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150 Tanglewood Dr
D- Composite 37.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Cash flow +3.0/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$269,000

150 Tanglewood Dr · Wallenpaupack Lake Estates, PA 18426
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1972 1.30 ac lot $350/sqft · 125% above area Est $359k · 25% under $146/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your Pocono escape in the highly desirable Tanglwood Lakes community, where nature, lifestyle, and opportunity come together. Set on a generous 1.3-acre wooded lot, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers over 1,500 square feet of living space, providing the perfect blend of privacy and potential. Whether you are looking for a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment opportunity, this property offers the flexibility to suit a variety of needs. The interior features a warm and inviting layout with multiple living spaces, highlighted by two fireplaces that create the perfect setting for cozy Pocono evenings. An added bar area for entertaining makes hosting friends and family effortless, offering a great space to gather and unwind. Outside, enjoy the peaceful setting surrounded by mature trees, fresh mountain air, and the natural beauty the Poconos are known for. Located within Tanglwood Lakes, residents benefit from a wide range of community amenities, including exclusive access to a private beach and boat dock area on Lake Wallenpaupack reserved for Tanglwood Lakes residents only. Additional amenities include a private lake for kayaking and fishing, Paupack Hills Golf Course, tennis and pickleball courts, fitness center, clubhouse, walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas. Conveniently located just minutes from Lake Wallenpaupack and close to local dining, shopping, and Pocono attractions, this property offers both tranquility and accessibility. This is an excellent opportunity to own in one of the Poconos' most sought-after communities, offering space, lifestyle, and long-term value.

Key facts

  • Boat dock area
  • Private beach
  • 1.3 acre wooded lot

Tags

TANGLWOOD LAKES COMMUNITY1.3 ACRE WOODED LOTTWO FIREPLACESBAR AREA FOR ENTERTAININGPRIVATE BEACHBOAT DOCK AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $269k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-875 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (57.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (53.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (57.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#896 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Wallenpaupack South El Sch (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 255 students, 72% FRL); Wallenpaupack Area Ms (math 23% / reading 57%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 644 students, 59% FRL); Wallenpaupack Area Hs (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #48 of 437 statewide, top 11%, 990 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 44% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $269k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $114,456 (57.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 57% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.46%
Cap rate
2.39%
Cash-on-cash
-13.94%
DSCR
0.38
GRM
18.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$359,079
List price
$269,000
Delta
-25.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
115 Hidden Ln 0.49mi 3/1.0 837 (+9%) 19mo $245,000 $293 42
112 Courtney Ln 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 700 (-9%) 13mo $480,000 $686 38
972 Rt 507 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 856 (+12%) 19mo $225,000 $263 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-19,696
Equity at exit
$124,783
10-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$3,622
Equity at exit
$195,337

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18426

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
18.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,245 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,411
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,276/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$146
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$-875

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,352
Max offer price $114,456
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-723 -5% $-799 +0% $-875 +5% $-951 +10% $-1,027
Rent -10% $-973 -5% $-924 +0% $-875 +5% $-826 +10% $-776
Rate -1.0pp $-739 -0.5pp $-806 base $-875 +0.5pp $-945 +1.0pp $-1,015

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,250
Closing costs
$8,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$146 · $1,752/yr
Likely covers
landscapinggym

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $269,000 Pending 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $269,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-04-11
    listed $269,000 Active 1638-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1638 chars)

    Welcome to your Pocono escape in the highly desirable Tanglwood Lakes community, where nature, lifestyle, and opportunity come together. Set on a generous 1.3-acre wooded lot, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers over 1,500 square feet of living space, providing the perfect blend of privacy and potential. Whether you are looking for a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment opportunity, this property offers the flexibility to suit a variety of needs. The interior features a warm and inviting layout with multiple living spaces, highlighted by two fireplaces that create the perfect setting for cozy Pocono evenings. An added bar area for entertaining makes hosting friends and family effortless, offering a great space to gather and unwind. Outside, enjoy the peaceful setting surrounded by mature trees, fresh mountain air, and the natural beauty the Poconos are known for. Located within Tanglwood Lakes, residents benefit from a wide range of community amenities, including exclusive access to a private beach and boat dock area on Lake Wallenpaupack reserved for Tanglwood Lakes residents only. Additional amenities include a private lake for kayaking and fishing, Paupack Hills Golf Course, tennis and pickleball courts, fitness center, clubhouse, walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas. Conveniently located just minutes from Lake Wallenpaupack and close to local dining, shopping, and Pocono attractions, this property offers both tranquility and accessibility. This is an excellent opportunity to own in one of the Poconos' most sought-after communities, offering space, lifestyle, and long-term value.

  8. 2026-04-09
    listed $269,000 Active 1638-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1638 chars)

    Welcome to your Pocono escape in the highly desirable Tanglwood Lakes community, where nature, lifestyle, and opportunity come together. Set on a generous 1.3-acre wooded lot, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers over 1,500 square feet of living space, providing the perfect blend of privacy and potential. Whether you are looking for a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment opportunity, this property offers the flexibility to suit a variety of needs. The interior features a warm and inviting layout with multiple living spaces, highlighted by two fireplaces that create the perfect setting for cozy Pocono evenings. An added bar area for entertaining makes hosting friends and family effortless, offering a great space to gather and unwind. Outside, enjoy the peaceful setting surrounded by mature trees, fresh mountain air, and the natural beauty the Poconos are known for. Located within Tanglwood Lakes, residents benefit from a wide range of community amenities, including exclusive access to a private beach and boat dock area on Lake Wallenpaupack reserved for Tanglwood Lakes residents only. Additional amenities include a private lake for kayaking and fishing, Paupack Hills Golf Course, tennis and pickleball courts, fitness center, clubhouse, walking trails, playgrounds, and recreational areas. Conveniently located just minutes from Lake Wallenpaupack and close to local dining, shopping, and Pocono attractions, this property offers both tranquility and accessibility. This is an excellent opportunity to own in one of the Poconos' most sought-after communities, offering space, lifestyle, and long-term value.

  9. 2026-04-07
    listed $269,000 Active
  10. 2025-09-02
    price $259,900
  11. 2025-08-04
    status Active
  12. 2025-08-01
    status Active
  13. 2025-01-08
    listed $270,000 Active
  14. 2005-02-22
    soldstatus $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,276 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,263 · $272/mo
Expected delta
+$987/yr (+$82/mo · 43.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,940
− Mortgage interest
−$15,068
− Property taxes
−$2,276
− Insurance
−$1,345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,195
− Management
−$1,195
− HOA
−$1,752
− Depreciation
−$7,825
Taxable loss
−$15,717
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,772
After-tax cash flow
$-6,726/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallenpaupack Area SD
NCES district ID
4224750
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,027
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3345
State rank
#192 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wallenpaupack Lake Estates

Score
68/100
State rank
#896
US rank
#9541

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,426

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.25%
Current HPI
236.763
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $269,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $269,000 PMAR
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $269,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $259,900 PWMLS
  • 2025-08-04 Relisted PWMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Relisted PWMLS
  • 2025-01-08 Listed $270,000 PWMLS
  • 2005-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,276 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…