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412 Rockwell St
B Composite 71.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

412 Rockwell St · Kewanee, IL 61443
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,548 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1895 8,276 sqft lot Est $118k · 28% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home that is full of character and potential. This property features a versatile 2nd living room on the main level that could serve as a 4th bedroom, game room, hobby space, or home office. The property also features 2-car detached garage, large enclosed rear porch, bay windows, and beautiful wood work that is ready to be restored. With the right vision, updates, and repairs, this property has the potential to be transformed into a truly stunning home. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Wood work
  • Enclosed rear porch
  • Bay windows

Tags

2ND LIVING ROOMDETACHED GARAGEENCLOSED REAR PORCHBAY WINDOWSWOOD WORK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage owned; Concrete parking; Total 2 parking spaces (2 garage spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story design; Fee simple ownership; Property over 100 years old; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch on main level (9 x 26); Lot dimensions approximately 58 x 144; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; Public water; Public sewer

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (20 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Master bedroom on second level (13 x 13); Second bedroom on second level (13 x 13); Third bedroom on second level (12 x 10); Attic on third level (20 x 14)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Eight total rooms; Unfinished full basement; Separate dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#409 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Kewanee CUSD 229 (town): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #540 of 620 in IL (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
9.85%
Cash-on-cash
12.72%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$117,648
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
516 W Prospect St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,548 (0%) 8mo $75,000 $48 89
837 Beach St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,639 (+6%) 4mo $120,000 $73 73
300 Beach St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,577 (+2%) 6mo $157,500 $100 66
328 E Prospect St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,443 (-7%) 2mo $110,000 $76 62
337 Whitney Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,656 (+7%) 1mo $141,299 $85 60
1231 Western Ave 0.64mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,568 (+1%) 4mo $13,000 $8 60
613 Roosevelt Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,560 (+1%) 6mo $150,000 $96 59
237 Birch Pl 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-7%) 0mo $240,000 $167 57
1111 Pine St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,360 (-12%) 2mo $34,000 $25 51
418 E Division St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,684 (+9%) 5mo $125,000 $74 49
206 Roosevelt Ave 0.40mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,317 (-15%) 6mo $112,000 $85 45
407 Ross St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,779 (+15%) 6mo $74,000 $42 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$2,388
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$23,164
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61443

Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,228 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$237 /mo · $2,844/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $909
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $300 -5% $276 +0% $252 +5% $228 +10% $204
Rent -10% $155 -5% $204 +0% $252 +5% $301 +10% $349
Rate -1.0pp $295 -0.5pp $274 base $252 +0.5pp $230 +1.0pp $208

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 497-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,844 · $237/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,844 · $237/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,740
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$2,844
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,179
− Management
−$1,179
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,878
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$451
After-tax cash flow
$2,576/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kewanee CUSD 229
NCES district ID
1721000
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$38,294
Composite
11.77/100
National rank
#9682
State rank
#540 of 620 in IL

Livability — Kewanee

Score
69/100
State rank
#409
US rank
#8423

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kewanee, IL
Population (ZIP)
13,529

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,376 people
By 2030
45,920 · -3.1%
By 2040
42,829 · -9.6%
By 2050
39,606 · -16.4%
By 2075
31,848 · -32.8%
By 2100
23,503 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% English 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -24.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.5 2020: R+21.4 2016: R+21.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+7.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.32%
Current HPI
121.8672
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+26.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,844 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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