545 Johns Ave · Mansfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This house is a 3 br 1 bath. It also has a large size family room, dining room, and kitchen! Also has a basement with washer and dryer hookups. Included is two land properties that go with the house.
Key facts
- Kitchen
- Basement
- Dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($912 rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.2% in Mansfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#224 in OH, #3,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities D-.
- Mansfield City (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #590 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $3k; list at $60k implies a 1969% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.87%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $68,796
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 371 Bell St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-1%) | 6mo | $49,000 | $45 | 72 |
| 452 Daisy St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-3%) | 8mo | $103,000 | $97 | 70 |
| 587 Springmill St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,001 (-8%) | 11mo | $75,000 | $75 | 64 |
| 217 Crestline Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-3%) | 19mo | $63,000 | $60 | 60 |
| 497 Grant St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (+14%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $52 | 60 |
| 569 Mcpherson St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-3%) | 15mo | $125,000 | $118 | 54 |
| 444 W 6th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 994 (-9%) | 1mo | $79,000 | $79 | 53 |
| 195 N Benton St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,084 (-1%) | 14mo | $66,000 | $61 | 51 |
| 219 Coul St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,036 (-5%) | 17mo | $65,000 | $63 | 41 |
| 135 Vale Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,243 (+14%) | 22mo | $75,000 | $60 | 40 |
| 507 Howard St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (+14%) | 20mo | $56,000 | $45 | 38 |
| 215 Penn Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,212 (+11%) | 19mo | $80,000 | $66 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $10,671
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $35,566
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44903
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $912 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $728/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$192
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $354 | -5% $337 | +0% $320 | +5% $303 | +10% $286 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $248 | -5% $284 | +0% $320 | +5% $356 | +10% $392 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $350 | -0.5pp $335 | base $320 | +0.5pp $305 | +1.0pp $289 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520 Lida St Mansfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $850 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 454 Parnell Dr Mansfield, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 757 | $795 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 640 King St Mansfield, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 44d | 11 | 0.71mi |
| 750 Burns St Unit A6 Mansfield, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 776 King St Unit B7 Mansfield, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 243 W 1st St Mansfield, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,195 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2016-10-26soldstatus $2,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $728 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $832 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$104/yr (+$9/mo · 14.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,944
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$728
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$875
- − Management
- −$875
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $3,058
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$734
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,108/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mansfield City
- NCES district ID
- 3904429
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,435
- Composite
- 23.25/100
- National rank
- #7934
- State rank
- #590 of 656 in OH
Livability — Mansfield
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #3525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mansfield, OH
- County
- Richland · 128,966 people
- City population
- 16,349
- Metro
- Mansfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,804
- Household income
- $65,421
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9.5
Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 115,577 people
- By 2030
- 111,669 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 103,323 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 95,135 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 76,719 · -33.6%
- By 2100
- 57,188 · -50.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.3) · D 28.4% · R 70.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -42.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.3 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.50%
- Current HPI
- 241.9342
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2016-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $2,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $728 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…