27842 Valencia St · Cathedral City, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.17%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$475,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PROBATE SALE – Exceptional Pool Home in the Desirable La Pasada Community! Located on a premium corner lot within the highly sought-after La Pasada community of Cathedral City, this home offers a unique opportunity to create your own private oasis while enjoying an outstanding combination of lifestyle, convenience, and energy efficiency. The backyard is designed for entertaining, featuring a swimming pool with a dramatic rock waterfall feature that creates a resort-like setting. Additional highlights include an owned solar energy system and battery backup, providing enhanced energy efficiency and utility savings. The property offers an excellent opportunity for customization and va
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
- Pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property contains 1 total unit; Living area and lot size sourced from assessor's data
- HOA & community: Part of La Pasada association; Monthly HOA fee of $49.20; Community features include curbs; Association amenities: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 3 parking spaces
- Utilities: Water: Other; Sewer: Other; Solar energy generation
- Home design: Single-story house; No accessory dwelling unit
- Construction: Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Private pool; Corner lot; No shared/common walls
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level home with ground-floor entry; Family room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $475k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($508/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $390k (17.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $390k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.1% in Cathedral City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#344 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D-, cost of living F.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Rio Vista Elementary (690 students, 96% FRL); James Workman Middle (1,028 students, 99% FRL); Cathedral City High (math 25% / reading 61%, grade F, #460 of 1,170 statewide, top 40%, 1,395 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 73% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 529 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,903/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 1682% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.38%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $524,244
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68495 Pasada Rd | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 | 1,659 (0%) | 0mo | $505,000 | $304 | 98 |
| 27874 Valencia St | 0.01mi | 4/2.0 | 1,571 (-5%) | 5mo | $525,000 | $334 | 83 |
| 68262 Pasada Rd | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,675 (+1%) | 6mo | $530,000 | $316 | 74 |
| 68875 Vista Chino | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 | 1,685 (+2%) | 4mo | $515,000 | $306 | 73 |
| 68090 Santelmo Rd | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 | 1,681 (+1%) | 0mo | $510,000 | $303 | 69 |
| 68073 Madrid Rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,580 (-5%) | 0mo | $526,500 | $333 | 66 |
| 68120 Empalmo Rd | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,573 (-5%) | 4mo | $460,000 | $292 | 64 |
| 27185 Landau Blvd | 0.57mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,718 (+4%) | 7mo | $505,000 | $294 | 57 |
| 68750 Fortuna Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,565 (-6%) | 2mo | $500,000 | $319 | 54 |
| 28790 Avenida Maravilla | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,526 (-8%) | 7mo | $500,000 | $328 | 54 |
| 68256 Pasada Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,865 (+12%) | 7mo | $589,500 | $316 | 54 |
| 27650 Avenida Terrazo | 0.63mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,836 (+11%) | 4mo | $533,000 | $290 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-73,500
- Equity at exit
- $70,824
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-57,327
- Equity at exit
- $41,069
Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92234
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 529
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,903 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,491
- Tax from tax record
- −$304 /mo · $3,643/yr
- Insurance
- −$198
- HOA
- −$49
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$820
- Net cashflow
- $42
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $311 | -5% $177 | +0% $42 | +5% $-92 | +10% $-227 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-266 | -5% $-112 | +0% $42 | +5% $196 | +10% $351 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $282 | -0.5pp $163 | base $42 | +0.5pp $-81 | +1.0pp $-206 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $118,750
- Closing costs
- $14,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27875 Avenida Maravilla Cathedral City, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1865 | $4,650 | $2.49 | 3d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 68695 Vista Chino Cathedral City, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1998 | $2,999 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 68320 Espada Rd Cathedral City, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $2,995 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 68325 Peladora Rd Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $3,199 | $2.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 28260 Landau Blvd Unit B Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $2,475 | $1.83 | 0d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 68640 Tachevah Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $3,200 | $2.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 68640 Tachevah Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $3,200 | $2.48 | 26d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 67765 Ovante Rd Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $2,699 | $1.87 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 68725 Tachevah Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1822 | $4,500 | $2.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 68125 Alva Ct Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $3,200 | $2.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 68640 Tortuga Rd Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2034 | $3,200 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 28827 Isleta Ct Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $4,500 | $3.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 68900 Lozano Ct Cathedral City, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2216 | $3,000 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 67924 Rio Vista Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1924 | $3,900 | $2.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 68705 Tortuga Rd Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $3,600 | $2.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 27650 Hombria Dr Cathedral City, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2233 | $3,200 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 27695 Hombria Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1892 | $3,300 | $1.74 | 12d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 27695 Hombria Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1892 | $3,350 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 27500 Avenida Quintana Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $3,500 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 27205 Avenida Quintana Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $2,950 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 29500 Landau Blvd Unit B Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $1,300 | $0.72 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 68412 Descanso Cir Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1871 | $3,200 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 28859 Desert Princess Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $3,700 | $2.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 27131 Shadowcrest Ln Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $2,995 | $1.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 67665 Lagos Way Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $4,500 | $3.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 29576 Sandy Ct Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1503 | $5,000 | $3.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 68347 Descanso Cir Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2017 | $3,700 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 29756 Sandy Ct Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1732 | $4,900 | $2.83 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 67595 Lagos Way Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1285 | $3,500 | $2.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 68845 Durango Rd Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1626 | $3,375 | $2.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 29777 Sandy Ct Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1841 | $5,000 | $2.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 67385 Zuni Ct Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2101 | $7,000 | $3.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 67372 Zuni Ct Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2101 | $7,000 | $3.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 67568 S Laguna Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1825 | $7,000 | $3.84 | 26d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 26244 Rio Oso Rd Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,595 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 30125 Avenida Juarez Unit 30125 Cathedral City, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1735 | $2,999 | $1.73 | 16d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 67242 Cumbres Ct Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $4,500 | $3.50 | 26d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 67857 30th Ave Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $3,500 | $2.30 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 67361 N Laguna Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1870 | $6,000 | $3.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 67232 S Chimayo Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $4,500 | $3.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $49 · $588/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $475,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $475,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $475,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $475,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $475,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $475,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-05-31$475,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,643 · $304/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,643 · $304/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 17% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,841
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,607
- − Property taxes
- −$3,643
- − Insurance
- −$2,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,747
- − Management
- −$3,747
- − HOA
- −$588
- − Depreciation
- −$13,818
- Taxable loss
- −$7,685
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,844
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Cathedral City
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #11749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cathedral City, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 52,267
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,267
- Household income
- $73,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1682.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 30% Two or more races 27% Asian 6% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.57%
- Current HPI
- 356.9845
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Coming Soon $475,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,643 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…