1505 E Main St · Velma, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
East of Velma on Old Hwy 7 to S & W Rd. 1.7 acre lot. Sold as is.
Key facts
- 1.69 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1911
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Two parking spaces total
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single family residence; Single-story
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Storm doors; Chain link fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Storm windows; Two fireplaces, one in the living room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#129 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Velma-Alma (rural): math 27% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #84 of 270 in OK (top 31%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Velma-Alma Es (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #107 of 845 statewide, top 14%, 220 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 34% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Velma-Alma average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Stephens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.76%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $18,233
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.91×
- Total profit
- $52,966
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73533
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,140 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $451
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $496 | -5% $474 | +0% $451 | +5% $429 | +10% $406 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $361 | -5% $406 | +0% $451 | +5% $496 | +10% $541 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $484 | -0.5pp $468 | base $451 | +0.5pp $435 | +1.0pp $417 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 67-char remark
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $65,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-06$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,680
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,094
- − Management
- −$1,094
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,659
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,118
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,298/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance to bring it up to a livable condition. Immediate focus should be on landscaping and exterior cleaning to improve curb appeal and overall appearance.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Overgrown vegetation and dirt road
- Major interior walls — Paint peeling and walls in need of cleaning
- Major bathrooms — Dirty and in need of cleaning
- Major kitchen — Dirty and in need of cleaning
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible damage
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and exterior cleaning — Improves curb appeal and overall appearance
- Both Interior cleaning and painting — Enhances interior appearance and value
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Improves functionality and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Overgrown vegetation and dirt road | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Paint peeling and walls in need of cleaning | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathrooms · Dirty and in need of cleaning | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen · Dirty and in need of cleaning | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and exterior cleaning — Improves curb appeal and overall appearance ↑
- Both Interior cleaning and painting — Enhances interior appearance and value ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Improves functionality and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Velma-Alma
- NCES district ID
- 4031020
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,022
- Composite
- 23.13/100
- National rank
- #7955
- State rank
- #84 of 270 in OK
Livability — Velma
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #12503
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Velma, OK
- County
- Stephens County · 27,618 people
- Metro
- Duncan, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,618
- Household income
- $59,906
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 757.0
Population outlook (Stephens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,528 people
- By 2030
- 44,300 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 43,971 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 43,954 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 44,982 · +1.0%
- By 2100
- 45,259 · +1.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Native American 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephens
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.7) · D 17.4% · R 81.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -52.1pp · 2024: -63.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.7 2020: R+65.1 2016: R+62.0 2012: R+53.2 2008: R+52.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.19%
- Current HPI
- 215.89
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Duncan, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $75,000 DAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…