2152 E Decatur St · Decatur, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,897
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR ALERT - $234,897 FOR A PACKAGE OF 5 HOMES. - 2152 E DECATUR ST $800/MONTH - 2039 E WHITMER $700/MONTH - 1976 E WILLIAM ST $450/MONTH - 1720 N GULICK $710/MONTH - 621 W SAWYER $625/MONTH. MAJORITY OF TENANTS ARE LONG TERM TENANTS, UP TO 17 YEARS. MOST ARE UNDER RENTED, HUGE OPPORTUNITY FOR UPSIDE POTENTIAL.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1926
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $73k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($942 rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $504 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 284 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $227k (76%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $73k implies a 406% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 284 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.14%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $50,377
- List price
- $72,897
- Delta
- 366.27%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $3,516
- Equity at exit
- $10,869
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $22,839
- Equity at exit
- $6,303
Cash invested: $20,411 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62521
- Home prices YoY
- -9.0%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $942 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$382
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,096/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $240
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,224
- Closing costs
- $2,187
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 249 N 17th St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
Listing history 29 events
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2026-06-19days on market $72,897 Active 284 DOM
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2026-06-18remarks 369-char remark
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2026-06-18days on market $72,897 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $72,897 Active 282 DOM
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2026-06-17price $72,897 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $234,897 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $234,897 Active 280 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $234,897 Active 278 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $234,897 Active 277 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $234,897 Active 275 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $234,897 Active 274 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $234,897 Active 273 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $234,897 Active 272 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $234,897 Active 269 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $234,897 Active 267 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $234,897 Active 266 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $234,897 Active 265 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $234,897 Active 264 DOM
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2026-03-25price $234,897 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT - $234,897 FOR A PACKAGE OF 5 HOMES. - 2152 E DECATUR ST $800/MONTH - 2039 E WHITMER $700/MONTH - 1976 E WILLIAM ST $450/MONTH - 1720 N GULICK $710/MONTH - 621 W SAWYER $625/MONTH. MAJORITY OF TENANTS ARE LONG TERM TENANTS, UP TO 17 YEARS. MOST ARE UNDER RENTED, HUGE OPPORTUNITY FOR UPSIDE POTENTIAL.
-
2026-01-06price $239,897 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT - $234,897 FOR A PACKAGE OF 5 HOMES. - 2152 E DECATUR ST $800/MONTH - 2039 E WHITMER $700/MONTH - 1976 E WILLIAM ST $450/MONTH - 1720 N GULICK $710/MONTH - 621 W SAWYER $625/MONTH. MAJORITY OF TENANTS ARE LONG TERM TENANTS, UP TO 17 YEARS. MOST ARE UNDER RENTED, HUGE OPPORTUNITY FOR UPSIDE POTENTIAL.
-
2026-01-05price $284,897 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT - $234,897 FOR A PACKAGE OF 5 HOMES. - 2152 E DECATUR ST $800/MONTH - 2039 E WHITMER $700/MONTH - 1976 E WILLIAM ST $450/MONTH - 1720 N GULICK $710/MONTH - 621 W SAWYER $625/MONTH. MAJORITY OF TENANTS ARE LONG TERM TENANTS, UP TO 17 YEARS. MOST ARE UNDER RENTED, HUGE OPPORTUNITY FOR UPSIDE POTENTIAL.
-
2025-11-06price $294,897 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT - $234,897 FOR A PACKAGE OF 5 HOMES. - 2152 E DECATUR ST $800/MONTH - 2039 E WHITMER $700/MONTH - 1976 E WILLIAM ST $450/MONTH - 1720 N GULICK $710/MONTH - 621 W SAWYER $625/MONTH. MAJORITY OF TENANTS ARE LONG TERM TENANTS, UP TO 17 YEARS. MOST ARE UNDER RENTED, HUGE OPPORTUNITY FOR UPSIDE POTENTIAL.
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2025-09-08price $299,897 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT - $234,897 FOR A PACKAGE OF 5 HOMES. - 2152 E DECATUR ST $800/MONTH - 2039 E WHITMER $700/MONTH - 1976 E WILLIAM ST $450/MONTH - 1720 N GULICK $710/MONTH - 621 W SAWYER $625/MONTH. MAJORITY OF TENANTS ARE LONG TERM TENANTS, UP TO 17 YEARS. MOST ARE UNDER RENTED, HUGE OPPORTUNITY FOR UPSIDE POTENTIAL.
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2025-09-08price $299,879 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT - $234,897 FOR A PACKAGE OF 5 HOMES. - 2152 E DECATUR ST $800/MONTH - 2039 E WHITMER $700/MONTH - 1976 E WILLIAM ST $450/MONTH - 1720 N GULICK $710/MONTH - 621 W SAWYER $625/MONTH. MAJORITY OF TENANTS ARE LONG TERM TENANTS, UP TO 17 YEARS. MOST ARE UNDER RENTED, HUGE OPPORTUNITY FOR UPSIDE POTENTIAL.
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2025-09-08$299,979 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT - $234,897 FOR A PACKAGE OF 5 HOMES. - 2152 E DECATUR ST $800/MONTH - 2039 E WHITMER $700/MONTH - 1976 E WILLIAM ST $450/MONTH - 1720 N GULICK $710/MONTH - 621 W SAWYER $625/MONTH. MAJORITY OF TENANTS ARE LONG TERM TENANTS, UP TO 17 YEARS. MOST ARE UNDER RENTED, HUGE OPPORTUNITY FOR UPSIDE POTENTIAL.
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2016-06-21soldstatus $14,418
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2016-06-21soldstatus $14,418
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2016-05-09$14,000
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2016-05-09$14,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,096 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,375 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$280/yr (+$23/mo · 25.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,307
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,083
- − Property taxes
- −$1,096
- − Insurance
- −$364
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$905
- − Management
- −$905
- − Depreciation
- −$2,121
- Taxable income
- $1,834
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$440
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur SD 61
- NCES district ID
- 1711850
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,864
- Composite
- 3.99/100
- National rank
- #10059
- State rank
- #605 of 620 in IL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1076
- US rank
- #20533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, IL
- County
- Macon County · 78,333 people
- City population
- 78,333
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,665
- Household income
- $66,337
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 640.0
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,568 people
- By 2030
- 94,973 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 85,250 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 75,920 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 55,962 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 36,468 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.96%
- Current HPI
- 180.9274
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+1577.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $234,897 CIBR
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $239,897 CIBR
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $284,897 CIBR
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $294,897 CIBR
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $299,897 CIBR
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $299,879 CIBR
- 2025-09-08 Listed $299,979 CIBR
- 2016-06-21 Sold (MLS) $14,418 CIBR
- 2016-06-21 Sold (MLS) $14,418 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-09 Listed $14,000 CIBR
- 2016-05-09 Listed $14,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,096 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…