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1027 Central Ave
C+ Composite 64.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$79,900

1027 Central Ave · Gary, IN 46407
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1955 4,791 sqft lot Est $58k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bed, 1 bath home with an unfinished basement and plenty of value add potential. Whether you are a handy homeowner looking to build equity or an investor searching for your next project, this property offers a great opportunity to bring your vision to life. Sold as is. Opportunities like this do not last long.

Key facts

  • Value add potential
  • Unfinished basement
  • 4,791 sq ft lot

Tags

UNFINISHED BASEMENTVALUE ADD POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Vacant and available for immediate occupancy

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: One-story property; Built in 1955; Property listed as fixer condition
  • Construction: Has basement (unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Neighborhood view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes appliances (other)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Other cooling
  • Interior features: No notable built-in interior features; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utility space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,283/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 392% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $783 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.22%
Cash-on-cash
24.75%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$58,464
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1027 Central Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,008 (0%) 1mo $69,000 $68 99
1151 Delaware St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,057 (+5%) 9mo $34,500 $33 65
825 E 14th Ave 0.13mi 3/1.0 900 (-11%) 19mo $43,000 $48 60
1953 Carolina St 0.45mi 3/1.0 936 (-7%) 13mo $125,000 $134 56
2047 Ohio St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+8%) 6mo $92,000 $84 51
905 E 19th Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,145 (+14%) 16mo $66,500 $58 47
655 Vermont St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+7%) 13mo $36,500 $34 44
1996 Central Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 935 (-7%) 16mo $108,000 $116 41
647 Vermont St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (+9%) 13mo $36,500 $33 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$30,819
Equity at exit
$27,192
10-year hold
IRR
29.6%
Equity multiple
4.56×
Total profit
$79,659
Equity at exit
$36,070

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46407

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,283 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1329 Delaware St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.41mi
1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 21d 1 0.44mi
844 Tennessee St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 44d 1 0.47mi
1843 Illinois St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $1,200 $1.66 17d 1 0.52mi
2061 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $950 $0.97 44d 1 0.66mi
2025 Central Dr Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,550 $1.77 44d 1 0.76mi
1030 E 6th Ave Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,600 $1.14 1d 1 0.79mi
2022 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 965 $1,000 $1.04 1d 1 0.79mi
2306 Vermont St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,300 $1.08 1d 1 0.87mi
672 Connecticut St Apt 1S Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1247 $875 $0.70 15d 1 0.87mi
2257 Central Dr Gary, IN 4.0 2.0 1220 $1,650 $1.35 44d 1 0.88mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 4d 1 0.90mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Unit B Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 989 $1,150 $1.16 1d 1 0.90mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 1d 1 0.90mi
2300 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 19d 1 0.93mi
2355 Rhode Island St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 701 $1,095 $1.56 44d 1 0.94mi
2336 Delaware St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 816 $1,100 $1.35 1d 1 0.99mi
2425 Prospect St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1051 $1,400 $1.33 1d 1 1.03mi
2453 Prospect St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 704 $1,095 $1.56 1d 1 1.06mi
840 W 19th Ave Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1035 $1,150 $1.11 19d 1 1.27mi
501 Madison St Gary, IN 1.0–4.0 1.0 883 $1,362 $1.54 1d 11 1.27mi
1572 Polk St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 1d 1 1.32mi
2561 E 23rd Ave Gary, IN 4.0 1.0 1490 $1,350 $0.91 44d 1 1.36mi
2612 Marshalltown Dr Gary, IN 4.0 1.0 1195 $1,450 $1.21 3d 1 1.39mi
2612 Marshalltown Dr Gary, IN 4.0 1.0 1195 $1,450 $1.21 11d 1 1.39mi
1521 Pierce St Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 1d 1 1.42mi
2908 Central Dr Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 884 $1,525 $1.73 1d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-18
    listed $79,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,396
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,198
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,232
− Management
−$1,232
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$4,534
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,088
After-tax cash flow
$4,448/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
8,577
Household income
$28,526
Rent vs Own
58.8% rent · 41.2% own
Severe rent burden
392.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.98%
Current HPI
253.2856
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $79,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-18.5%/yr

Latest (2019): $60 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…