5203 Adella St · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity knocks in Washington Local Schools! This 3-bedroom home sits on a spacious corner lot, perfect for someone with vision and a little elbow grease. It could use some updates, but with the right touch, this could be a fantastic investment or a cozy forever home. Located just minutes from parks, shopping, and dining, the location alone is worth a look. Bring your creativity and make it your own!
Key facts
- Minutes from parks
- Corner lot
- Minutes from dining
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as residential single family; Lot approximately 0.18 acre
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; Driveway; Concrete surfaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected (fuses); Natural gas connected; Public water; Sanitary sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-level / single story; Not attached to other units; No common walls
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Steel siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; Fire pit; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on main level; Bedroom 3 on main level; Bedroom 4 on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: No interior steps; Fire pit (exterior feature noted in interior/exterior data — listed for convenience)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup on main level; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Washington Local (urban): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #528 of 656 in OH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Silver Creek Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,087 of 1,584 statewide, top 70%, 653 students, 0% FRL); Whitmer High School (math 38% / reading 48%, grade F, #494 of 781 statewide, top 63%, 2,247 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 21% FRL vs 48% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.14%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,220
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5322 Douglas Rd | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,107 (+3%) | 3mo | $158,500 | $143 | 85 |
| 4914 Bales Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (+1%) | 3mo | $121,000 | $111 | 76 |
| 2604 Arletta St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,050 (-2%) | 4mo | $146,900 | $140 | 74 |
| 4924 Roywood Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,107 (+3%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $149 | 73 |
| 4841 Leamington Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+2%) | 2mo | $121,500 | $110 | 70 |
| 1818 Christian Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,075 (+0%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $144 | 64 |
| 1826 Newport Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,075 (+0%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $135 | 64 |
| 5541 Douglas Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+7%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $191 | 60 |
| 4726 Bowen Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,148 (+7%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $170 | 52 |
| 5724 W Rowland Rd | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,140 (+6%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $134 | 46 |
| 2645 Boxwood Rd | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+14%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $135 | 46 |
| 2849 W Laskey Rd | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,214 (+13%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $66 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-4,842
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $10,654
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43613
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,197 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $158
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $212 | -5% $185 | +0% $158 | +5% $131 | +10% $104 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $64 | -5% $111 | +0% $158 | +5% $205 | +10% $253 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $206 | -0.5pp $182 | base $158 | +0.5pp $134 | +1.0pp $109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2527 Arletta St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2347 Bucklew Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2338 Bodette Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1801 Christian Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $939 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1733 Christian Ave Unit 5 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $700 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1732 Newport Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5834 Yermo Dr Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $909 | $1.04 | 15d | 12 | 0.83mi |
| 2132 Stirrup Ln Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,035 | $1.15 | 45d | 3 | 0.97mi |
| 3065 Tremainsville Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $929 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5941 Tetherwood Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1364 | $1,695 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5080 Secor Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 699 | $925 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5360 Secor Rd Unit 316 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $699 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4435 Jackman Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $922 | $1.27 | 15d | 3 | 1.17mi |
| 5133 Secor Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,099 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3353 W Laskey Rd Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4614 Commonwealth Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1459 | $1,295 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5635 Secor Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $858 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4315 Garden Park Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,423 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3355 W Laskey Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 15d | 2 | 1.28mi |
| 3355 W Laskey Rd Apt 24 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2244 W Sylvania Ave Unit 6 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5240 Oakridge Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $945 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1417 Primrose Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1411 | $1,625 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3355 W Alexis Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $809 | $1.20 | 15d | 3 | 1.39mi |
| 4030 Elmhurst Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4030 Elmhurst Rd Apt 2 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $900 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2301 Portsmouth Ave Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1335 | $1,395 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5831 Gany Mede Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,600 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 6020 Secor Rd Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 760 | $825 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $94,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 406-char remark
-
2026-06-17$94,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,000 · $250/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,000 · $250/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$3,000
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,149
- − Management
- −$1,149
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $512
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$123
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,775/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904823
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,105
- Composite
- 35.36/100
- National rank
- #4957
- State rank
- #528 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,780
- Household income
- $64,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 917.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 15% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.37%
- Current HPI
- 239.1345
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+21.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $94,900 NORIS
- 2025-07-28 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-07-24 Listed $94,900 NORIS
- 2025-07-18 Coming Soon — NORIS
- 2022-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,000 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…