13431 Hartwell St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your dream home in the heart of Detroit! This stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath brick home has been fully updated from top to bottom. Inside, you'll find a brand-new kitchen, refreshed bathrooms, and freshly painted interiors, all with re-stained hardwood floors. The home features a full, spacious basement, a two-car garage with a brand-new garage door, and a new roof - both on the house and the garage. Plus, it's conveniently located next to a major highway, offering easy access to the entire city. Outside, enjoy a large yard with raspberry and blackberry trees, all enclosed by a new privacy fence. Don't miss out - schedule your tour TODAY! BATAVI
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1941
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,603/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $150k implies a 907% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.49%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $80,955
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13431 Hartwell St | 0.00mi | 5/2.0 | 1,850 (+3%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $86 | 92 |
| 13244 Ardmore St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,650 (-8%) | 18mo | $51,000 | $31 | 47 |
| 13255 Lauder St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,786 (-1%) | 22mo | $111,000 | $62 | 41 |
| 13416 Marlowe St | 0.61mi | 5/2.0 | 2,000 (+11%) | 16mo | $90,000 | $45 | 37 |
| 12645 Monte Vista St | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,750 (-3%) | 24mo | $70,000 | $40 | 37 |
| 12090 Ward Ave | 0.74mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,634 (-9%) | 14mo | $60,000 | $37 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,104
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $46,600
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48227
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,603 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,020/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $332
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 14941 Robson St Detroit, MI | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $1,600 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 14941 Robson St Detroit, MI | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $1,600 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $750 | $0.54 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending 660-char remark
Show marketing remark (660 chars)
Welcome to your dream home in the heart of Detroit! This stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath brick home has been fully updated from top to bottom. Inside, you'll find a brand-new kitchen, refreshed bathrooms, and freshly painted interiors, all with re-stained hardwood floors. The home features a full, spacious basement, a two-car garage with a brand-new garage door, and a new roof - both on the house and the garage. Plus, it's conveniently located next to a major highway, offering easy access to the entire city. Outside, enjoy a large yard with raspberry and blackberry trees, all enclosed by a new privacy fence. Don't miss out - schedule your tour TODAY! BATAVI
-
2026-04-16status Pending
Show marketing remark (660 chars)
Welcome to your dream home in the heart of Detroit! This stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath brick home has been fully updated from top to bottom. Inside, you'll find a brand-new kitchen, refreshed bathrooms, and freshly painted interiors, all with re-stained hardwood floors. The home features a full, spacious basement, a two-car garage with a brand-new garage door, and a new roof - both on the house and the garage. Plus, it's conveniently located next to a major highway, offering easy access to the entire city. Outside, enjoy a large yard with raspberry and blackberry trees, all enclosed by a new privacy fence. Don't miss out - schedule your tour TODAY! BATAVI
-
2026-04-07$149,999 Active
Show marketing remark (660 chars)
Welcome to your dream home in the heart of Detroit! This stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath brick home has been fully updated from top to bottom. Inside, you'll find a brand-new kitchen, refreshed bathrooms, and freshly painted interiors, all with re-stained hardwood floors. The home features a full, spacious basement, a two-car garage with a brand-new garage door, and a new roof - both on the house and the garage. Plus, it's conveniently located next to a major highway, offering easy access to the entire city. Outside, enjoy a large yard with raspberry and blackberry trees, all enclosed by a new privacy fence. Don't miss out - schedule your tour TODAY! BATAVI
-
2026-04-07$149,999 Active 660-char remark
Show marketing remark (660 chars)
Welcome to your dream home in the heart of Detroit! This stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath brick home has been fully updated from top to bottom. Inside, you'll find a brand-new kitchen, refreshed bathrooms, and freshly painted interiors, all with re-stained hardwood floors. The home features a full, spacious basement, a two-car garage with a brand-new garage door, and a new roof - both on the house and the garage. Plus, it's conveniently located next to a major highway, offering easy access to the entire city. Outside, enjoy a large yard with raspberry and blackberry trees, all enclosed by a new privacy fence. Don't miss out - schedule your tour TODAY! BATAVI
-
2025-08-04historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2025-08-04historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-08-04historical
-
2025-07-14$60,000 Active
-
2025-07-14$60,000 Active
-
2015-01-02soldstatus $14,900 Sold
-
2015-01-02soldstatus $14,900
-
2014-11-20historical
-
2014-11-20historical
-
2014-10-20$14,900 Active
-
2014-10-20$14,900
-
2001-07-19soldstatus $59,344
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,020 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,665 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- +$645/yr (+$54/mo · 63.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,236
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,020
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,539
- − Management
- −$1,539
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,623
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$389
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $36,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2371.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.00%
- Current HPI
- 186.4158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+152.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-07 Listed $149,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-07 Listed $149,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-04 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-04 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2025-08-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-14 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-14 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-01-02 Sold (MLS) $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-01-02 Sold (MLS) $14,900 REALCOMP
- 2014-11-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-11-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2014-10-20 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-10-20 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
- 2001-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $59,344 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,020 · -55.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…