330 Manzanares Ln · Monte Vista, CO
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located just 10 minutes outside of Monte Vista, this 4-bedroom home sits on approximately 1.63 acres, offering space, privacy, and incredible potential for the right buyer. The home features large rooms, 1 full bathroom and 2 half baths, plus a detached 2-car garage, providing a solid foundation for your next project. A recent electrical service upgrade has already been completed, offering a great head start on improvements. Please note: This property requires repairs and is priced accordingly. Home is being sold strictly As-Is. With the right vision and improvements, this property could be transformed into a beautiful country home or investment opportunity. Acreage properties like this, so
Key facts
- 1.63 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1956
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Electricity available; Propane; Cellular phone reception; Shared well; Septic tank
- Home design: Two-story; Single family residential
- Construction: Stucco and stick-built construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Leased propane tank; Partial fencing; County road frontage
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 2 half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Hot water heating; Propane heating
- Interior features: Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.8% in Monte Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#123 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Monte Vista School District No. C-8 (town): math 14% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #75 of 86 in CO (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Rio Grande County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rio Grande County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.27%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $15,397
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $54,095
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81144
- Home prices YoY
- -12.2%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,045/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $100,000 Active 22 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,045 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,045 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥83°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,458
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,045
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,397
- − Management
- −$1,397
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,609
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,106
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monte Vista School District No. C-8
- NCES district ID
- 0805760
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,489
- Composite
- 18.41/100
- National rank
- #8936
- State rank
- #75 of 86 in CO
Livability — Monte Vista
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #10457
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,677
Population outlook (Rio Grande County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,470 people
- By 2030
- 9,925 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 8,774 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 7,772 · -25.8%
- By 2075
- 6,080 · -41.9%
- By 2100
- 4,093 · -60.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 45% Two or more races 18% Native American 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 20% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rio Grande
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.2) · D 37.2% · R 60.4% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -8.8pp · 2024: -23.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.2 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+8.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.90%
- Current HPI
- 244.4359
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-28.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $100,000 cren
- 2026-05-29 Relisted — cren
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $129,500 cren
- 2026-04-15 Listed $140,000 cren
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,045 · +26.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…