7227 Marina Del Rey · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready single-story three-bedroom, two-bath home in Horizon Point! This bright and spacious residence welcomes you with French doors leading to a versatile front living area perfect for a home office or formal sitting room. The open-concept layout seamlessly connects the large kitchen complete with granite countertops and abundant workspace to the dining area and family room, creating an ideal setting for both entertaining and everyday living. The primary suite is a peaceful retreat featuring a garden tub, separate shower, and private ensuite bath. Two additional generous bedrooms and a full bath provide comfort for family or guests. Step outside to a private backyard with a covered patio and privacy fence, offering the perfect space to unwind. Lovingly maintained, this home is located in a community with great amenities including a pool, playground, and soccer field. Enjoy quick access to I-10, Loop 1604, Randolph AFB, shopping, and highly rated schools-this home truly has it all!
Key facts
- Private backyard
- French doors
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-441 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (31.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (26.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (31.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Judson ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #660 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 332 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 332 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.56%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $281,563
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -11.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7215 Capricorn Way | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,917 (+4%) | 4mo | $306,000 | $160 | 81 |
| 7231 Lunar Eclipse | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,755 (-5%) | 1mo | $284,900 | $162 | 80 |
| 7235 Lunar Eclipse | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,751 (-5%) | 3mo | $278,000 | $159 | 79 |
| 2615 Wolf Moon | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,885 (+2%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $180 | 77 |
| 2719 Pismo Bch | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,794 (-2%) | 6mo | $259,900 | $145 | 75 |
| 7424 Cremorne | 0.36mi | 4/3.0 | 1,917 (+4%) | 1mo | $349,990 | $183 | 71 |
| 3404 Taurus Sky | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,895 (+3%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $137 | 65 |
| 3019 Pacific Coast | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,654 (-10%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $148 | 51 |
| 7510 Josephs Way | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,664 (-10%) | 3mo | $209,900 | $126 | 49 |
| 7018 Laguna Bch | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 | 2,077 (+13%) | 10mo | $299,900 | $144 | 46 |
| 7602 Powder Gorge | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 2,066 (+12%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $119 | 45 |
| 7110 Pisces | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,612 (-12%) | 9mo | $275,000 | $171 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $2,156
- Equity at exit
- $112,411
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $47,247
- Equity at exit
- $173,238
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78109-3701
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,830 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$436 /mo · $5,227/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$36
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $-441
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7203 Marina del Rey Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2311 | $2,120 | $0.92 | 19d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 7111 Marina del Rey Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2423 | $1,991 | $0.82 | 4d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3023 Laguna Clfs Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 7163 Lunar Eclipse Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1935 | $2,200 | $1.14 | 10d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2411 Woodlake Pkwy Converse, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1083 | $1,859 | $1.72 | 2d | 18 | 0.32mi |
| 7046 Zuma Bch Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2392 | $2,000 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3123 Saturn Path Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1935 | $1,975 | $1.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 7111 Azure Waters Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1654 | $1,800 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 6926 Opal Clfs Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,525 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 6926 Opal Clfs Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,550 | $1.22 | 18d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3306 Putnam Flds Converse, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2451 | $1,995 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3606 Putnam Flds Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2486 | $2,100 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3619 Storm Moon Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,695 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2715 Point Sur Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2056 | $1,785 | $0.87 | 4d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3515 Andromeda Way Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2403 | $2,350 | $0.98 | 16d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3907 Josephs Way Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2144 | $1,719 | $0.80 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3711 Colemans Run Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1380 | $1,552 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3907 Josephs Run Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2144 | $1,719 | $0.80 | 16d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3302 Uresti Flds Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2451 | $1,950 | $0.80 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7426 Coral Bells Ct Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2294 | $1,731 | $0.75 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2409 Key Hole Vw Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6941 Sunspot Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $1,240 | $0.92 | 12d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7516 Rose Robin Run Ct Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,599 | $0.99 | 4d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 7528 Rose Robin Run Ct Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1651 | $1,575 | $0.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3814 Pickles Way Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6703 Foster Flds Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1894 | $1,850 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6634 Poseidon Way Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1990 | $1,750 | $0.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6634 Poseidon Way Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1990 | $1,750 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6615 Port Elizabeth Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,489 | $0.93 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3422 Dunlap Flds Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,540 | $1.06 | 20d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3511 Dunlap Flds Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 11d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7703 Redstone Mnr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $1,750 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3603 Aranda Flds Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2338 Camberly Vw Converse, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2122 | $1,850 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6527 San Miguel Way Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2042 | $1,475 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6510 Poseidon Way Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,539 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6458 Candleview Ct San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2008 | $1,645 | $0.82 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4826 Fern Lk San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2016 | $1,695 | $0.84 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4602 Echo Lake Dr San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2277 | $1,950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6734 Summer Fest Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1225 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 2d | 8 | 1.02mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $36 · $432/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2025-12-30price $250,000 1003-char remark
Show marketing remark (1003 chars)
Move in ready single-story three-bedroom, two-bath home in Horizon Point! This bright and spacious residence welcomes you with French doors leading to a versatile front living area perfect for a home office or formal sitting room. The open-concept layout seamlessly connects the large kitchen complete with granite countertops and abundant workspace to the dining area and family room, creating an ideal setting for both entertaining and everyday living. The primary suite is a peaceful retreat featuring a garden tub, separate shower, and private ensuite bath. Two additional generous bedrooms and a full bath provide comfort for family or guests. Step outside to a private backyard with a covered patio and privacy fence, offering the perfect space to unwind. Lovingly maintained, this home is located in a community with great amenities including a pool, playground, and soccer field. Enjoy quick access to I-10, Loop 1604, Randolph AFB, shopping, and highly rated schools-this home truly has it all!
-
2025-10-24price $260,000 1003-char remark
Show marketing remark (1003 chars)
Move in ready single-story three-bedroom, two-bath home in Horizon Point! This bright and spacious residence welcomes you with French doors leading to a versatile front living area perfect for a home office or formal sitting room. The open-concept layout seamlessly connects the large kitchen complete with granite countertops and abundant workspace to the dining area and family room, creating an ideal setting for both entertaining and everyday living. The primary suite is a peaceful retreat featuring a garden tub, separate shower, and private ensuite bath. Two additional generous bedrooms and a full bath provide comfort for family or guests. Step outside to a private backyard with a covered patio and privacy fence, offering the perfect space to unwind. Lovingly maintained, this home is located in a community with great amenities including a pool, playground, and soccer field. Enjoy quick access to I-10, Loop 1604, Randolph AFB, shopping, and highly rated schools-this home truly has it all!
-
2025-07-21$275,000 New 1003-char remark
Show marketing remark (1003 chars)
Move in ready single-story three-bedroom, two-bath home in Horizon Point! This bright and spacious residence welcomes you with French doors leading to a versatile front living area perfect for a home office or formal sitting room. The open-concept layout seamlessly connects the large kitchen complete with granite countertops and abundant workspace to the dining area and family room, creating an ideal setting for both entertaining and everyday living. The primary suite is a peaceful retreat featuring a garden tub, separate shower, and private ensuite bath. Two additional generous bedrooms and a full bath provide comfort for family or guests. Step outside to a private backyard with a covered patio and privacy fence, offering the perfect space to unwind. Lovingly maintained, this home is located in a community with great amenities including a pool, playground, and soccer field. Enjoy quick access to I-10, Loop 1604, Randolph AFB, shopping, and highly rated schools-this home truly has it all!
-
2024-12-06historical
-
2024-07-18$300,000 New
-
2021-06-30soldstatus Sold
-
2021-06-30soldstatus
-
2021-06-04status Pending SB
-
2021-05-28historical Active Option
-
2021-05-21$254,000 New
-
2018-01-11soldstatus Sold
-
2017-12-01status Pending
-
2017-11-18price $221,040
-
2017-11-10price $219,540
-
2017-11-02price $222,540
-
2017-08-22price $224,540
-
2017-08-17$226,540 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,227 · $436/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,227 · $436/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,961
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$5,227
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,757
- − Management
- −$1,757
- − HOA
- −$432
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$9,738
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,337
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Judson ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824990
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,542
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7689
- State rank
- #660 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+10.4% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $250,000 LERA
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $260,000 LERA
- 2025-07-21 Listed $275,000 LERA
- 2024-12-06 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2024-07-18 Listed $300,000 LERA
- 2021-06-30 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2021-06-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-06-04 Pending — LERA
- 2021-05-28 Contingent — LERA
- 2021-05-21 Listed $254,000 LERA
- 2018-01-11 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2017-12-01 Pending — LERA
- 2017-11-18 Price Changed $221,040 LERA
- 2017-11-10 Price Changed $219,540 LERA
- 2017-11-02 Price Changed $222,540 LERA
- 2017-08-22 Price Changed $224,540 LERA
- 2017-08-17 Listed $226,540 LERA
Property tax history
+34.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,227 · -7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…