning: PDP; Total living area reported as 1,346 sq ft (public records); Building area reported as 1,838 sq ft (public records)
• HOA & community: No association indicated

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Northeast facing
• Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.2-acre lot
• Exterior features: Screened patio/porch; Exterior lighting; Asphalt road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Laminate; Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Split bedroom floor plan; Walk-in closets
• Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-560/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (3.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (15.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $199k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.4% in Spring Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#738 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
• Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 8 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $89k; list at $235k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $199,313 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.85% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.05%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.85%
• DSCR: 0.96
• GRM: 9.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $273,238
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
6110 Lyon Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,346 (0%)	0mo	$235,000	$175	100
6093 Deltona Blvd	0.09mi	3/2.0	1,268 (-6%)	6mo	$301,000	$237	81
6141 Freeport Dr	0.13mi	3/2.0	1,223 (-9%)	1mo	$220,000	$180	78
6098 Shannon Ave	0.06mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,217 (-10%)	3mo	$239,000	$196	74
6094 Shiprock Ave	0.52mi	3/2.0	1,324 (-2%)	1mo	$275,000	$208	72
6354 Freeport Dr	0.49mi	3/2.0	1,298 (-4%)	5mo	$250,000	$193	67
5283 Kirkwood Ave	0.50mi	3/2.0	1,452 (+8%)	2mo	$295,000	$203	62
5509 Moongate Rd	0.32mi	3/2.0	1,459 (+8%)	13mo	$244,000	$167	60
5215 Hope Ln	0.54mi	3/2.0	1,420 (+6%)	13mo	$319,900	$225	55
5373 Frost Rd	0.58mi	3/2.0	1,427 (+6%)	10mo	$280,000	$196	54
6205 Dorset Rd	0.33mi	3/2.0	1,536 (+14%)	14mo	$369,000	$240	50
6318 Shalimar Ave	0.66mi	3/2.0	1,486 (+10%)	4mo	$304,000	$205	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -21.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.29×
• Total profit: $-46,865
• Equity at exit: $35,039

10-year hold

• IRR: -23.6%
• Equity multiple: -0.02×
• Total profit: $-67,095
• Equity at exit: $20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34606

• Home prices YoY: -24.7%
• Rents YoY: -0.9%
• Active inventory: 386
• Price-to-rent: 9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,993 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,232
• Tax from tax record: −$291 /mo · $3,491/yr
• Insurance: −$98
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$419
• Net cashflow: $-47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,052

Max offer price $226,756

Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $58,750
• Closing costs: $7,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 13 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5451 Moongate Rd Spring Hill, FL	3.0	2.0	1262	$1,790	$1.42	24d	1	0.43mi
10117 Elgin Blvd Spring Hill, FL	4.0	2.0	1400	$1,995	$1.43	5d	1	0.47mi
9131 Swiss Rd Spring Hill, FL	3.0	2.0	1673	$2,000	$1.20	24d	1	0.67mi
9211 Northcliffe Blvd Spring Hill, FL	3.0	2.0	1641	$3,200	$1.95	4d	1	0.93mi
5100 Lydia Ct Spring Hill, FL	3.0	2.0	1826	$1,925	$1.05	24d	1	1.04mi
9156 Century Dr Spring Hill, FL	2.0	2.0	1170	$1,500	$1.28	5d	1	1.25mi
9499 Hayes St Spring Hill, FL	3.0	3.0	1280	$1,695	$1.32	22d	1	1.29mi
4514 Cynthia Ln Spring Hill, FL	2.0	2.0	1280	$1,550	$1.21	18d	1	1.32mi
4470 Cynthia Ln Spring Hill, FL	2.0	1.0	1016	$1,400	$1.38	20d	1	1.40mi
7251 Mc Ginnes Ct Weeki Wachee, FL	2.0	2.0	1360	$1,695	$1.25	5d	1	1.44mi
7575 St Andrews Blvd Weeki Wachee, FL	3.0	2.0	1515	$2,199	$1.45	24d	1	1.45mi
4335 Pallas Ave Spring Hill, FL	3.0	2.0	1248	$1,685	$1.35	24d	1	1.45mi
7569 Heather Walk Dr Weeki Wachee, FL	2.0	2.0	1211	$1,595	$1.32	18d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 26 events

1. 2026-05-08
   status Pending 943-char remark

   Show marketing remark (943 chars)

   New Drainfield Installed. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,346 square feet of comfortable living space, ideally situated on just under a quarter-acre lot in the heart of Spring Hill, Florida. The functional floor plan provides a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, and well-proportioned bedrooms designed for everyday comfort. The expansive lot offers plenty of room for outdoor living, entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements such as a pool or outdoor entertaining area. With no shortage of yard space, this property provides a rare combination of privacy and flexibility while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or investing, this home presents an excellent opportunity to enjoy Florida living with space to grow in an established Spring Hill neighborhood.

2. 2026-05-08
   status Pending

   Show marketing remark (943 chars)

   New Drainfield Installed. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,346 square feet of comfortable living space, ideally situated on just under a quarter-acre lot in the heart of Spring Hill, Florida. The functional floor plan provides a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, and well-proportioned bedrooms designed for everyday comfort. The expansive lot offers plenty of room for outdoor living, entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements such as a pool or outdoor entertaining area. With no shortage of yard space, this property provides a rare combination of privacy and flexibility while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or investing, this home presents an excellent opportunity to enjoy Florida living with space to grow in an established Spring Hill neighborhood.

3. 2026-05-04
   price $235,000 943-char remark

   Show marketing remark (943 chars)

   New Drainfield Installed. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,346 square feet of comfortable living space, ideally situated on just under a quarter-acre lot in the heart of Spring Hill, Florida. The functional floor plan provides a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, and well-proportioned bedrooms designed for everyday comfort. The expansive lot offers plenty of room for outdoor living, entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements such as a pool or outdoor entertaining area. With no shortage of yard space, this property provides a rare combination of privacy and flexibility while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or investing, this home presents an excellent opportunity to enjoy Florida living with space to grow in an established Spring Hill neighborhood.

4. 2026-05-04
   price $235,000

   Show marketing remark (943 chars)

   New Drainfield Installed. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,346 square feet of comfortable living space, ideally situated on just under a quarter-acre lot in the heart of Spring Hill, Florida. The functional floor plan provides a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, and well-proportioned bedrooms designed for everyday comfort. The expansive lot offers plenty of room for outdoor living, entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements such as a pool or outdoor entertaining area. With no shortage of yard space, this property provides a rare combination of privacy and flexibility while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or investing, this home presents an excellent opportunity to enjoy Florida living with space to grow in an established Spring Hill neighborhood.

5. 2026-05-01
   price $250,000 943-char remark

   Show marketing remark (943 chars)

   New Drainfield Installed. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,346 square feet of comfortable living space, ideally situated on just under a quarter-acre lot in the heart of Spring Hill, Florida. The functional floor plan provides a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, and well-proportioned bedrooms designed for everyday comfort. The expansive lot offers plenty of room for outdoor living, entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements such as a pool or outdoor entertaining area. With no shortage of yard space, this property provides a rare combination of privacy and flexibility while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or investing, this home presents an excellent opportunity to enjoy Florida living with space to grow in an established Spring Hill neighborhood.

6. 2026-05-01
   price $250,000

   Show marketing remark (943 chars)

   New Drainfield Installed. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,346 square feet of comfortable living space, ideally situated on just under a quarter-acre lot in the heart of Spring Hill, Florida. The functional floor plan provides a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, and well-proportioned bedrooms designed for everyday comfort. The expansive lot offers plenty of room for outdoor living, entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements such as a pool or outdoor entertaining area. With no shortage of yard space, this property provides a rare combination of privacy and flexibility while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or investing, this home presents an excellent opportunity to enjoy Florida living with space to grow in an established Spring Hill neighborhood.

7. 2026-02-27
   price $265,000 943-char remark

   Show marketing remark (943 chars)

   New Drainfield Installed. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,346 square feet of comfortable living space, ideally situated on just under a quarter-acre lot in the heart of Spring Hill, Florida. The functional floor plan provides a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, and well-proportioned bedrooms designed for everyday comfort. The expansive lot offers plenty of room for outdoor living, entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements such as a pool or outdoor entertaining area. With no shortage of yard space, this property provides a rare combination of privacy and flexibility while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or investing, this home presents an excellent opportunity to enjoy Florida living with space to grow in an established Spring Hill neighborhood.

8. 2026-02-27
   price $265,000

   Show marketing remark (943 chars)

   New Drainfield Installed. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,346 square feet of comfortable living space, ideally situated on just under a quarter-acre lot in the heart of Spring Hill, Florida. The functional floor plan provides a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, and well-proportioned bedrooms designed for everyday comfort. The expansive lot offers plenty of room for outdoor living, entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements such as a pool or outdoor entertaining area. With no shortage of yard space, this property provides a rare combination of privacy and flexibility while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or investing, this home presents an excellent opportunity to enjoy Florida living with space to grow in an established Spring Hill neighborhood.

9. 2026-01-22
   listed $275,000 Active 943-char remark

   Show marketing remark (943 chars)

   New Drainfield Installed. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,346 square feet of comfortable living space, ideally situated on just under a quarter-acre lot in the heart of Spring Hill, Florida. The functional floor plan provides a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, and well-proportioned bedrooms designed for everyday comfort. The expansive lot offers plenty of room for outdoor living, entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements such as a pool or outdoor entertaining area. With no shortage of yard space, this property provides a rare combination of privacy and flexibility while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or investing, this home presents an excellent opportunity to enjoy Florida living with space to grow in an established Spring Hill neighborhood.

10. 2026-01-22
    listed $275,000 Active

    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    New Drainfield Installed. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,346 square feet of comfortable living space, ideally situated on just under a quarter-acre lot in the heart of Spring Hill, Florida. The functional floor plan provides a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, and well-proportioned bedrooms designed for everyday comfort. The expansive lot offers plenty of room for outdoor living, entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements such as a pool or outdoor entertaining area. With no shortage of yard space, this property provides a rare combination of privacy and flexibility while still being conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, medical facilities, and major roadways. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or investing, this home presents an excellent opportunity to enjoy Florida living with space to grow in an established Spring Hill neighborhood.

11. 2021-02-09
    soldstatus $89,000
12. 2009-11-23
    soldstatus $89,000
13. 2009-11-20
    soldstatus $89,000 372-char remark

    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    BRAND NEW THROUGHOUT.....NEW CARPET....NEW TILE....NEW PAINT THROUGHOUT....10x12 new screen patio..YOU WILL BE AMAZED AT THE FEEL OF THIS HOME THAT IS ONLY 6 YEARS NEW.....PRICED BELOW BUILDERS COST.....NOT A FORECLOSURE OR SHORT SALE.....READY TO MOVE IN.....HURRY TIME IS TICKING FOR THE $8000. TAX CREDIT FOR FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS. BONUS **** HOME OWNERS WARRANTY ****

14. 2009-10-04
    listed $94,900 372-char remark

    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    BRAND NEW THROUGHOUT.....NEW CARPET....NEW TILE....NEW PAINT THROUGHOUT....10x12 new screen patio..YOU WILL BE AMAZED AT THE FEEL OF THIS HOME THAT IS ONLY 6 YEARS NEW.....PRICED BELOW BUILDERS COST.....NOT A FORECLOSURE OR SHORT SALE.....READY TO MOVE IN.....HURRY TIME IS TICKING FOR THE $8000. TAX CREDIT FOR FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS. BONUS **** HOME OWNERS WARRANTY ****

15. 2009-09-25
    soldstatus $65,000
16. 2009-06-01
    listed $71,900
17. 2009-03-31
    historical
18. 2008-09-08
    listed $100,000
19. 2008-07-31
    historical
20. 2008-01-11
    listed $139,900
21. 2006-08-03
    soldstatus $160,000
22. 2006-07-24
    soldstatus $160,000
23. 2006-05-19
    listed $164,900
24. 2003-03-18
    soldstatus $7,000
25. 2002-07-30
    listed $8,000
26. 1996-04-23
    soldstatus $10,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,491 · $291/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,491 · $291/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,918
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,164
• − Property taxes: −$3,491
• − Insurance: −$1,175
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,913
• − Management: −$1,913
• − Depreciation: −$6,836
• Taxable loss: −$4,576
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,098
• After-tax cash flow: $538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hernando
• NCES district ID: 1200810
• Math proficiency: 50% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $41,985
• Composite: 42.03/100
• National rank: #3329
• State rank: #38 of 73 in FL

Livability — Spring Hill

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #738
• US rank: #15937

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Spring Hill, FL
• County: Hernando County · 169,677 people
• City population: 83,915
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 28,668
• Household income: $57,337
• Rent vs Own: 23.2% rent · 76.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 733.0

Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 189,218 people
• By 2030: 194,367 · +2.7%
• By 2040: 203,398 · +7.5%
• By 2050: 209,589 · +10.8%
• By 2075: 218,452 · +15.4%
• By 2100: 205,923 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 13% Black 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Spanish 11% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hernando

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -98.11%
• Current HPI: 298.5201
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.89%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+2138.1% since first listed

26 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-08 Pending — HCAR
• 2026-05-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-04 Price Changed $235,000 HCAR
• 2026-05-04 Price Changed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-01 Price Changed $250,000 HCAR
• 2026-05-01 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-27 Price Changed $265,000 HCAR
• 2026-02-27 Price Changed $265,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-22 Listed $275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-22 Listed $275,000 HCAR
• 2021-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
• 2009-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
• 2009-11-20 Sold (MLS) $89,000 HCAR
• 2009-10-04 Listed $94,900 HCAR
• 2009-09-25 Sold (MLS) $65,000 HCAR
• 2009-06-01 Listed $71,900 HCAR
• 2009-03-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2008-09-08 Listed $100,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2008-07-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2008-01-11 Listed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
• 2006-07-24 Sold (MLS) $160,000 HCAR
• 2006-05-19 Listed $164,900 HCAR
• 2003-03-18 Sold (MLS) $7,000 HCAR
• 2002-07-30 Listed $8,000 HCAR
• 1996-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,491 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.