1621 Stocker Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$61,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy home with detached garage! New slab in the backyard and privacy fence. Roof was replaced in 2024! Updated bathroom, conveniently located by shopping, restaurants and freeway, a well-maintained home ready for its next owners, Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- New slab
- Privacy fence
- Updated bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (approximately 1.5 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built with aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Porch; Fenced front and back yards; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, gas oven, refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes living spaces and bedrooms)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $61k).
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $422 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $61k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.94%
- DSCR
- 2.51
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $50,336
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3205 Clairmont St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 888 (-8%) | 3mo | $42,000 | $47 | 82 |
| 3018 Fielding St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 993 (+3%) | 1mo | $21,000 | $21 | 73 |
| 1205 Stocker Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,024 (+6%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $54 | 71 |
| 2729 Chicago Blvd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 895 (-8%) | 2mo | $88,000 | $98 | 70 |
| 3801 Augusta St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 949 (-2%) | 3mo | $63,000 | $66 | 69 |
| 1114 Clancy Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,009 (+4%) | 3mo | $36,000 | $36 | 68 |
| 2810 Gibson St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 892 (-8%) | 1mo | $15,500 | $17 | 63 |
| 924 Hammond Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 948 (-2%) | 5mo | $51,000 | $54 | 62 |
| 1115 Barney Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 833 (-14%) | 5mo | $43,500 | $52 | 58 |
| 2621 Swayze St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,043 (+8%) | 3mo | $76,950 | $74 | 57 |
| 2429 Brown St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 933 (-4%) | 4mo | $8,500 | $9 | 54 |
| 1555 Bradley Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,107 (+14%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $41 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $26,963
- Equity at exit
- $9,095
- IRR
- 44.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.31×
- Total profit
- $90,770
- Equity at exit
- $5,274
Cash invested: $17,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48503
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,147 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$320
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $938/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $483
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,250
- Closing costs
- $1,830
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3701 Whitney Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3901 Herrick St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3929 Larchmont St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 806 Barney Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 314 Sheffield Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,250 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-02status $61,000 Pending 7 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $61,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $61,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $61,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-25$61,000 Active
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Cozy home with detached garage! New slab in the backyard and privacy fence. Roof was replaced in 2024! Updated bathroom, conveniently located by shopping, restaurants and freeway, a well-maintained home ready for its next owners, Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-25$61,000 Active 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Cozy home with detached garage! New slab in the backyard and privacy fence. Roof was replaced in 2024! Updated bathroom, conveniently located by shopping, restaurants and freeway, a well-maintained home ready for its next owners, Schedule your showing today!
-
2018-08-17soldstatus $35,000
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2018-08-06soldstatus $35,000 Sold 436-char remark
Show marketing remark (436 chars)
Charming well maintained 3 bedroom ranch home with a 1 car detached garage, covered porch and a cement patio area for all your entertaining needs. New floor covering and paint in bath and New outdoor carpet on front and side porches. Located near all conveniences with easy access to I 75 and I 69 for commuters. Nothing to do but move in and make it home! Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information
-
2018-08-06soldstatus $35,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (436 chars)
Charming well maintained 3 bedroom ranch home with a 1 car detached garage, covered porch and a cement patio area for all your entertaining needs. New floor covering and paint in bath and New outdoor carpet on front and side porches. Located near all conveniences with easy access to I 75 and I 69 for commuters. Nothing to do but move in and make it home! Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information
-
2018-07-12status Pending
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2018-07-09status Pending 436-char remark
Show marketing remark (436 chars)
Charming well maintained 3 bedroom ranch home with a 1 car detached garage, covered porch and a cement patio area for all your entertaining needs. New floor covering and paint in bath and New outdoor carpet on front and side porches. Located near all conveniences with easy access to I 75 and I 69 for commuters. Nothing to do but move in and make it home! Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information
-
2018-06-23price $35,000
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2018-06-22price $35,000 436-char remark
Show marketing remark (436 chars)
Charming well maintained 3 bedroom ranch home with a 1 car detached garage, covered porch and a cement patio area for all your entertaining needs. New floor covering and paint in bath and New outdoor carpet on front and side porches. Located near all conveniences with easy access to I 75 and I 69 for commuters. Nothing to do but move in and make it home! Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information
-
2018-06-08$39,900 Active 436-char remark
Show marketing remark (436 chars)
Charming well maintained 3 bedroom ranch home with a 1 car detached garage, covered porch and a cement patio area for all your entertaining needs. New floor covering and paint in bath and New outdoor carpet on front and side porches. Located near all conveniences with easy access to I 75 and I 69 for commuters. Nothing to do but move in and make it home! Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information
-
2018-06-08$39,900 Active
Show marketing remark (436 chars)
Charming well maintained 3 bedroom ranch home with a 1 car detached garage, covered porch and a cement patio area for all your entertaining needs. New floor covering and paint in bath and New outdoor carpet on front and side porches. Located near all conveniences with easy access to I 75 and I 69 for commuters. Nothing to do but move in and make it home! Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information
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2002-01-29soldstatus $63,500
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2002-01-18soldstatus $63,316
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2002-01-18soldstatus $63,316
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2001-12-05historical
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2001-09-24$64,900
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2001-09-24$64,900
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1993-09-07soldstatus $29,000
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1993-09-07soldstatus $29,000
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1993-07-29historical
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1992-11-12$31,900
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1992-11-12$31,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $938 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $939 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1/yr ($0/mo · 0.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,770
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,417
- − Property taxes
- −$938
- − Insurance
- −$305
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,102
- − Management
- −$1,102
- − Depreciation
- −$1,775
- Taxable income
- $5,132
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,232
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,347
- Household income
- $44,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1293.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.84%
- Current HPI
- 130.1152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.35%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+91.2% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $61,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-25 Listed $61,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-06 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-06 Sold (MLS) $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-07-12 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-09 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-06-23 Price Changed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-06-22 Price Changed $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-06-08 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-06-08 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2002-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $63,500 Public Records
- 2002-01-18 Sold (MLS) $63,316 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-01-18 Sold (MLS) $63,316 REALCOMP
- 2001-12-05 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-09-24 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-09-24 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
- 1993-09-07 Sold (MLS) $29,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1993-09-07 Sold (MLS) $29,000 REALCOMP
- 1993-07-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1992-11-12 Listed $31,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1992-11-12 Listed $31,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $938 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…