1129 1/2 Otter St · Franklin, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bed. 1 Bath Ranch home with Full basement. Sm. back yard. * Property is being Sold as is, Where is, with No warranty or repairs.
Key facts
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- Built 1936
- Listed 356 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $553 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($988 rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 35.5% vs local median 4.8% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#812 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, employment D.
- Franklin Area SD (rural): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #388 of 539 in PA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 357 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 357 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 104.25%
- DSCR
- 5.64
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,291
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -69.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1231 1/2 Otter St | 0.22mi | 2/1.5 | 1,128 (-4%) | 10mo | $78,000 | $69 | 72 |
| 1112 Chestnut St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,280 (+9%) | 23mo | $82,500 | $64 | 47 |
| 635 Egbert Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,088 (-7%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $110 | 47 |
| 1026 Buffalo St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+10%) | 23mo | $38,000 | $29 | 44 |
| 611 12th St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+14%) | 17mo | $119,900 | $89 | 44 |
| 64 Park St | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,025 (-13%) | 18mo | $56,000 | $55 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.98×
- Total profit
- $48,859
- Equity at exit
- $22,522
- IRR
- 99.0%
- Equity multiple
- 17.61×
- Total profit
- $116,302
- Equity at exit
- $48,570
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16323
- Home prices YoY
- 12.2%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $988 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $553
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $570 | -5% $561 | +0% $553 | +5% $544 | +10% $535 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $474 | -5% $514 | +0% $553 | +5% $592 | +10% $631 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $565 | -0.5pp $559 | base $553 | +0.5pp $546 | +1.0pp $540 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414 11th St Franklin, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $725 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 850 Elk St Franklin, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,386 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1341 Sassafrass St Franklin, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $25,000 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $25,000 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $25,000 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $25,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2025-06-27$25,000 Active 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
2 Bed. 1 Bath Ranch home with Full basement. Sm. back yard. * Property is being Sold as is, Where is, with No warranty or repairs.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,862
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$792
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$949
- − Management
- −$949
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $6,670
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,601
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,030/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including exterior siding, roof, interior walls, and flooring. Significant improvements are needed to bring it up to a livable condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant peeling and damage
- Major roof — Aged appearance
- Major interior walls/paint — No visible interior, but the exterior suggests potential issues
- Major flooring — No visible flooring, but the condition of the exterior suggests potential issues
- Major systems — No visible systems, but the exterior suggests potential issues
Value-add opportunities
- Both repair and paint exterior — Improves curb appeal and overall condition
- Both repair and paint interior — Improves living space and overall condition
- Both replace roof — Essential for structural integrity and longevity
- Both repair and replace flooring — Improves living space and overall condition
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant peeling and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · Aged appearance | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · No visible interior, but the exterior suggests potential issues | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · No visible flooring, but the condition of the exterior suggests potential issues | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| systems · No visible systems, but the exterior suggests potential issues | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both repair and paint exterior — Improves curb appeal and overall condition ↑
- Both repair and paint interior — Improves living space and overall condition ↑
- Both replace roof — Essential for structural integrity and longevity ↑
- Both repair and replace flooring — Improves living space and overall condition ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210200
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,451
- Composite
- 31.73/100
- National rank
- #5910
- State rank
- #388 of 539 in PA
Livability — Franklin
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #812
- US rank
- #8260
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Franklin, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,694
Population outlook (Venango County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,827 people
- By 2030
- 46,061 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 39,989 · -18.1%
- By 2050
- 34,094 · -30.2%
- By 2075
- 22,500 · -53.9%
- By 2100
- 13,659 · -72.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Venango
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+41.4 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.68%
- Current HPI
- 245.9766
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-06-27 Listed $25,000 AVBREALTORS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…