346 S St. Paul St · Wingo, KY 42088

$160,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,150 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1959 0.41 ac lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.3/10.0
• Appreciation +7.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

MOVE IN READY!! 3 bedroom, 1 bath brick has been completely renovated. New central heat and air and appliances just installed. Large utility room with additional storage. Replacement windows, new flooring, light fixtures, interior paint and much more. Detached one car garage.

Key facts

• New floor joists
• Sump pump
• French drains

Tags

• REMODELED HOME
• ADT SECURITY SYSTEM
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• NEW FLOOR JOISTS
• FRENCH DRAINS
• SUMP PUMP

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached gravel garage with 1 garage space
• Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story
• Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
• Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Cooktop
• Flooring: Laminate
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Security system and smoke detectors; Basement with sump pump
• Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $744 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#212 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Graves County (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 165 in KY (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Wingo Elementary School (math 53% / reading 50%, grade C-, #91 of 676 statewide, top 14%, 428 students, 76% FRL); Graves County Middle School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade D, #36 of 217 statewide, top 18%, 621 students, 53% FRL); Graves County High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #57 of 254 statewide, top 22%, 1,096 students, 49% FRL).
• Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Graves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
• Graves County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $160,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.33% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.87%
• Cash-on-cash: 19.93%
• DSCR: 1.89
• GRM: 6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 30.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.96×
• Total profit: $87,675
• Equity at exit: $94,361

10-year hold

• IRR: 29.2%
• Equity multiple: 5.96×
• Total profit: $222,417
• Equity at exit: $165,992

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 42088

• Home prices YoY: 2.1%
• Active inventory: 17
• Price-to-rent: 6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,135 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax from tax record: −$37 /mo · $438/yr
• Insurance: −$67
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$448
• Net cashflow: $744

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,193

Max offer price $160,000

Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $40,000
• Closing costs: $4,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-15
   days on market $160,000 Active 6 DOM
2. 2026-06-14
   days on market $160,000 Active 4 DOM
3. 2026-06-12
   days on market $160,000 Active 3 DOM
4. 2026-06-09
   remarks 315-char remark
5. 2026-06-09
   listed $160,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $438 · $37/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,376 · $115/mo
• Expected delta: +$938/yr (+$78/mo · 213.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,616
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,962
• − Property taxes: −$438
• − Insurance: −$800
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,049
• − Management: −$2,049
• − Depreciation: −$4,655
• Taxable income: $6,662
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,599
• After-tax cash flow: $7,331/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Graves County
• NCES district ID: 2102280
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $43,560
• Composite: 41.74/100
• National rank: #3400
• State rank: #10 of 165 in KY

Livability — Wingo

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #212
• US rank: #10336

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Wingo, KY
• Population (ZIP): 2,507

Population outlook (Graves County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 36,916 people
• By 2030: 36,587 · -0.9%
• By 2040: 35,580 · -3.6%
• By 2050: 33,906 · -8.2%
• By 2075: 28,957 · -21.6%
• By 2100: 21,552 · -41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Graves

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -35.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.38%
• Current HPI: 255.5392
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Price history

+481.8% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-08 Listed $160,000 WKRMLS
• 2025-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $145,900 Public Records
• 2025-08-15 Sold (MLS) $145,900 WKRMLS
• 2025-07-21 Listed $149,500 WKRMLS
• 2016-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
• 1987-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $438 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.