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48 Wayland Dr
C Composite 57.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$80,000

48 Wayland Dr · Keyser, WV 26726
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 726 sqft · SingleFamily · 126 Days on market
Built 1955 0.59 ac lot ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Simple. Solid. Affordable. A smart place to start. This 726± sq ft, 2-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a level 0.59-acre lot and offers exactly what many buyers are looking for today: simplicity, efficiency, and opportunity. The home itself is straightforward and functional—easy to maintain, economical to own, and well-suited for someone ready to step out on their own and establish independence. The layout makes good use of the space, with two bedrooms, a full bath, and comfortable living areas that are practical and livable. What truly sets this property apart is the lot. The nearly 0.6-acre parcel is level, open, and highly usable, offering ample room for future expansion, a deta

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Usable lot
  • Level lot

Tags

LEVEL LOTUSABLE LOTCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO SHOPPINGROOM FOR FUTURE EXPANSION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed with no pet restrictions
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community:

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel driveway; Driveway parking with 3 spaces (3 driveway/garage and parking spaces total)
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; No municipal trash service
  • Home design: Detached structure; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Building not winterized; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Frame construction; Year built (per assessor)
  • Exterior features: Private, premium, level lot; Not in development; Rural location outside city limits; Gravel road surface with private road responsibility

Interior

  • Kitchen:
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Paneled walls
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($838 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.0% in Keyser — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#93 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mineral County Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #32 of 55 in WV (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Keyser Primary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #324 of 377 statewide, top 89%, 562 students, 0% FRL); Keyser Middle School (math 18% / reading 31%, grade F, #84 of 109 statewide, top 81%, 719 students, 0% FRL); Keyser High School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #42 of 110 statewide, top 47%, 671 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Mineral County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
  • Mineral County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.93%
Cash-on-cash
5.84%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$18,145
Equity at exit
$37,623
10-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$52,999
Equity at exit
$59,299

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26726

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$838 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    price $80,000
  2. 2026-03-23
    price $89,900
  3. 2026-01-22
    listed $94,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,054
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$804
− Management
−$804
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$37
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$9
After-tax cash flow
$1,299/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mineral County Schools
NCES district ID
5400870
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,161
Composite
24.85/100
National rank
#7590
State rank
#32 of 55 in WV

Livability — Keyser

Score
67/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#10850

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,619

Population outlook (Mineral County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,357 people
By 2030
24,009 · -5.3%
By 2040
21,321 · -15.9%
By 2050
18,801 · -25.9%
By 2075
13,934 · -45.0%
By 2100
10,141 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Mineral

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.2) · D 19.2% · R 79.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -60.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.2 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.36%
Current HPI
212.7657
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-15.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $94,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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