🏗️ New Construction
Cassidy Plan · Liberty Triangle, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This new two-story home opens to a modern kitchen with a center island and direct access to the family room, ideal for seamless modern living. Ideally situated upstairs to provide residents with maximum privacy are all three bedrooms. The owner's suite comes with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet, while down the hallway are two peaceful bedrooms. Rounding out the home is a convenient garage for storage space.
Key facts
- Downtown ocala
- Single-family homes
- Golf courses
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $206k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($425/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (4.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.5% in Liberty Triangle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hammett Bowen Jr. Elementary School (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 867 students, 54% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,365 students, 54% FRL); West Port High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,906 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.6%/yr); 1071 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($181k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.69%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $220,900
- List price
- $205,990
- Delta
- -0.86%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7195 SW 92nd St | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,220 (0%) | 3mo | $218,000 | $179 | 91 |
| 6691 SW 85th St | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-2%) | 6mo | $174,000 | $145 | 55 |
| 14632 SW 68th Ter | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,089 (-11%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $216 | 43 |
| 6640 SW 85th Pl | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (+12%) | 12mo | $224,600 | $164 | 39 |
| 8674 SW 62nd Ter | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,274 (+4%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $137 | 34 |
| 6546 SW 85th St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,380 (+13%) | 23mo | $212,000 | $154 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-39,303
- Equity at exit
- $32,937
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-53,590
- Equity at exit
- $19,099
Cash invested: $61,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 11 active · 10 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.1 mo (20%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $244,900 ($176/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 22 d
- This list price
- 18% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +3.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34476
- Rents YoY
- -2.6%
- Active inventory
- 1071
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,977 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,158
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$276 /mo · $3,313/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $188 | -5% $112 | +0% $35 | +5% $-41 | +10% $-117 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-121 | -5% $-43 | +0% $35 | +5% $114 | +10% $192 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $147 | -0.5pp $92 | base $35 | +0.5pp $-22 | +1.0pp $-80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,225
- Closing costs
- $6,627
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7195 SW 92nd St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1220 | $1,750 | $1.43 | 70d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 8710 SW 71st Ave Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1312 | $2,270 | $1.73 | 63d | 27 | 0.55mi |
| 6644 SW 84th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $950 | $0.64 | 70d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6534 SW 82nd Loop Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,900 | $1.31 | 63d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6676 SW 81st Loop Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1458 | $1,710 | $1.17 | 63d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6609 SW 81st Loop Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1458 | $1,750 | $1.20 | 63d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7754 SW 86th Loop Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,800 | $1.23 | 70d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6035 SW 98th Street Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 63d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 9853 SW 59th Cir Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,500 | $1.60 | 63d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 10312 SW 61st Terrace Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 70d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $205,990 Active 283 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $205,990 Active 282 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $205,990 Active 281 DOM
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2026-08-05pricedays on market $205,990 Active 280 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $218,990 Active 278 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $218,990 Active 275 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $218,990 Active 274 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $218,990 Active 273 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $218,990 Active 271 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $218,990 Active 269 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $218,990 Active 267 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $218,990 Active 266 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $218,990 Active 265 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $218,990 Active 262 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $218,990 Active 260 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $218,990 Active 259 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $218,990 Active 258 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $218,990 Active 257 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $218,990 Active 256 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $218,990 Active 255 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $218,990 Active 254 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $218,990 Active 253 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $218,990 Active 252 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $218,990 Active 251 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $218,990 Active 250 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $218,990 Active 249 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $218,990 Active 248 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $218,990 Active 247 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $218,990 Active 246 DOM
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2026-07-01price $218,990 Active 245 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $215,990 Active 245 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $215,990 Active 244 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $215,990 Active 243 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $215,990 Active 242 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $215,990 Active 241 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $215,990 Active 240 DOM
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2026-06-25pricedays on market $215,990 Active 238 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $221,990 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $221,990 Active 235 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $221,990 Active 232 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $221,990 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $221,990 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $221,990 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $221,990 Active 227 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $221,990 Active 226 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $221,990 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $221,990 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $221,990 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $221,990 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $221,990 Active 217 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,727
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,374
- − Property taxes
- −$3,313
- − Insurance
- −$1,104
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,898
- − Management
- −$1,898
- − Depreciation
- −$6,426
- Taxable loss
- −$3,287
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$789
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,214/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This new two-story home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and ideal for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained landscape can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Liberty Triangle
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Liberty Triangle, FL
- County
- Marion County · 365,905 people
- City population
- 26,397
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,997
- Household income
- $65,860
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.22%
- Current HPI
- 189.0869
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.57%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-9.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $221,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-01 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $228,990 Zillow
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $248,990 Zillow
- 2025-10-24 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-09-17 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-09-14 Listed $245,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…