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11856 Kilbourne St
D+ Composite 46.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

11856 Kilbourne St · Detroit, MI 48213
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,231 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1952 5,663 sqft lot $89/sqft · 67% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow that perfectly blends comfort and style! Step inside to find brand-new flooring throughout and a beautifully remodeled kitchen featuring modern finishes and plenty of space for cooking and entertaining. The home also includes a versatile bonus room - ideal for a home office, gaming area, or cozy retreat. With its inviting layout and thoughtful updates, this move-in-ready gem is waiting for you to make it your own! Virtually staged.

Key facts

  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Brand new flooring
  • Versatile bonus room

Tags

BRAND NEW FLOORINGREMODELED KITCHENVERSATILE BONUS ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 148.53 (0.13 acre)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Seven total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($895/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,337/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $110k implies a 323% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.91%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,930
List price
$110,000
Delta
66.84%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11091 Wilshire Dr 0.30mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,205 (-2%) 3mo $15,000 $12 73
12019 Sanford St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,149 (-7%) 2mo $31,500 $27 72
11833 Wilfred St 0.18mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,340 (+9%) 7mo $100,000 $75 64
11090 Patrick Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,180 (-4%) 3mo $55,000 $47 63
11566 Sanford St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,048 (-15%) 2mo $55,000 $52 56
11226 Minden St 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,169 (-5%) 3mo $49,000 $42 53
8750 E Outer Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,070 (-13%) 7mo $102,000 $95 52
8801 E Outer Dr 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,047 (-15%) 1mo $40,000 $38 51
13001 Promenade St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,124 (-9%) 6mo $73,800 $66 48
12328 Longview St 0.52mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,400 (+14%) 1mo $85,000 $61 47
11785 Nashville St 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,360 (+10%) 4mo $55,000 $40 45
11860 College St 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,395 (+13%) 9mo $71,000 $51 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-12,919
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-4,500
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48213

Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,337 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$359 /mo · $4,307/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$75

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,243
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 990 $3,102 $3.13 14d 1 0.17mi
12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,250 $1.02 17d 1 0.28mi
12110 Christy St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,200 $1.26 17d 1 0.45mi
12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 43d 1 0.45mi
12210 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 43d 1 0.49mi
11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 17d 1 0.64mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 18d 1 0.64mi
11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,450 $1.07 3d 1 0.66mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 5d 1 0.67mi
11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 43d 1 0.71mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 0.93mi
11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 43d 1 1.00mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 1.01mi
17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,450 $1.10 17d 1 1.03mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 43d 1 1.16mi
17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,100 $1.02 17d 1 1.17mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 18d 1 1.21mi
9142 Isham Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,344 $1.34 17d 1 1.32mi
18119 Joann St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 24d 1 1.33mi
11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 942 $1,050 $1.11 43d 1 1.38mi
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 24d 1 1.41mi
9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 15d 1 1.44mi
9354 Bessemore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,294 $1.15 17d 1 1.45mi
18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,450 $1.66 22d 1 1.49mi
18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,450 $1.57 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-06
    listed $110,000 Active 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow that perfectly blends comfort and style! Step inside to find brand-new flooring throughout and a beautifully remodeled kitchen featuring modern finishes and plenty of space for cooking and entertaining. The home also includes a versatile bonus room - ideal for a home office, gaming area, or cozy retreat. With its inviting layout and thoughtful updates, this move-in-ready gem is waiting for you to make it your own! Virtually staged.

  15. 2026-05-06
    listed $110,000 Active 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow that perfectly blends comfort and style! Step inside to find brand-new flooring throughout and a beautifully remodeled kitchen featuring modern finishes and plenty of space for cooking and entertaining. The home also includes a versatile bonus room - ideal for a home office, gaming area, or cozy retreat. With its inviting layout and thoughtful updates, this move-in-ready gem is waiting for you to make it your own! Virtually staged.

  16. 2026-05-04
    historical
  17. 2026-05-04
    historical
  18. 2026-02-20
    price $110,000
  19. 2026-02-19
    price $110,000
  20. 2025-12-17
    price $115,000
  21. 2025-12-16
    price $115,000
  22. 2025-11-03
    listed $120,000 Active
  23. 2025-11-03
    listed $120,000 Active
  24. 2005-09-14
    historical
  25. 2005-08-08
    listed $104,000
  26. 1995-10-25
    soldstatus $26,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,307 · $359/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,307 · $359/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,044
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$4,307
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,283
− Management
−$1,283
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$743
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$178
After-tax cash flow
$1,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,075
Household income
$34,003
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1202.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.86%
Current HPI
217.2037
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+323.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-17 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-09-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-08-08 Listed $104,000 REALCOMP
  • 1995-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,307 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…