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201 George Miller Rd
C Composite 58.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$224,900

201 George Miller Rd · Hastings, FL 32145
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,196 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1966 0.30 ac lot Est $264k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this beautiful concrete block 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in the heart of Hastings. New A/C in 2020 and new metal roof in 2020. Home is in great structural condition on a very large lot with a great backyard. House will need to be painted and re-floored. This is perfect for the family looking for little sweat equity, all the expensive items have been done, just needs your personal touch. Come see it today!

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Large corner lot
  • Updated a/c unit

Tags

METAL ROOFUPDATED A/C UNITLARGE CORNER LOTFULLY FENCED BACKYARDEGLIN GROVE BOAT RAMPRIVERDALE PARK & BOAT RAMP

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (1 space); Additional parking available
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces south
  • Construction: Block and concrete construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Awning-covered front and rear porches; Screened porch; Privacy wood fencing in the backyard; Corner lot; Asphalt road access; Shed(s) on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Primary bathroom with shower (no tub)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-439/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (2.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (19.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#410 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: South Woods Elementary School (math 51% / reading 46%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 689 students, 66% FRL); Gamble Rogers Middle School (math 61% / reading 55%, grade B, #151 of 571 statewide, top 27%, 925 students, 47% FRL); Pedro Menendez High School (math 31% / reading 54%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,519 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 20% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Johns average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 234 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $180k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $180,719 (19.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.70%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$264,316
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
300 E Cochran Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,150 (-4%) 5mo $145,000 $126 68
109 N Peachtree St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-8%) 10mo $243,000 $221 64
6192 S Main St 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,080 (-10%) 18mo $259,900 $241 63
216 W Vivian Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,256 (+5%) 13mo $260,000 $207 62
410 N Carolina Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-8%) 11mo $258,000 $235 62
114 N Peachtree St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-8%) 16mo $299,000 $272 57
90 Register Burrell Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,340 (+12%) 2mo $394,000 $294 55
116 E Saint Johns Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,256 (+5%) 12mo $265,500 $211 53
300 E Lattin 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,344 (+12%) 12mo $130,100 $97 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$120,127
Equity at exit
$202,608
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
6.65×
Total profit
$355,532
Equity at exit
$436,931

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32145

Home prices YoY
19.1%
Active inventory
234
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,807 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,294/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$-37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,854
Max offer price $218,434
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $91 -5% $27 +0% $-37 +5% $-100 +10% $-164
Rent -10% $-179 -5% $-108 +0% $-37 +5% $35 +10% $106
Rate -1.0pp $77 -0.5pp $21 base $-37 +0.5pp $-95 +1.0pp $-154

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
206 W Fox St Hastings, FL 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,985 $1.46 2d 1 0.47mi
210 W Fox St Hastings, FL 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,750 $1.48 2d 1 0.48mi
213 Park Ave Hastings, FL 3.0 2.0 1256 $1,665 $1.33 4d 1 0.57mi
614 Hannah St Hastings, FL 3.0 2.0 1397 $1,825 $1.31 2d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    statusdays on market $224,900 Pending 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,900 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-05-17
    listed $224,900 Active
  9. 2021-11-15
    soldstatus $179,500 Closed 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Come see this beautiful concrete block 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in the heart of Hastings. New A/C in 2020 and new metal roof in 2020. Home is in great structural condition on a very large lot with a great backyard. House will need to be painted and re-floored. This is perfect for the family looking for little sweat equity, all the expensive items have been done, just needs your personal touch. Come see it today!

  10. 2021-11-15
    soldstatus $179,500
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Come see this beautiful concrete block 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in the heart of Hastings. New A/C in 2020 and new metal roof in 2020. Home is in great structural condition on a very large lot with a great backyard. House will need to be painted and re-floored. This is perfect for the family looking for little sweat equity, all the expensive items have been done, just needs your personal touch. Come see it today!

  11. 2021-11-02
    historical Contingent- Accepting Backups 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Come see this beautiful concrete block 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in the heart of Hastings. New A/C in 2020 and new metal roof in 2020. Home is in great structural condition on a very large lot with a great backyard. House will need to be painted and re-floored. This is perfect for the family looking for little sweat equity, all the expensive items have been done, just needs your personal touch. Come see it today!

  12. 2021-10-26
    listed $189,000 Active 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Come see this beautiful concrete block 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in the heart of Hastings. New A/C in 2020 and new metal roof in 2020. Home is in great structural condition on a very large lot with a great backyard. House will need to be painted and re-floored. This is perfect for the family looking for little sweat equity, all the expensive items have been done, just needs your personal touch. Come see it today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,294 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,294 · $191/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,686
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$2,294
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,735
− Management
−$1,735
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$4,343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,042
After-tax cash flow
$603/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Johns
NCES district ID
1201740
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$66,842
Composite
64.31/100
National rank
#556
State rank
#2 of 73 in FL

Livability — Hastings

Score
71/100
State rank
#410
US rank
#7309

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hastings, FL
Population (ZIP)
5,750

Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
303,941 people
By 2030
342,590 · +12.7%
By 2040
417,328 · +37.3%
By 2050
487,011 · +60.2%
By 2075
635,395 · +109.1%
By 2100
717,469 · +136.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Estonian 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 40.24%
Current HPI
250.8035
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+19.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $224,900 realMLS
  • 2021-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $179,500 Public Records
  • 2021-11-15 Sold (MLS) $179,500 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2021-11-02 Contingent St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2021-10-26 Listed $189,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®

Property tax history

+10.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,294 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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