201 George Miller Rd · Hastings, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this beautiful concrete block 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in the heart of Hastings. New A/C in 2020 and new metal roof in 2020. Home is in great structural condition on a very large lot with a great backyard. House will need to be painted and re-floored. This is perfect for the family looking for little sweat equity, all the expensive items have been done, just needs your personal touch. Come see it today!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Large corner lot
- Updated a/c unit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space); Additional parking available
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Block and concrete construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Awning-covered front and rear porches; Screened porch; Privacy wood fencing in the backyard; Corner lot; Asphalt road access; Shed(s) on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Primary bathroom with shower (no tub)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-439/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (2.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (19.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#410 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: South Woods Elementary School (math 51% / reading 46%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 689 students, 66% FRL); Gamble Rogers Middle School (math 61% / reading 55%, grade B, #151 of 571 statewide, top 27%, 925 students, 47% FRL); Pedro Menendez High School (math 31% / reading 54%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,519 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 20% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Johns average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 234 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $180k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.70%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $264,316
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 E Cochran Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-4%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $126 | 68 |
| 109 N Peachtree St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-8%) | 10mo | $243,000 | $221 | 64 |
| 6192 S Main St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-10%) | 18mo | $259,900 | $241 | 63 |
| 216 W Vivian Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (+5%) | 13mo | $260,000 | $207 | 62 |
| 410 N Carolina Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-8%) | 11mo | $258,000 | $235 | 62 |
| 114 N Peachtree St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-8%) | 16mo | $299,000 | $272 | 57 |
| 90 Register Burrell Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (+12%) | 2mo | $394,000 | $294 | 55 |
| 116 E Saint Johns Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (+5%) | 12mo | $265,500 | $211 | 53 |
| 300 E Lattin | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (+12%) | 12mo | $130,100 | $97 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $120,127
- Equity at exit
- $202,608
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.65×
- Total profit
- $355,532
- Equity at exit
- $436,931
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32145
- Home prices YoY
- 19.1%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,807 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,294/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $-37
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $91 | -5% $27 | +0% $-37 | +5% $-100 | +10% $-164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-179 | -5% $-108 | +0% $-37 | +5% $35 | +10% $106 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $77 | -0.5pp $21 | base $-37 | +0.5pp $-95 | +1.0pp $-154 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 W Fox St Hastings, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $1,985 | $1.46 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 210 W Fox St Hastings, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,750 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 213 Park Ave Hastings, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,665 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 614 Hannah St Hastings, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1397 | $1,825 | $1.31 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $224,900 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 22 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-17$224,900 Active
-
2021-11-15soldstatus $179,500 Closed 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Come see this beautiful concrete block 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in the heart of Hastings. New A/C in 2020 and new metal roof in 2020. Home is in great structural condition on a very large lot with a great backyard. House will need to be painted and re-floored. This is perfect for the family looking for little sweat equity, all the expensive items have been done, just needs your personal touch. Come see it today!
-
2021-11-15soldstatus $179,500
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Come see this beautiful concrete block 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in the heart of Hastings. New A/C in 2020 and new metal roof in 2020. Home is in great structural condition on a very large lot with a great backyard. House will need to be painted and re-floored. This is perfect for the family looking for little sweat equity, all the expensive items have been done, just needs your personal touch. Come see it today!
-
2021-11-02historical Contingent- Accepting Backups 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Come see this beautiful concrete block 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in the heart of Hastings. New A/C in 2020 and new metal roof in 2020. Home is in great structural condition on a very large lot with a great backyard. House will need to be painted and re-floored. This is perfect for the family looking for little sweat equity, all the expensive items have been done, just needs your personal touch. Come see it today!
-
2021-10-26$189,000 Active 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Come see this beautiful concrete block 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in the heart of Hastings. New A/C in 2020 and new metal roof in 2020. Home is in great structural condition on a very large lot with a great backyard. House will need to be painted and re-floored. This is perfect for the family looking for little sweat equity, all the expensive items have been done, just needs your personal touch. Come see it today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,294 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,294 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,686
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$2,294
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,735
- − Management
- −$1,735
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$4,343
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,042
- After-tax cash flow
- $603/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — Hastings
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #410
- US rank
- #7309
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hastings, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,750
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Estonian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 40.24%
- Current HPI
- 250.8035
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+19.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $224,900 realMLS
- 2021-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $179,500 Public Records
- 2021-11-15 Sold (MLS) $179,500 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2021-11-02 Contingent — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2021-10-26 Listed $189,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
Property tax history
+10.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,294 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…