12501 Ulmerton Rd #140 · Largo, FL 33774

$163,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 864 sqft · Manufactured public records · 135 Days on market

Built 1979 3,977 sqft lot Est $161k · at est. $260/mo HOA · 13% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.3/30.0
• 1% rule +7.5/10.0
• DSCR +7.1/10.0
• ARV discount +6.9/15.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Bonus room off carport is air conditioned not included in sq. footage laminate flooring in living area and hallway has newer roofover large porch across front of home 2 pets allowed under 20# couple miles to the beaches 1/2 mile to golf course, shopping, medical churches. Glenwood is land owned park maintenance includes water, trash pick up lawn care includes fertilizing and pest control of lawn and under home laminate flooring thru out. Believe you will like what you see.

Key facts

• Florida room
• Newer a/c
• Active club house

Tags

• FLORIDA ROOM
• VINYL ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH
• NEWER A/C
• HEATED POOL
• ACTIVE CLUB HOUSE
• SERENE LAKE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lease restrictions apply; Furnished
• Financial info: Total monthly fees $260; total annual fees $3,120
• HOA & community: Has HOA; association name listed; Monthly condo/association fee $260 (fees include cable TV, pool, escrow reserves fund, management, sewer, trash, water); Community features include clubhouse, pool, shuffleboard court, association recreation (owned), buyer approval required, deed restrictions; Senior community; Pets allowed (max ~20 lbs); Association approval required

Exterior

• Parking: Converted covered garage; Carport (1 space)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Water connected; Sewer connected; Sprinkler recycled
• Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story; Faces northwest; Entry on main level
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Built-up roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built in 1 structure (double wide)
• Exterior features: Front porch; Asphalt road; Lot dimensions approximately 53 x 74; Lot approximately 0.09 acres

Interior

• Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Linoleum
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
• Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Sliding doors
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $163k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $163k).
• Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.2% in Largo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#82 in FL, #1,240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
• Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $60k; list at $163k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $143,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.26%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.03%
• DSCR: 1.31
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $160,704
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
12501 Ulmerton Rd #34	0.00mi	2/2.0	886 (+2%)	14mo	$182,000	$205	84
12501 Ulmerton Rd #129	0.00mi	2/2.0	960 (+11%)	3mo	$155,000	$161	79
12501 Ulmerton Rd #219	0.00mi	2/2.0	960 (+11%)	16mo	$179,000	$186	68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.75×
• Total profit: $-11,231
• Equity at exit: $24,304

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.10×
• Total profit: $4,729
• Equity at exit: $14,093

Cash invested: $45,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33774

• Rents YoY: 2.0%
• Active inventory: 209
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,036 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$855
• Tax from tax record: −$158 /mo · $1,897/yr
• Insurance: −$68
• HOA: −$260
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$427
• Net cashflow: $267

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,697

Max offer price $163,000

Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $40,750
• Closing costs: $4,890
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 23 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
12800 Vonn Rd Largo, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0	810	$1,458	$1.80	2d	16	0.59mi
13001 120th St Largo, FL	3.0	1.0	1044	$1,950	$1.87	8d	1	0.65mi
13125 Wilcox Rd Largo, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	840	$1,830	$2.18	2d	8	0.66mi
13200 Wilcox Rd Largo, FL	2.0	2.0	932	$1,755	$1.88	3d	2	0.67mi
11960 133rd Ave Largo, FL	3.0	1.0	936	$2,150	$2.30	8d	1	0.75mi
1825 134th Ave Largo, FL	3.0	2.0	1005	$2,200	$2.19	24d	1	0.77mi
11666 126th Ter Largo, FL	3.0	1.0	1056	$2,183	$2.07	24d	1	0.78mi
13300 Walsingham Rd Largo, FL	1.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1060	$1,788	$1.69	24d	1	0.83mi
2200 Gladys St Largo, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	677	$1,595	$2.35	24d	1	0.83mi
3000 Karen Ave Largo, FL	2.0	1.0	888	$2,800	$3.15	24d	1	0.88mi
3000 Karen Ave Largo, FL	2.0	1.0	888	$2,450	$2.76	22d	1	0.88mi
1448 Oak St Largo, FL	2.0	2.0	1070	$2,300	$2.15	4d	1	0.92mi
1884 Pine St Largo, FL	3.0	1.5	1012	$2,499	$2.47	22d	1	0.98mi
1741 Trotter Rd Unit A Largo, FL	2.0	1.0	800	$1,350	$1.69	24d	1	1.02mi
3054 Adrian Ave Largo, FL	2.0	1.0	1059	$3,500	$3.31	4d	1	1.07mi
1628 Pine St Largo, FL	1.0	1.0	850	$1,650	$1.94	24d	1	1.10mi
2272 16th Ave SW Unit C Largo, FL	2.0	1.0	1031	$2,600	$2.52	24d	1	1.11mi
13333 Ridge Rd Largo, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	860	$1,765	$2.05	8d	1	1.15mi
11201 122nd Ave Largo, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	867	$2,300	$2.65	4d	2	1.16mi
3223 Dryer Ave Largo, FL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,800	$1.80	24d	1	1.22mi
14130 Rosemary Ln Largo, FL	2.0	1.5	880	$1,725	$1.96	20d	2	1.26mi
9 Jeff Rd Largo, FL	2.0	1.0	964	$2,150	$2.23	4d	1	1.29mi
12100 Seminole Blvd Largo, FL	2.0	2.0	1050	$1,750	$1.67	24d	1	1.39mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $260 · $3,120/yr
• Likely covers: watertrashlandscaping

Listing history 34 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $163,000 Active 135 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $163,000 Active 134 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $163,000 Active 133 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $163,000 Active 132 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $163,000 Active 130 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $163,000 Active 126 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $163,000 Active 125 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $163,000 Active 124 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $163,000 Active 121 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $163,000 Active 120 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $163,000 Active 118 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $163,000 Active 117 DOM
13. 2026-02-03
    listed $163,000 Active
14. 2026-01-12
    historical
15. 2025-10-27
    price $173,900
16. 2025-06-16
    status Active
17. 2025-06-15
    historical
18. 2025-03-02
    price $184,000
19. 2025-01-15
    listed $189,000 Active
20. 2015-04-30
    soldstatus $60,000 Sold 477-char remark

    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Bonus room off carport is air conditioned not included in sq. footage laminate flooring in living area and hallway has newer roofover large porch across front of home 2 pets allowed under 20# couple miles to the beaches 1/2 mile to golf course, shopping, medical churches. Glenwood is land owned park maintenance includes water, trash pick up lawn care includes fertilizing and pest control of lawn and under home laminate flooring thru out. Believe you will like what you see.

21. 2015-04-30
    soldstatus $60,000

    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Bonus room off carport is air conditioned not included in sq. footage laminate flooring in living area and hallway has newer roofover large porch across front of home 2 pets allowed under 20# couple miles to the beaches 1/2 mile to golf course, shopping, medical churches. Glenwood is land owned park maintenance includes water, trash pick up lawn care includes fertilizing and pest control of lawn and under home laminate flooring thru out. Believe you will like what you see.

22. 2015-04-15
    status Pending 477-char remark

    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Bonus room off carport is air conditioned not included in sq. footage laminate flooring in living area and hallway has newer roofover large porch across front of home 2 pets allowed under 20# couple miles to the beaches 1/2 mile to golf course, shopping, medical churches. Glenwood is land owned park maintenance includes water, trash pick up lawn care includes fertilizing and pest control of lawn and under home laminate flooring thru out. Believe you will like what you see.

23. 2015-03-30
    price $69,888 477-char remark

    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Bonus room off carport is air conditioned not included in sq. footage laminate flooring in living area and hallway has newer roofover large porch across front of home 2 pets allowed under 20# couple miles to the beaches 1/2 mile to golf course, shopping, medical churches. Glenwood is land owned park maintenance includes water, trash pick up lawn care includes fertilizing and pest control of lawn and under home laminate flooring thru out. Believe you will like what you see.

24. 2015-01-23
    price $72,500 477-char remark

    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Bonus room off carport is air conditioned not included in sq. footage laminate flooring in living area and hallway has newer roofover large porch across front of home 2 pets allowed under 20# couple miles to the beaches 1/2 mile to golf course, shopping, medical churches. Glenwood is land owned park maintenance includes water, trash pick up lawn care includes fertilizing and pest control of lawn and under home laminate flooring thru out. Believe you will like what you see.

25. 2014-12-09
    listed $74,888 Active 477-char remark

    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Bonus room off carport is air conditioned not included in sq. footage laminate flooring in living area and hallway has newer roofover large porch across front of home 2 pets allowed under 20# couple miles to the beaches 1/2 mile to golf course, shopping, medical churches. Glenwood is land owned park maintenance includes water, trash pick up lawn care includes fertilizing and pest control of lawn and under home laminate flooring thru out. Believe you will like what you see.

26. 2006-01-24
    soldstatus $85,000
27. 2006-01-18
    soldstatus $85,000
28. 2005-11-05
    listed $89,888
29. 2004-09-16
    soldstatus $75,000
30. 2004-08-05
    soldstatus $75,000
31. 2004-06-15
    historical
32. 2004-03-10
    listed $78,888
33. 2003-06-20
    soldstatus $52,000
34. 1991-12-17
    soldstatus $42,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,897 · $158/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,897 · $158/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,427
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,131
• − Property taxes: −$1,897
• − Insurance: −$815
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,954
• − Management: −$1,954
• − HOA: −$3,120
• − Depreciation: −$4,742
• Taxable income: $815
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$196
• After-tax cash flow: $3,013/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pinellas
• NCES district ID: 1201560
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $46,270
• Composite: 43.27/100
• National rank: #3046
• State rank: #31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Largo

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #82
• US rank: #1240

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Pinellas County · 939,478 people
• City population: 106,311
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 19,799
• Household income: $79,139
• Rent vs Own: 22.7% rent · 77.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 546.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,027,532 people
• By 2030: 1,063,586 · +3.5%
• By 2040: 1,125,020 · +9.5%
• By 2050: 1,168,637 · +13.7%
• By 2075: 1,265,188 · +23.1%
• By 2100: 1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -383.61%
• Current HPI: 336.629
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.01%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+280.0% since first listed

22 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-03 Listed $163,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-12 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-27 Price Changed $173,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-06-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-06-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-03-02 Price Changed $184,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-01-15 Listed $189,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2015-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
• 2015-04-30 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2015-04-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2015-03-30 Price Changed $69,888 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2015-01-23 Price Changed $72,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2014-12-09 Listed $74,888 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
• 2006-01-18 Sold (MLS) $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2005-11-05 Listed $89,888 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2004-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
• 2004-08-05 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2004-06-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2004-03-10 Listed $78,888 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2003-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
• 1991-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $42,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,897 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.