🏗️ New Construction
Huntington Plan · Visalia, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.8%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 37 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 39 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
55+ age qualified community. DBA: Decal: CAV220CA2542894A/B Dealer Number: 91126.Welcome to Royal Oaks a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, brand new, beautiful, updated 2026 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale featuring 1,290 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Visalia, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find an open-concept floor plan, hardwood floors, washer/dryer hookups and central air. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, dishwasher, refrigerator, microwave, center island, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like dual vanities and walk in shower. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests or a home office. . Outside you will enjoy a front porch and low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Royal Oaks, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including a resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, billiard room, and dog park. . Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, major highways, parks, public transportation, etc. , you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Ask us about financing options. Call today to schedule a tour!
Key facts
- Washer dryer hookups
- Central air
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.1% vs local median 3.3% in Visalia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#196 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, cost of living F.
- Visalia Unified (urban): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #273 of 517 in CA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 552 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,447 units permitted in Tulare County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $510 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulare County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.12%
- DSCR
- 3.99
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $73,782
- List price
- $154,900
- Delta
- 109.94%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 N Akers St #47 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-5%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $84 | 83 |
| 415 N Akers St #48 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+3%) | 7mo | $25,000 | $19 | 81 |
| 415 N Akers St #64 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (-10%) | 20mo | $100,000 | $85 | 64 |
| 225 N Akers St #117 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+10%) | 11mo | $74,800 | $52 | 62 |
| 225 N Akers St #306 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+7%) | 23mo | $33,000 | $24 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $61,931
- Equity at exit
- $11,001
- IRR
- 70.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.25×
- Total profit
- $149,878
- Equity at exit
- $6,379
Cash invested: $20,659 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93291
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 552
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,108 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$387
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$92 /mo · $1,107/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$443
- Net cashflow
- $1,156
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,445
- Closing costs
- $2,213
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 537 N Tommy St Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1706 | $2,995 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5936 W Oak Ave Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1679 | $1,950 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 5948 W Crowley Ave Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,270 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4731 W School Ave Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 201 N Bollinger St Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $1,995 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4845 W Cypress Ave Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $1,650 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4401 W Goshen Ave Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 13d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 4230 W Grove Ct Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1734 | $2,300 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 700 S Linwood St Unit 720 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4928 Westgate Ct Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $2,200 | $2.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4052 W Meadow Ave Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,340 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4018 W Elowin Ct Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $2,095 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3900-4054 W Meadow Ave Unit 3936 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,365 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3900-4054 W Meadow Ave Unit 4052 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,340 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3936 W Meadow Ave Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,365 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 815 S Demaree St Apt 40 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 890 | $1,300 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 815 S Demaree St Unit 33 Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 890 | $1,300 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 815 S Demaree St Unit 11 Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,400 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6710 W Doe Ave Visalia, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $2,195 | $2.16 | 1d | 4 | 1.28mi |
| 1725 N Silvervale St Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3417 W Campus Ave Visalia, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1849 S Noyes St Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3133 W Mill Creek Dr Visalia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1753 | $2,250 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1212 S Demaree St Visalia, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1644 | $2,500 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $154,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $154,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $154,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $154,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $154,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $154,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $154,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $154,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $154,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $154,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $154,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $154,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-03-13$154,900 Active 1471-char remark
Show marketing remark (1471 chars)
55+ age qualified community. DBA: Decal: CAV220CA2542894A/B Dealer Number: 91126.Welcome to Royal Oaks a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, brand new, beautiful, updated 2026 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale featuring 1,290 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Visalia, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find an open-concept floor plan, hardwood floors, washer/dryer hookups and central air. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, dishwasher, refrigerator, microwave, center island, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like dual vanities and walk in shower. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests or a home office. . Outside you will enjoy a front porch and low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Royal Oaks, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including a resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, billiard room, and dog park. . Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, major highways, parks, public transportation, etc. , you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Ask us about financing options. Call today to schedule a tour!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 80% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,298
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,133
- − Property taxes
- −$1,107
- − Insurance
- −$369
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,024
- − Management
- −$2,024
- − Depreciation
- −$2,146
- Taxable income
- $13,496
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,239
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 2026 manufactured home in a 55+ community is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with updates focusing on curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Interior touch-ups — Enhances interior appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Interior touch-ups — Enhances interior appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Visalia Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0641160
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,672
- Composite
- 30.47/100
- National rank
- #6223
- State rank
- #273 of 517 in CA
Livability — Visalia
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #6351
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Visalia, CA
- County
- Tulare County · 323,826 people
- City population
- 163,333
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,568
- Household income
- $82,610
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1764.0
Population outlook (Tulare County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,681 people
- By 2030
- 496,241 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 518,507 · +7.0%
- By 2050
- 534,920 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 548,417 · +13.2%
- By 2100
- 513,085 · +5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% White 34% Two or more races 17% Asian 9% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulare
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 38.5% · R 59.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+12.1 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.95%
- Current HPI
- 329.0192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Listed $154,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…