🏗️ New Construction
3561 NW 33rd Ave · Lauderdale Lakes, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.3/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Unapproved Shortsale
Key facts
- 6,080 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 5.6% in Lauderdale Lakes — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#100 in FL, #1,527 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment F.
- Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Oriole Elementary School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,030 of 2,144 statewide, top 95%, 651 students, 87% FRL); Lauderdale Lakes Middle School (math 21% / reading 26%, grade F, #536 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 816 students, 79% FRL); Boyd H. Anderson High School (math 10% / reading 14%, grade F, #622 of 667 statewide, top 93%, 2,038 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 51% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-27 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Broward average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $116k; list at $200k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.50%
- DSCR
- 0.58
- GRM
- 14.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $476,762
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3940 NW 34th Ter | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,666 (-0%) | 18mo | $377,000 | $226 | 67 |
| 3531 NW 33rd Ave | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,785 (+7%) | 23mo | $421,000 | $236 | 67 |
| 3948 NW 39 Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,652 (-1%) | 1mo | $419,000 | $254 | 67 |
| 3921 NW 33rd Ter | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (-9%) | 12mo | $450,000 | $296 | 65 |
| 3610 NW 32nd St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,723 (+3%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $197 | 60 |
| 3960 NW 32nd Ter | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (-8%) | 23mo | $465,000 | $304 | 54 |
| 3601 NW 43rd Pl | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (-9%) | 3mo | $435,000 | $286 | 51 |
| 3521 NW 35th Way | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,466 (-12%) | 22mo | $437,500 | $298 | 46 |
| 4233 NW 34th Way | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (-14%) | 11mo | $440,000 | $307 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.14×
- Total profit
- $-152,724
- Equity at exit
- $71,087
- IRR
- -73.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.88×
- Total profit
- $-251,213
- Equity at exit
- $41,222
Cash invested: $133,493 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33309
- Home prices YoY
- -26.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 343
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,796 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,500
- Tax from tax record
- −$566 /mo · $6,796/yr
- Insurance
- −$199
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$587
- Net cashflow
- $-1,057
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-787 | -5% $-922 | +0% $-1,057 | +5% $-1,192 | +10% $-1,327 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,278 | -5% $-1,167 | +0% $-1,057 | +5% $-946 | +10% $-836 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-817 | -0.5pp $-935 | base $-1,057 | +0.5pp $-1,180 | +1.0pp $-1,306 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $119,190
- Closing costs
- $14,303
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3601 NW 34th Ave Unit 3601 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1990 | $3,750 | $1.88 | 17d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3601 NW 34th Ave Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1990 | $3,750 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3601 NW 34th Ave Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1990 | $3,200 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3540 NW 34th Ter Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3430 NW 34th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $2,306 | $1.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3400 NW 39th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $3,100 | $1.93 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3333 NW 32nd Ct Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1697 | $3,096 | $1.82 | 8d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3258 NW 32nd Ter Unit 3258 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1514 | $3,000 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3064 S Oakland Forest Dr #1001 Oakland Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,850 | $2.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3222 NW 31st Ter Oakland Park, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $2,595 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3076 S Oakland Forest Dr #503 Oakland Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $2,900 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3907 NW 30th Ter Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 8d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3082 S Oakland Forest Dr #1301 Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1098 | $1,975 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2829 S Oakland Forest Dr Oakland Park, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $2,738 | $2.11 | 2d | 10 | 0.46mi |
| 3119 Oakland Shores Dr Unit C110 Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,800 | $1.71 | 8d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3541 NW 30th Pl Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $2,414 | $2.79 | 2d | 14 | 0.50mi |
| 3213 Watercress Dr Oakland Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1516 | $3,200 | $2.11 | 11d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3213 Watercress Dr Unit 3213 Oakland Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1516 | $3,250 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2881 N Oakland Forest Dr Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $2,220 | $1.98 | 15d | 3 | 0.58mi |
| 2881 N Oakland Forest Dr Oakland Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $2,495 | $2.49 | 12d | 5 | 0.58mi |
| 4281 NW 35th Ave Fort Lauderdale, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2103 | $2,800 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3529 NW 29th Pl Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $3,200 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3621 NW 30th Ct Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1104 | $2,695 | $2.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2850 N Oakland Forest Dr Oakland Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $2,395 | $2.61 | 3d | 4 | 0.61mi |
| 4281 NW 35th Ter Fort Lauderdale, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2013 | $2,800 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3530 NW 29th Ct Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,595 | $1.62 | 8d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3141 Poinciana St Oakland Park, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $3,800 | $2.08 | 17d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3401 NW 44th St #205 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3409 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3409 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,850 | $1.69 | 4d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 2810 N Oakland Forest Dr #104 Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,295 | $2.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2733 S Oakland Forest Dr Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,200 | $2.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3275 NW 44th St #2 Fort Lauderdale, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1273 | $3,000 | $2.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2831 N Oakland Forest Dr Oakland Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 927 | $2,295 | $2.48 | 6d | 2 | 0.77mi |
| 3684 NW 29th Ct Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1478 | $2,700 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2831 N Oakland Forest Dr #101 Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,295 | $2.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2831 N Oakland Forest Dr #101 Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,295 | $2.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3445 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $2,150 | $2.03 | 25d | 2 | 0.77mi |
| 4324 NW 38th Ter Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $3,100 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2720 S Oakland Forest Dr Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,050 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-04-20$200,000 Active
-
2023-03-28status Pending
-
2023-03-28historical
-
2023-03-26price $399,900
-
2023-03-13$474,900 Active
-
2000-09-07soldstatus $116,000
-
2000-09-07soldstatus $116,000
-
1989-06-06soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,796 · $566/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,796 · $566/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,548
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,706
- − Property taxes
- −$6,796
- − Insurance
- −$2,384
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,684
- − Management
- −$2,684
- − Depreciation
- −$13,869
- Taxable loss
- −$21,576
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,178
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,502/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broward
- NCES district ID
- 1200180
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,139
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3621
- State rank
- #46 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lauderdale Lakes
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #100
- US rank
- #1527
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lauderdale Lakes, FL
- County
- Broward County · 1,963,430 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,475
- Household income
- $77,321
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1596.0
Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,207,033 people
- By 2030
- 2,360,704 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 2,661,208 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 2,946,698 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 3,602,273 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 3,970,984 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 28% White 22% Two or more races 20% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 15% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 38% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 25% French/Haitian/Cajun 17% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Broward
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.71%
- Current HPI
- 439.091
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.50%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+166.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $200,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-03-28 Pending — MARMLS
- 2023-03-28 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2023-03-26 Price Changed $399,900 MARMLS
- 2023-03-13 Listed $474,900 MARMLS
- 2000-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
- 2000-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
- 1989-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,796 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…