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113 & 115 Ford Ln
B- Composite 67.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

113 & 115 Ford Ln · Little Cypress, TX 77632
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 920 sqft · Land · 304 Days on market
0.53 ac lot $120/sqft · 28% below area Est $153k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Special – Tenant Occupied Since February. This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is located on a quiet dead-end street, offering a peaceful setting and strong rental appeal. Currently leased with $1,200/month in rental income, this property is ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow. The spacious yard provides room for outdoor enjoyment, and the adjoining lot is included, offering additional space and future potential.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Adjoining lot
  • 0.53 acre lot

Tags

QUIET DEAD-END STREETSPACIOUS YARDADJOINING LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath land listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Little Cypress-Mauriceville CISD (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #435 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 294 active listings in the ZIP; 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.32%
Cash-on-cash
10.80%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$152,904
List price
$110,000
Delta
-28.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-144
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$22,697
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77632

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Active inventory
294
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,313 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 304 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 303 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 302 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 301 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 299 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 298 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 296 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 295 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 294 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 293 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 289 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 288 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 287 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 286 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 285 DOM
  16. 2025-08-18
    listed $110,000 Active 445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    Investment Special – Tenant Occupied Since February. This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is located on a quiet dead-end street, offering a peaceful setting and strong rental appeal. Currently leased with $1,200/month in rental income, this property is ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow. The spacious yard provides room for outdoor enjoyment, and the adjoining lot is included, offering additional space and future potential.

  17. 2018-04-24
    soldstatus
  18. 2006-02-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,759
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,261
− Management
−$1,261
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$1,676
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$402
After-tax cash flow
$2,925/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Cypress-Mauriceville CISD
NCES district ID
4827690
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$60,483
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5473
State rank
#435 of 826 in TX

Livability — Little Cypress

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Little Cypress, TX
County
Orange County · 87,112 people
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
22,976
Household income
$74,418
Rent vs Own
20.7% rent · 79.3% own
Severe rent burden
431.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,065 people
By 2030
89,591 · +1.7%
By 2040
91,982 · +4.4%
By 2050
93,023 · +5.6%
By 2075
94,871 · +7.7%
By 2100
88,155 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.96%
Current HPI
149.354
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $110,000 BBOR
  • 2018-04-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-02-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $26 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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