1124 Saint Michael Dr · Cahokia Heights, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute, updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch, move-in ready with new durable flooring throughout and an updated bathroom featuring a tiled shower/tub. Bright, efficient layout offers comfortable living space and low-maintenance finishes. Outside, a fenced backyard provides privacy and room for kids or pets. Excellent location with easy access to I-255 for commuters, close to grocery stores, dining, and daily conveniences. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers or investors wanting to add to their portfolio that are seeking a turnkey property in a convenient, well-connected neighborhood.
Key facts
- Easy access to i-255
- Tiled shower tub
- Close to dining
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $575 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,384/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $75k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.88%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $64,535
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- 16.22%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1109 Saint Helena Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 825 (0%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $91 | 90 |
| 1114 Saint Helena Dr | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 875 (+6%) | 1mo | $82,500 | $94 | 82 |
| 1313 Saint Raphael St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+5%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $122 | 72 |
| 1150 Price St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+5%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $93 | 65 |
| 804 Saint Thomas Ln | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+5%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $98 | 59 |
| 802 Saint Thomas Ln | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+5%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $122 | 57 |
| 103 Kenneth Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+5%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $122 | 55 |
| 142 Saint Robert Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+5%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $122 | 55 |
| 457 Mildred Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (+2%) | 1mo | $43,000 | $51 | 53 |
| 1426 Richard Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 912 (+10%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $88 | 50 |
| 1408 Williams St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+14%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $85 | 48 |
| 1617 Mullens Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-13%) | 1mo | $56,000 | $78 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $24,515
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 35.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.27×
- Total profit
- $68,622
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62206
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,384 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $575
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,400 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,500 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $875 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $875 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1150 Price St Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,400 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,285 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 502 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,095 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,400 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,600 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,500 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $860 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $900 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,320 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1115 Saint Marcella Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 211 Judith Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $995 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,400 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 58 David St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1130 Water St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $75,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $80,000 587-char remark
Show marketing remark (587 chars)
Cute, updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch, move-in ready with new durable flooring throughout and an updated bathroom featuring a tiled shower/tub. Bright, efficient layout offers comfortable living space and low-maintenance finishes. Outside, a fenced backyard provides privacy and room for kids or pets. Excellent location with easy access to I-255 for commuters, close to grocery stores, dining, and daily conveniences. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers or investors wanting to add to their portfolio that are seeking a turnkey property in a convenient, well-connected neighborhood.
-
2026-03-18historical $1,200
-
2026-03-10$87,500 Active 587-char remark
Show marketing remark (587 chars)
Cute, updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch, move-in ready with new durable flooring throughout and an updated bathroom featuring a tiled shower/tub. Bright, efficient layout offers comfortable living space and low-maintenance finishes. Outside, a fenced backyard provides privacy and room for kids or pets. Excellent location with easy access to I-255 for commuters, close to grocery stores, dining, and daily conveniences. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers or investors wanting to add to their portfolio that are seeking a turnkey property in a convenient, well-connected neighborhood.
-
2026-02-25$1,200
-
2026-01-22price $92,000
-
2025-12-01$100,000 Active
-
2020-01-27soldstatus $45,000
-
2019-12-27soldstatus Closed
-
2019-12-12status Pending
-
2019-11-26$19,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,613
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,329
- − Management
- −$1,329
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $6,072
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,457
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cahokia CUSD 187
- NCES district ID
- 1708040
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 5% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,028
- Composite
- 6.44/100
- National rank
- #14827
- State rank
- #864 of 919 in IL
Livability — Cahokia Heights
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cahokia Heights, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 19,956
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,959
- Household income
- $33,838
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 729.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.26%
- Current HPI
- 131.5144
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+321.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Rental Removed $1,200 REDFIN
- 2026-03-10 Listed $87,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Listed for Rent $1,200 REDFIN
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $92,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-01 Listed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2019-12-27 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-12 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-26 Listed $19,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-24.3%/yrLatest (2024): $45 · -96.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…