2611 S 288th St #21 · Federal Way, WA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this spacious and beautifully maintained home in the charming 55+ community of Parkwood Lane! A covered front porch invites you into a bright living area with vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light. The sun-filled dining room features a built-in buffet, while the cozy kitchen offers a skylight, open shelving, and a raised countertop—perfect for a breakfast bar or casual dining. Generously sized secondary bedrooms include custom closet systems for added storage and organization. The primary suite offers a private en suite bath with a walk-in shower and tile surround. Located in a gated community with an enjoyable community clubhouse, gazebo, BBQ area, and green space fo
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Cozy kitchen
- Bright living area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Buyer to verify school assignments; Bus line nearby
- Financial info: Land lease: $1,103; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Parkwood Lane community; 74 homes in the park; Senior community; Pets allowed: cats and dogs (see remarks)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (Lakehaven); Public sewer (Lakehaven); Power by Puget Sound Energy; Xfinity internet
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One level; North-facing; Good condition; Mobile home remains in place; Awnings
- Construction: Cement plank and wood construction; Composition roof; Tie-down foundation; Made by Lamplighter
- Exterior features: Cement-planked and wood siding; Patio / porch / deck; Landscaped; Open space; Paved; Clubhouse and common area in park; RV parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range; Trash compactor; Kitchen with eating space; Dining room
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Softwood; Vinyl; Other
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; 1 bathtub; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump (heating and cooling)
- Interior features: Water heater; Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows; Drapes; Skylights; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet; Security system
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room; Water heater in closet off kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 2.7% in Federal Way — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#221 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Federal Way School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #207 of 291 in WA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.31%
- DSCR
- 2.84
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,203
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -17.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $50,399
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 43.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.99×
- Total profit
- $128,474
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98003
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,305 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $741/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $1,108
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,173 | -5% $1,141 | +0% $1,108 | +5% $1,076 | +10% $1,043 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $926 | -5% $1,017 | +0% $1,108 | +5% $1,199 | +10% $1,290 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,166 | -0.5pp $1,138 | base $1,108 | +0.5pp $1,079 | +1.0pp $1,048 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29225 Military Rd S Federal Way, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 811 | $1,850 | $2.28 | 3d | 5 | 0.24mi |
| 2516 S 286th Pl Unit C Federal Way, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2500 S 286th Pl Unit C Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2500 S 286th Pl Unit A Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 29305 33rd Ave S Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $2,875 | $2.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 28700 34th Ave S Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,475 | $2.43 | 3d | 13 | 0.42mi |
| 1839 S 286th Ln Apt S202 Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $1,795 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1839 S 286th Ln Apt S101 Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 953 | $2,200 | $2.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2012 S 282nd Pl Federal Way, WA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,150 | $2.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3231 S 299th St Auburn, WA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $3,495 | $1.94 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 28606 Pacific Hwy S Federal Way, WA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1138 | $2,262 | $1.99 | 5d | 3 | 0.69mi |
| 28120 18th Ave S Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 986 | $1,949 | $1.98 | 3d | 8 | 0.73mi |
| 29421 Pacific Hwy S Federal Way, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,645 | $1.94 | 3d | 6 | 0.75mi |
| 2015 S 301st St Federal Way, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $2,800 | $2.50 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4216 S 297th Pl Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $3,000 | $2.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4320 S 296th Pl Auburn, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1780 | $3,200 | $1.80 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2211 S Star Lake Rd Federal Way, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $2,334 | $2.59 | 2d | 45 | 1.05mi |
| 1737 S 305th Pl Unit 4 Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,000 | $2.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 30602 Pacific Hwy S Federal Way, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,695 | $1.78 | 3d | 12 | 1.15mi |
| 30331 15th Ct S Unit 03 Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1135 | $2,295 | $2.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1916 S 308th St Federal Way, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $2,395 | $2.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1650 S 308th St Federal Way, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,495 | $1.76 | 5d | 3 | 1.22mi |
| 30813 19th Pl S Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,195 | $2.44 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2717 S 268th Pl Kent, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1550 | $3,390 | $2.19 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 31224 Pete Von Reichbauer Way S Federal Way, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 822 | $2,114 | $2.57 | 3d | 4 | 1.45mi |
| 26638 18th Pl S Des Moines, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $3,200 | $2.52 | 2d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-23$115,000 Active
-
2023-03-08soldstatus $100,000 Closed
-
2023-02-17status Pending
-
2023-02-05price $110,000
-
2023-01-13price $117,000
-
2022-10-27price $125,000
-
2022-10-06$133,000 Active
-
2005-10-06soldstatus $55,000
-
2005-07-22$63,000
-
1994-06-14soldstatus $1,481,166
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $741 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,127 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$386/yr (+$32/mo · 52.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,662
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$741
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,213
- − Management
- −$2,213
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $12,133
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,912
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Federal Way School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302820
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,594
- Composite
- 38.79/100
- National rank
- #8361
- State rank
- #207 of 291 in WA
Livability — Federal Way
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #6403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Federal Way, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 102,067
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,619
- Household income
- $75,319
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2895.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 19% Two or more races 16% Asian 13% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Swedish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -623.87%
- Current HPI
- 327.5371
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.33%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-92.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $115,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-08 Sold (MLS) $100,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-17 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-05 Price Changed $110,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-13 Price Changed $117,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-27 Price Changed $125,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-06 Listed $133,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-06 Sold (MLS) $55,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-22 Listed $63,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $1,481,166 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $741 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…