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502 S Broad St Lot : 1
D Composite 43.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

502 S Broad St Lot : 1 · Harrison, MI 48625
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily · 214 Days on market
Built 1971 Fair condition 0.38 ac lot $116/sqft · 26% below area Est $195k · 26% under ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space — whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!

Key facts

  • Private bath
  • Main level
  • Fully fenced yard

Tags

MAIN LEVELPRIVATE BATHFOURTH BEDROOMFULLY FENCED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-451/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (3.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (15.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#471 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Harrison Community Schools (town): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #457 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Robert M Larson Elementary School (606 students, 85% FRL); Harrison Middle School (math 21% / reading 34%, grade F, #363 of 493 statewide, top 75%, 282 students, 81% FRL); Harrison Community High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 341 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Clare County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clare County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $122,081 (15.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.11%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$194,669
List price
$145,000
Delta
-25.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
621 S 4th St 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (0%) 13mo $200,000 $160 74
287 E Oak St 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,188 (-5%) 1mo $210,000 $177 68
125 W Oak St 0.22mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,365 (+9%) 3mo $207,896 $152 64
185 N Lake St 0.47mi 4/1.0 1,324 (+6%) 5mo $195,000 $147 60
526 E Park St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,254 (+0%) 12mo $165,000 $132 58
727 Old County Farm Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,378 (+10%) 12mo $165,000 $120 50
433 N Lake St 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,400 (+12%) 7mo $75,000 $54 48
832 Oaklawn St 0.70mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,200 (-4%) 8mo $175,000 $146 47
246 W Maple St 0.55mi 4/1.5 1,354 (+8%) 14mo $200,000 $148 47
375 WESTLAWN St 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,328 (+6%) 16mo $185,000 $139 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-25,874
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-25,541
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48625

Home prices YoY
-25.5%
Active inventory
246
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,221 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$-38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $139,556
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $63 -5% $12 +0% $-38 +5% $-88 +10% $-138
Rent -10% $-134 -5% $-86 +0% $-38 +5% $11 +10% $59
Rate -1.0pp $35 -0.5pp $-1 base $-38 +0.5pp $-75 +1.0pp $-113

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $145,000 Active 214 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $145,000 Active 213 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 211 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 210 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    price $145,000 Active 209 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 209 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 208 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 206 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,000 Active 205 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 202 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 200 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 199 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,000 Active 196 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,000 Active 195 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 194 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 193 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 192 DOM
  19. 2026-05-21
    price $149,000 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space — whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!

  20. 2026-04-13
    price $155,000 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space — whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!

  21. 2026-03-11
    price $160,000 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space — whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!

  22. 2026-01-24
    price $165,000 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space — whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!

  23. 2025-12-24
    price $172,000 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space — whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!

  24. 2025-11-19
    listed $177,000 Active 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space — whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,650
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,172
− Management
−$1,172
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$2,935
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$704
After-tax cash flow
$253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key updates include painting, replacing paneling, and updating the HVAC system.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — black cabinets need updating
  • Minor bathroom paneling — wood paneling could be replaced
  • Minor HVAC unit — unit appears old and may need maintenance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace wood paneling in bathrooms — new paneling improves aesthetics and value
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — new cabinets increase functionality and value
  • Both replace HVAC unit — new unit improves comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · black cabinets need updating Minor $500–3,000
bathroom paneling · wood paneling could be replaced Minor $500–3,000
HVAC unit · unit appears old and may need maintenance Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace wood paneling in bathrooms — new paneling improves aesthetics and value
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — new cabinets increase functionality and value
  • Both replace HVAC unit — new unit improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison Community Schools
NCES district ID
2617820
Math proficiency
17% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$30,377
Composite
18.07/100
National rank
#8977
State rank
#457 of 540 in MI

Livability — Harrison

Score
65/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#13368

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrison, MI
Population (ZIP)
12,939

Population outlook (Clare County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,283 people
By 2030
28,199 · -3.7%
By 2040
25,722 · -12.2%
By 2050
23,372 · -20.2%
By 2075
18,569 · -36.6%
By 2100
14,320 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clare

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.5% · R 68.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-42.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+34.8 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+4.8 2008: D+4.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.38%
Current HPI
234.9586
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $149,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $165,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-24 Price Changed $172,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $177,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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