3431 S 180th Pl #67 · SeaTac, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.5
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Stunning doublewide for sale at Bow Lake (55+) Age. 1999 Fleetwood: 3 Bed / 2 Bath with 1100 sq. ft. This home is loaded and ready for new memories! You'll find an updated kitchen with granite countertops, new flooring, stainless appliances, and new cabinets. Also featured: a separate room for laundry, new carpet, updated bathrooms, and two A/C units. You'll also enjoy a covered deck, a carport, a garage, and a massive storage shed. This home is incredible, and Bow Lake features many great amenities including a pool, a large clubhouse, and secured access. Come make it yours!
Key facts
- New flooring
- Stainless appliances
- New cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 2.9% in SeaTac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#118 in WA, #2,417 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Highline School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #200 of 291 in WA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bow Lake Elementary (500 students, 80% FRL); Chinook Middle School (599 students, 78% FRL); Raisbeck Aviation High School (405 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 60d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (57%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 72.75%
- DSCR
- 4.24
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $100,000
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -40.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18153 31st Ave S #323 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+5%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $221 | 77 |
| 18106 36th Pl S | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,140 (+2%) | 14mo | $38,000 | $33 | 77 |
| 3222 S 183rd St | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,180 (+5%) | 9mo | $19,500 | $17 | 71 |
| 18316 34th Ave S | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $45 | 67 |
| 18109 32nd Ave Ave S #331 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,012 (-10%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $99 | 67 |
| 3228 S 180th Pl #29 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 20mo | $145,000 | $121 | 66 |
| 3420 S 180th Pl #41 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,255 (+12%) | 18mo | $58,000 | $46 | 59 |
| 3206 S 184th St | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+11%) | 19mo | $50,000 | $40 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 69.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.97×
- Total profit
- $49,859
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 72.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.34×
- Total profit
- $106,512
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 6 under contract
- Months of supply
- 18.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $149,450 ($170/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 91 d
- This list price
- 17% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -47.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 98188
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,814 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $1,019
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,060 | -5% $1,039 | +0% $1,019 | +5% $998 | +10% $977 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $875 | -5% $947 | +0% $1,019 | +5% $1,090 | +10% $1,162 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,049 | -0.5pp $1,034 | base $1,019 | +0.5pp $1,003 | +1.0pp $987 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3715 S 182nd St Unit C125 Seatac, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $2,290 | $1.90 | 60d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 17840 32nd Ave S Seatac, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 770 | $1,900 | $2.47 | 0d | 3 | 0.18mi |
| 3351 S 175th St Seatac, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $2,699 | $2.89 | 0d | 6 | 0.34mi |
| 18129 45th Ave S Seatac, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1070 | $3,000 | $2.80 | 89d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3051 S 188th St Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,738 | $2.41 | 67d | 3 | 0.54mi |
| 4410 S 173rd St Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $2,100 | $2.90 | 139d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 16834 35th Ave S Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $2,695 | $3.64 | 60d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3117 S 192nd St Seatac, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $2,376 | $2.84 | 0d | 3 | 0.78mi |
| 18912 46th Ave S Seatac, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $4,000 | $3.08 | 139d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 17932 51st Ave S Seatac, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $3,350 | $2.36 | 97d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 17932 51st Ave S Seatac, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1420 | $3,400 | $2.39 | 139d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4807 S 172nd Pl Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,550 | $3.64 | 139d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3114 S 166th St Unit 3114 SeaTac, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,450 | $2.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4810 S 168th St Seatac, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1470 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4220 S 164th St Unit 3A Seattle, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,790 | $1.79 | 139d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4220 S 164th St Unit 3C Seattle, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,790 | $1.79 | 97d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 19800 International Blvd Seatac, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 822 | $2,135 | $2.60 | 0d | 6 | 1.18mi |
| 19822 Military Rd S SeaTac, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,395 | $2.00 | 108d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 19912 Military Rd S SeaTac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 851 | $1,795 | $2.11 | 10d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 19914 Military Rd S Unit 201 SeaTac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 851 | $1,795 | $2.11 | 63d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 19914 Military Rd S Unit 204 SeaTac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 851 | $1,795 | $2.11 | 42d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 19922 28th Ave S Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 709 | $3,211 | $4.53 | 0d | 68 | 1.26mi |
| 16006 34th Ave S Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 37d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3445 S 160th St Seattle, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,800 | $2.47 | 68d | 9 | 1.29mi |
| 2929 S 200th St Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 653 | $2,625 | $4.02 | 10d | 7 | 1.33mi |
| 2929 S 200th St Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 703 | $2,975 | $4.23 | 111d | 12 | 1.33mi |
| 2650 S 200th St Seatac, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $2,411 | $3.08 | 6d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 15830 39th Pl S Tukwila, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 916 | $2,295 | $2.50 | 0d | 3 | 1.37mi |
| 15805 40th Pl S Tukwila, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,950 | $2.45 | 0d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 20036 30th Ave S Unit S9 SeaTac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,795 | $2.39 | 106d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 20036 30th Ave S Unit S8 SeaTac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,795 | $2.39 | 120d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-21days on market $60,000 Active
-
2026-09-20days on market $60,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $60,000 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $60,000 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $60,000 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $60,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $60,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $60,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $60,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $60,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-09-11remarks 581-char remark
-
2026-09-11days on market $60,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $60,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $60,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $60,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $60,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $60,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $60,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $60,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $60,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $60,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $60,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $60,000 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $60,000 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $60,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $60,000 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $60,000 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $60,000 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $60,000 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $60,000 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $60,000 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-08-14pricedays on market $60,000 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $80,000 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $80,000 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $80,000 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $80,000 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $80,000 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $80,000 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $80,000 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $80,000 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $80,000 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $80,000 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $80,000 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $80,000 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $80,000 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-07-28pricedays on market $80,000 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $105,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $105,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $105,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $105,000 Active 351 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,770
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,742
- − Management
- −$1,742
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $11,980
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,875
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,347/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, updated manufactured home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both painting — refreshes the home's appearance ↑
- Both new flooring — updates the living areas and kitchen ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highline School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303540
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,697
- Composite
- 39.12/100
- National rank
- #8245
- State rank
- #200 of 291 in WA
Livability — SeaTac
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #118
- US rank
- #2417
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- SeaTac, WA
- County
- King County · 2,576,485 people
- City population
- 62,839
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,311
- Household income
- $76,438
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 28% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 21% Asian 15% Two or more races 10% Pacific Islander 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -595.95%
- Current HPI
- 334.4203
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.68%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
-16.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $125,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-28 Listed $140,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-30 Sold (MLS) $125,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-29 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-25 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-04 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-05 Price Changed $125,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-05 Price Changed $134,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-03 Price Changed $139,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-16 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-16 Price Changed $143,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-11 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-13 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-08 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-29 Price Changed $145,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-11 Listed $149,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…