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1124 Saint Michael Dr
C Composite 58.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

1124 Saint Michael Dr · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 825 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 100 Days on market
Built 1955 6,098 sqft lot $91/sqft · 16% above area Est $65k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute, updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch, move-in ready with new durable flooring throughout and an updated bathroom featuring a tiled shower/tub. Bright, efficient layout offers comfortable living space and low-maintenance finishes. Outside, a fenced backyard provides privacy and room for kids or pets. Excellent location with easy access to I-255 for commuters, close to grocery stores, dining, and daily conveniences. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers or investors wanting to add to their portfolio that are seeking a turnkey property in a convenient, well-connected neighborhood.

Key facts

  • Easy access to i-255
  • Tiled shower tub
  • Close to dining

Tags

UPDATED BATHROOMTILED SHOWER TUBFENCED BACKYARDEASY ACCESS TO I-255CLOSE TO GROCERY STORESCLOSE TO DINING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $575 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,384/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $75k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,250 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
15.50%
Cash-on-cash
32.88%
DSCR
2.46
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,535
List price
$75,000
Delta
16.22%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1109 Saint Helena Dr 0.10mi 3/1.0 825 (0%) 1mo $75,000 $91 90
1114 Saint Helena Dr 0.07mi 3/1.0 875 (+6%) 1mo $82,500 $94 82
1313 Saint Raphael St 0.33mi 3/1.0 864 (+5%) 1mo $105,000 $122 72
1150 Price St 0.49mi 3/1.0 864 (+5%) 1mo $80,000 $93 65
804 Saint Thomas Ln 0.62mi 3/1.0 864 (+5%) 0mo $85,000 $98 59
802 Saint Thomas Ln 0.63mi 3/1.0 864 (+5%) 2mo $105,000 $122 57
103 Kenneth Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 864 (+5%) 1mo $105,000 $122 55
142 Saint Robert Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 864 (+5%) 2mo $105,000 $122 55
457 Mildred Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (+2%) 1mo $43,000 $51 53
1426 Richard Dr 0.61mi 3/1.5 912 (+10%) 2mo $80,000 $88 50
1408 Williams St 0.53mi 3/1.0 936 (+14%) 1mo $80,000 $85 48
1617 Mullens Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-13%) 1mo $56,000 $78 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$24,515
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
35.5%
Equity multiple
4.27×
Total profit
$68,622
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,384 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$575

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 3d 1 0.09mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 14d 1 0.32mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 22d 1 0.35mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 22d 1 0.35mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 14d 1 0.36mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 16d 1 0.36mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 23d 1 0.38mi
142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 2.0 990 $1,300 $1.31 43d 1 0.47mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 0.47mi
121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 43d 1 0.52mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 43d 1 0.54mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 23d 1 0.55mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 22d 1 0.59mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 2d 1 0.61mi
701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 43d 1 0.67mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 16d 1 0.68mi
124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 43d 1 0.72mi
148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,200 $1.39 43d 1 0.72mi
502 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 0.74mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 43d 1 0.74mi
500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 23d 1 0.75mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 43d 1 0.75mi
526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,400 $1.51 3d 1 0.81mi
111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 43d 1 0.82mi
705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1033 $1,600 $1.55 22d 1 0.84mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 2d 1 0.85mi
1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 720 $860 $1.19 14d 1 0.90mi
101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL 2.0 1.0 770 $900 $1.17 43d 1 0.93mi
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 23d 1 0.94mi
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 4d 1 1.17mi
1115 Saint Marcella Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 14d 1 1.32mi
211 Judith Ln East Saint Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 672 $995 $1.48 4d 1 1.33mi
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 22d 1 1.38mi
58 David St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 43d 1 1.43mi
1130 Water St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 23d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $75,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    price $80,000 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Cute, updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch, move-in ready with new durable flooring throughout and an updated bathroom featuring a tiled shower/tub. Bright, efficient layout offers comfortable living space and low-maintenance finishes. Outside, a fenced backyard provides privacy and room for kids or pets. Excellent location with easy access to I-255 for commuters, close to grocery stores, dining, and daily conveniences. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers or investors wanting to add to their portfolio that are seeking a turnkey property in a convenient, well-connected neighborhood.

  16. 2026-03-18
    historical $1,200
  17. 2026-03-10
    listed $87,500 Active 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Cute, updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch, move-in ready with new durable flooring throughout and an updated bathroom featuring a tiled shower/tub. Bright, efficient layout offers comfortable living space and low-maintenance finishes. Outside, a fenced backyard provides privacy and room for kids or pets. Excellent location with easy access to I-255 for commuters, close to grocery stores, dining, and daily conveniences. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers or investors wanting to add to their portfolio that are seeking a turnkey property in a convenient, well-connected neighborhood.

  18. 2026-02-25
    listed $1,200
  19. 2026-01-22
    price $92,000
  20. 2025-12-01
    listed $100,000 Active
  21. 2020-01-27
    soldstatus $45,000
  22. 2019-12-27
    soldstatus Closed
  23. 2019-12-12
    status Pending
  24. 2019-11-26
    listed $19,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,613
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,329
− Management
−$1,329
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$6,072
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,457
After-tax cash flow
$5,447/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+321.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Rental Removed $1,200 REDFIN
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $87,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-25 Listed for Rent $1,200 REDFIN
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $92,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2019-12-27 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-12-12 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-26 Listed $19,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-24.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $45 · -96.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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