6351 Akers Rd #103 · Bakersfield, CA 93313

$179,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured public records · 33 Days on market

Built 2021

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.2/10.0
• 1% rule +5.4/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Step into the comfort of this charming 3 bed, 2 bath mobile home boasting 1320 square feet of space. With an open floor plan and a split wing layout, this cozy abode in highly desired El Adobe Estates offers the perfect blend of style and functionality. Located in the southwest part of Bakersfield, you'll find convenience at every turn with shopping centers just minutes away. Situated on a corner lot, this home is ideal for hosting gatherings and creating lasting memories. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this place your own! Reach out now and seize the chance to call this wonderful space your home sweet home

Key facts

• Great location
• Natural light
• Open layout

Tags

• TWO LIVING ROOMS
• OPEN LAYOUT
• NATURAL LIGHT
• GREAT LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Carport
• Utilities: Public water; Sewer
• Home design: Manufactured home (MH); Pre-owned; Owner-occupied
• Construction: Composition roof
• Exterior features: Community pool; Leased space within the park; Located in Crest Park neighborhood; Cross street: Panama Ln

Interior

• Kitchen: Range/oven; Dishwasher; Microwave
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heat; Central A/C
• Interior features: Formal living room; Separated family room; Split wing layout

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
• Recommended offer: $174k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.6% in Bakersfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#716 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
• Panama-Buena Vista Union (urban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #542 of 1,400 in CA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Roy W. Loudon Elementary (694 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 51% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $173,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.31%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.19%
• DSCR: 1.32
• GRM: 8.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $50,400
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
6201 Wible Rd #25	0.57mi	2/1.0	816 (-3%)	23mo	$49,000	$60	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.77×
• Total profit: $-11,517
• Equity at exit: $26,689

10-year hold

• IRR: 2.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.16×
• Total profit: $7,972
• Equity at exit: $15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 93313

• Home prices YoY: -20.4%
• Rents YoY: 2.1%
• Active inventory: 271
• Price-to-rent: 8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,861 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$939
• Tax from tax record: −$157 /mo · $1,882/yr
• Insurance: −$75
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$391
• Net cashflow: $300

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,481

Max offer price $179,000

Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $44,750
• Closing costs: $5,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4508 Blossom Valley Ln Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1107	$1,850	$1.67	21d	1	0.26mi
6208 Stine Rd Apt B Bakersfield, CA	2.0	1.0	904	$1,495	$1.65	10d	1	0.36mi
6401 Castleford St Unit C Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1125	$1,500	$1.33	18d	1	0.44mi
6600 Jerno Dr Bakersfield, CA	2.0–3.0	2.0	1104	$2,035	$1.84	2d	1	0.66mi
5818 Clear Valley Ct Unit A Bakersfield, CA	1.0	1.0	950	$1,300	$1.37	2d	1	1.06mi

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $179,000 Active 33 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $179,000 Active 32 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $179,000 Active 31 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $179,000 Active 30 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $179,000 Active 28 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $179,000 Active 27 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $179,000 Active 25 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $179,000 Active 24 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $179,000 Active 23 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 22 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,000 Active 19 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 18 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 17 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 16 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 15 DOM
16. 2026-05-16
    listed $179,000 Active
17. 2024-06-20
    soldstatus $156,000 Sold 625-char remark

    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Step into the comfort of this charming 3 bed, 2 bath mobile home boasting 1320 square feet of space. With an open floor plan and a split wing layout, this cozy abode in highly desired El Adobe Estates offers the perfect blend of style and functionality. Located in the southwest part of Bakersfield, you'll find convenience at every turn with shopping centers just minutes away. Situated on a corner lot, this home is ideal for hosting gatherings and creating lasting memories. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this place your own! Reach out now and seize the chance to call this wonderful space your home sweet home

18. 2024-05-08
    status Pending 625-char remark

    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Step into the comfort of this charming 3 bed, 2 bath mobile home boasting 1320 square feet of space. With an open floor plan and a split wing layout, this cozy abode in highly desired El Adobe Estates offers the perfect blend of style and functionality. Located in the southwest part of Bakersfield, you'll find convenience at every turn with shopping centers just minutes away. Situated on a corner lot, this home is ideal for hosting gatherings and creating lasting memories. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this place your own! Reach out now and seize the chance to call this wonderful space your home sweet home

19. 2024-03-21
    listed $160,000 Active 625-char remark

    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Step into the comfort of this charming 3 bed, 2 bath mobile home boasting 1320 square feet of space. With an open floor plan and a split wing layout, this cozy abode in highly desired El Adobe Estates offers the perfect blend of style and functionality. Located in the southwest part of Bakersfield, you'll find convenience at every turn with shopping centers just minutes away. Situated on a corner lot, this home is ideal for hosting gatherings and creating lasting memories. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this place your own! Reach out now and seize the chance to call this wonderful space your home sweet home

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,882 · $157/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,882 · $157/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,337
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,027
• − Property taxes: −$1,882
• − Insurance: −$895
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,787
• − Management: −$1,787
• − Depreciation: −$5,207
• Taxable income: $753
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$181
• After-tax cash flow: $3,425/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Panama-Buena Vista Union
• NCES district ID: 0606390
• Math proficiency: 37% ▲ 3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $63,361
• Composite: 41.71/100
• National rank: #7191
• State rank: #542 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Bakersfield

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #716
• US rank: #21355

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Bakersfield, CA
• County: Kern County · 710,371 people
• City population: 499,124
• Metro: Bakersfield, CA
• Population (ZIP): 61,843
• Household income: $91,943
• Rent vs Own: 21.4% rent · 78.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1177.0

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 947,286 people
• By 2030: 978,984 · +3.3%
• By 2040: 1,045,018 · +10.3%
• By 2050: 1,105,232 · +16.7%
• By 2075: 1,229,538 · +29.8%
• By 2100: 1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 57% Two or more races 28% White 22% Asian 13% Black 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 52%
• Common ancestry: British 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 45% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -85.95%
• Current HPI: 335.9445
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.12%
• Metro: Bakersfield, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+11.9% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-16 Listed $179,000 GEMLS
• 2024-06-20 Sold (MLS) $156,000 GEMLS
• 2024-05-08 Pending — GEMLS
• 2024-03-21 Listed $160,000 GEMLS

Property tax history

+34.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,882 · +28.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.