852 E Grangeville Blvd #46 · Hanford, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 49 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 50 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$108,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in Sierra Vista Mobile Estates. Offering a functional layout with comfortable living spaces, this home provides an ideal setup for both everyday living and entertaining. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and main roadways along Grangeville Blvd, the location makes commuting and errands simple. Enjoy community amenities and a low-maintenance lifestyle in an established park setting.
Key facts
- Community amenities
- Functional layout
- Pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private in-ground fenced pool; Spa/Hot tub (in-ground, community); Paved road access
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected; 220 volts in kitchen; Cable connected; Phone connected
- Home design: Manufactured in park (Double wide manufactured home)
- Construction: Composition roof; Skirting: aluminum and wood; Mobile home width approximately 12; Mobile home length approximately 4910
- Exterior features: Covered patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Microwave; Built-in gas range; Cooktop
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer (listed with appliances); Laundry located in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $108k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 3.9% in Hanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in CA, #4,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, cost of living F.
- Hanford Joint Union High (urban): math 20% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #765 of 1,400 in CA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 741 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $747 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.06%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $117,800
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 852 E Grangeville Blvd #71 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-2%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $109 | 84 |
| 860 E Grangeville Blvd #107 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+2%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $100 | 79 |
| 860 E Grangeville Blvd #11 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+14%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $78 | 66 |
| 860 E Grangeville Blvd #153 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+14%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $89 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $20,918
- Equity at exit
- $16,103
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $67,129
- Equity at exit
- $9,338
Cash invested: $30,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93230
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 430
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,712 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$566
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$135 /mo · $1,620/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $606
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,000
- Closing costs
- $3,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1823 N 10th Ave Unit 1819 Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1819 N 10th Ave Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| SAND CYN Outside Area (Inside Ca), CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 949 | $2,269 | $2.39 | 13d | 3 | 0.34mi |
| 2144 Beechwood Ct Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2337 N 10th Ave Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,795 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1373 Van Ct Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 201 E 11th St Unit C Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,295 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 630 Neville St Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1399 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1920 N 11th Ave Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 412 Ford St Unit 2 Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,150 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1424 Rodgers Rd Unit 1496 Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,250 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $108,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $108,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $108,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $108,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $108,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $108,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $108,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $108,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $108,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $108,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $108,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $108,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $108,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $108,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $108,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $108,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $108,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-27$108,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 49 unhealthy d/yr today · 50 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,547
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,050
- − Property taxes
- −$1,620
- − Insurance
- −$540
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,644
- − Management
- −$1,644
- − Depreciation
- −$3,142
- Taxable income
- $5,908
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,418
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,858/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hanford Joint Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0616500
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,265
- Composite
- 35.8/100
- National rank
- #9626
- State rank
- #765 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Hanford
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #4255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hanford, CA
- County
- Kings County · 107,655 people
- City population
- 69,684
- Metro
- Hanford-Corcoran, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,684
- Household income
- $76,023
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2081.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 147,136 people
- By 2030
- 145,623 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 146,017 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 145,239 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 131,479 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 103,967 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.4% · R 60.4% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.9pp toward R · 2008: -14.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+12.2 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -267.79%
- Current HPI
- 321.3409
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.87%
- Metro
- Hanford-Corcoran, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $108,000 TCMLS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $176 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…