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27842 Valencia St
D Composite 44.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$475,000

27842 Valencia St · Cathedral City, CA 92234
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,659 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1995 8,276 sqft lot Est $524k · 9% under $49/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PROBATE SALE – Exceptional Pool Home in the Desirable La Pasada Community! Located on a premium corner lot within the highly sought-after La Pasada community of Cathedral City, this home offers a unique opportunity to create your own private oasis while enjoying an outstanding combination of lifestyle, convenience, and energy efficiency. The backyard is designed for entertaining, featuring a swimming pool with a dramatic rock waterfall feature that creates a resort-like setting. Additional highlights include an owned solar energy system and battery backup, providing enhanced energy efficiency and utility savings. The property offers an excellent opportunity for customization and va

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property contains 1 total unit; Living area and lot size sourced from assessor's data
  • HOA & community: Part of La Pasada association; Monthly HOA fee of $49.20; Community features include curbs; Association amenities: Other

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 3 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Water: Other; Sewer: Other; Solar energy generation
  • Home design: Single-story house; No accessory dwelling unit
  • Construction: Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: Private pool; Corner lot; No shared/common walls

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling
  • Interior features: One-level home with ground-floor entry; Family room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $475k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($508/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $390k (17.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $390k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.1% in Cathedral City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#344 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D-, cost of living F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Rio Vista Elementary (690 students, 96% FRL); James Workman Middle (1,028 students, 99% FRL); Cathedral City High (math 25% / reading 61%, grade F, #460 of 1,170 statewide, top 40%, 1,395 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 73% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 529 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,903/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 1682% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $390,345 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.38%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$524,244
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
68495 Pasada Rd 0.03mi 4/3.0 1,659 (0%) 0mo $505,000 $304 98
27874 Valencia St 0.01mi 4/2.0 1,571 (-5%) 5mo $525,000 $334 83
68262 Pasada Rd 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,675 (+1%) 6mo $530,000 $316 74
68875 Vista Chino 0.40mi 4/2.5 1,685 (+2%) 4mo $515,000 $306 73
68090 Santelmo Rd 0.60mi 4/3.0 1,681 (+1%) 0mo $510,000 $303 69
68073 Madrid Rd 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,580 (-5%) 0mo $526,500 $333 66
68120 Empalmo Rd 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,573 (-5%) 4mo $460,000 $292 64
27185 Landau Blvd 0.57mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,718 (+4%) 7mo $505,000 $294 57
68750 Fortuna Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,565 (-6%) 2mo $500,000 $319 54
28790 Avenida Maravilla 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,526 (-8%) 7mo $500,000 $328 54
68256 Pasada Rd 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,865 (+12%) 7mo $589,500 $316 54
27650 Avenida Terrazo 0.63mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,836 (+11%) 4mo $533,000 $290 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-73,500
Equity at exit
$70,824
10-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-57,327
Equity at exit
$41,069

Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92234

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
529
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,903 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,491
Tax from tax record
$304 /mo · $3,643/yr
Insurance
$198
HOA
$49
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$820
Net cashflow
$42

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,850
Max offer price $475,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $311 -5% $177 +0% $42 +5% $-92 +10% $-227
Rent -10% $-266 -5% $-112 +0% $42 +5% $196 +10% $351
Rate -1.0pp $282 -0.5pp $163 base $42 +0.5pp $-81 +1.0pp $-206

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$118,750
Closing costs
$14,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27875 Avenida Maravilla Cathedral City, CA 4.0 3.0 1865 $4,650 $2.49 3d 1 0.05mi
68695 Vista Chino Cathedral City, CA 4.0 2.0 1998 $2,999 $1.50 45d 1 0.27mi
68320 Espada Rd Cathedral City, CA 4.0 3.0 1600 $2,995 $1.87 45d 1 0.31mi
68325 Peladora Rd Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1320 $3,199 $2.42 15d 1 0.46mi
28260 Landau Blvd Unit B Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1354 $2,475 $1.83 0d 1 0.49mi
68640 Tachevah Dr Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1290 $3,200 $2.48 14d 1 0.60mi
68640 Tachevah Dr Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1290 $3,200 $2.48 26d 1 0.60mi
67765 Ovante Rd Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1446 $2,699 $1.87 15d 1 0.67mi
68725 Tachevah Dr Cathedral City, CA 3.0 3.0 1822 $4,500 $2.47 45d 1 0.67mi
68125 Alva Ct Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1544 $3,200 $2.07 45d 1 0.72mi
68640 Tortuga Rd Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.5 2034 $3,200 $1.57 45d 1 0.74mi
28827 Isleta Ct Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1285 $4,500 $3.50 45d 1 0.77mi
68900 Lozano Ct Cathedral City, CA 4.0 3.0 2216 $3,000 $1.35 45d 1 0.78mi
67924 Rio Vista Dr Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1924 $3,900 $2.03 45d 1 0.79mi
68705 Tortuga Rd Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1248 $3,600 $2.88 45d 1 0.81mi
27650 Hombria Dr Cathedral City, CA 4.0 2.5 2233 $3,200 $1.43 45d 1 0.87mi
27695 Hombria Dr Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1892 $3,300 $1.74 12d 1 0.91mi
27695 Hombria Dr Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1892 $3,350 $1.77 23d 1 0.91mi
27500 Avenida Quintana Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1865 $3,500 $1.88 23d 1 0.91mi
27205 Avenida Quintana Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1766 $2,950 $1.67 45d 1 0.92mi
29500 Landau Blvd Unit B Cathedral City, CA 3.0 3.0 1800 $1,300 $0.72 1d 1 0.93mi
68412 Descanso Cir Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1871 $3,200 $1.71 15d 1 0.95mi
28859 Desert Princess Dr Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1285 $3,700 $2.88 45d 1 0.95mi
27131 Shadowcrest Ln Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1584 $2,995 $1.89 45d 1 0.97mi
67665 Lagos Way Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1285 $4,500 $3.50 45d 1 0.99mi
29576 Sandy Ct Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1503 $5,000 $3.33 45d 1 0.99mi
68347 Descanso Cir Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 2017 $3,700 $1.83 45d 1 1.01mi
29756 Sandy Ct Cathedral City, CA 3.0 3.0 1732 $4,900 $2.83 45d 1 1.05mi
67595 Lagos Way Cathedral City, CA 3.0 3.0 1285 $3,500 $2.72 45d 1 1.06mi
68845 Durango Rd Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.5 1626 $3,375 $2.08 45d 1 1.06mi
29777 Sandy Ct Cathedral City, CA 3.0 3.0 1841 $5,000 $2.72 45d 1 1.09mi
67385 Zuni Ct Cathedral City, CA 3.0 3.0 2101 $7,000 $3.33 45d 1 1.14mi
67372 Zuni Ct Cathedral City, CA 3.0 3.5 2101 $7,000 $3.33 45d 1 1.15mi
67568 S Laguna Dr Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.5 1825 $7,000 $3.84 26d 1 1.17mi
26244 Rio Oso Rd Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1504 $2,595 $1.73 45d 1 1.17mi
30125 Avenida Juarez Unit 30125 Cathedral City, CA 4.0 3.0 1735 $2,999 $1.73 16d 1 1.17mi
67242 Cumbres Ct Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1285 $4,500 $3.50 26d 1 1.20mi
67857 30th Ave Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1523 $3,500 $2.30 16d 1 1.20mi
67361 N Laguna Dr Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.5 1870 $6,000 $3.21 45d 1 1.21mi
67232 S Chimayo Dr Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1285 $4,500 $3.50 45d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$49 · $588/yr
Likely covers
waterpool

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $475,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $475,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $475,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $475,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $475,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $475,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    remarks 693-char remark
  8. 2026-05-31
    listed $475,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,643 · $304/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,643 · $304/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 17% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,841
− Mortgage interest
−$26,607
− Property taxes
−$3,643
− Insurance
−$2,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,747
− Management
−$3,747
− HOA
−$588
− Depreciation
−$13,818
Taxable loss
−$7,685
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,844
After-tax cash flow
$2,352/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Cathedral City

Score
66/100
State rank
#344
US rank
#11749

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B- Employment D+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cathedral City, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
52,267
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
52,267
Household income
$73,572
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
1682.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% White 30% Two or more races 27% Asian 6% Native American 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.57%
Current HPI
356.9845
Rent YoY
▲ 3.22%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Coming Soon $475,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,643 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…