CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
875 Johnson St W
D+ Composite 47.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

875 Johnson St W · Staunton, VA 24401
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,076 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1999 5,227 sqft lot Est $235k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Location, Location, Location. Within walking distance to downtown Staunton and Mary Baldwin University this well maintained one story home is a Staunton GEM! Recently updated ready for the next owner to move right in. The fully fenced in back yard is perfect for all of your two and four legged friends. Not to mention the newly built back patio. Come and take a look at this beauty before its too late.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1999

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: Surveillance system
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Fiber optic available
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One story
  • Construction: Stick-built construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: 0.12-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One main-level full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main floor; Living room; Dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-650/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (4.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (20.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $168k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.0% in Staunton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#56 in VA, #1,524 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Staunton City Public School District (urban): math 48% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #73 of 131 in VA (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bessie Weller Elementary (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #742 of 1,108 statewide, top 70%, 369 students, 99% FRL); Shelburne Middle (math 43% / reading 66%, grade B-, #194 of 342 statewide, top 60%, 574 students, 99% FRL); Staunton High (math 48% / reading 77%, grade B-, #226 of 319 statewide, top 72%, 822 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 47% district-wide (52 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 303 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 71 units permitted in Staunton city in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Staunton County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $182k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,929 (20.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.03%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$234,568
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1323 Jackson St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,088 (+1%) 7mo $100,000 $92 75
102 W Liberty St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,080 (+0%) 5mo $235,000 $218 67
321 Westwood Blvd 0.32mi 3/2.0 996 (-7%) 2mo $255,000 $256 67
324 Green St 0.16mi 2/1.5 (-1) 960 (-11%) 3mo $175,000 $182 65
1127 Johnson St W 0.14mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,224 (+14%) 5mo $195,000 $159 59
216 Thompson St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,150 (+7%) 5mo $263,900 $229 57
1640 Buick St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,088 (+1%) 8mo $140,000 $129 54
501 Hays Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,154 (+7%) 5mo $195,000 $169 51
315 Austin Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,190 (+11%) 7mo $150,000 $126 51
100 Olive St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,000 (-7%) 3mo $232,500 $233 48
802 Burwell Ave 0.73mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,108 (+3%) 4mo $299,900 $271 46
6 Mcarthur St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+12%) 8mo $289,490 $241 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-32,687
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-12,087
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24401

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
303
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,679 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,638/yr
Insurance
$88
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$-54

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,748
Max offer price $200,431
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $65 -5% $5 +0% $-54 +5% $-114 +10% $-173
Rent -10% $-187 -5% $-120 +0% $-54 +5% $12 +10% $78
Rate -1.0pp $52 -0.5pp $-1 base $-54 +0.5pp $-109 +1.0pp $-164

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1013 Seth Dr Unit 702 Staunton, VA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 45d 1 0.48mi
1008 Seth Dr Staunton, VA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,750 $1.35 45d 1 0.62mi
315 Kalorama St Staunton, VA 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 45d 1 0.68mi
818 N Augusta St Staunton, VA 2.0 2.0 1280 $1,995 $1.56 45d 1 0.75mi
2504 Hickory St Unit A Staunton, VA 2.0 2.0 1012 $1,450 $1.43 45d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 399-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $210,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,638 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,722 · $144/mo
Expected delta
+$84/yr (+$7/mo · 5.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,151
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$1,638
− Insurance
−$1,716
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,612
− Management
−$1,612
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$4,300
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,032
After-tax cash flow
$382/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Staunton City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103690
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$42,712
Composite
48.23/100
National rank
#2163
State rank
#73 of 131 in VA

Livability — Staunton

Score
81/100
State rank
#56
US rank
#1524

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Staunton, VA
County
Staunton City · 38,756 people
City population
38,756
Metro
Staunton, VA
Population (ZIP)
38,756
Household income
$66,300
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
1306.0

Population outlook (Staunton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,515 people
By 2030
26,060 · +2.1%
By 2040
27,024 · +5.9%
By 2050
27,926 · +9.4%
By 2075
29,334 · +15.0%
By 2100
29,046 · +13.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Staunton

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.0% · R 42.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+11.2pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+9.9 2016: D+1.8 2012: D+4.1 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -283.01%
Current HPI
210.049
Rent YoY
▲ 5.77%
Metro
Staunton, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Pending GAAR
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $210,000 GAAR
  • 2023-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $182,000 Public Records
  • 2023-04-03 Sold (MLS) $182,000 GAAR
  • 2023-02-22 Pending GAAR
  • 2023-01-19 Listed $182,500 GAAR
  • 2019-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2019-05-01 Sold (MLS) $110,000 GAAR
  • 2019-01-26 Listed $110,000 GAAR

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,638 · +24.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…