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Drayton VE Plan 🏗️ New Construction
C Composite 57.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.7/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,999

Drayton VE Plan · York, SC 29745
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,657 sqft · Townhouse · 22 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Past the foyer of this new two-story townhome is a convenient, open-plan layout shared among the main living spaces. Showcasing a fully equipped kitchen, a family room made for gatherings and an intimate breakfast nook, while nearby is a patio for outdoor moments. Ideally upstairs are all three bedrooms to provide excellent sleeping accommodations, including the serene owner's suite with a private bathroom.

Key facts

  • Serene owner's suite
  • Family room
  • Open-plan layout

Tags

OPEN-PLAN LAYOUTFULLY EQUIPPED KITCHENFAMILY ROOMINTIMATE BREAKFAST NOOKPATIOSERENE OWNER'S SUITE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: York, SC 29745
  • Financial info: List price $248,999

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage (1 parking space total)
  • Home design: New construction (Plan); Single-family plan home
  • Exterior features: Living area approximately 1657 (plan)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
  • Interior features: Open living area (plan home); Plan name: Drayton VE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $235,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $236,951.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $236k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $452 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $236k).
  • Recommended offer: $232k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.6% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • York 01 (rural): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #41 of 80 in SC (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 541 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $232,459 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.58%
Cash-on-cash
8.18%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$236,951
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
639 Sparano Loop 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,657 (0%) 1mo $243,132 $147 98
647 Sparano Loop 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,657 (0%) 1mo $237,649 $143 92
643 Sparano Loop 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,661 (+0%) 1mo $235,000 $141 91
621 Sparano Loop 0.18mi 3/2.5 1,657 (0%) 1mo $225,849 $136 91
625 Sparano Loop 0.18mi 3/2.5 1,661 (+0%) 1mo $245,000 $148 90
613 Sparano Loop 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,657 (0%) 1mo $225,849 $136 90
620 Sparano Loop 0.20mi 3/2.5 1,680 (+1%) 1mo $224,999 $134 88
612 Sparano Loop 0.20mi 3/2.5 1,680 (+1%) 1mo $236,599 $141 88
609 Sparano Loop 0.23mi 3/2.5 1,661 (+0%) 1mo $256,000 $154 88
624 Sparano Loop 0.19mi 3/2.5 1,691 (+2%) 1mo $267,429 $158 87

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-9,544
Equity at exit
$35,330
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$28,952
Equity at exit
$20,487

Cash invested: $66,346 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29745

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Active inventory
541
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,645 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,243
Tax est. 1.5%
$296 /mo · $3,554/yr
Insurance
$99
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$556
Net cashflow
$452

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,073
Max offer price $236,951
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $616 -5% $534 +0% $452 +5% $371 +10% $289
Rent -10% $243 -5% $348 +0% $452 +5% $557 +10% $661
Rate -1.0pp $572 -0.5pp $513 base $452 +0.5pp $391 +1.0pp $329

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,238
Closing costs
$7,109
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
515 Trading Post Ln York, SC 3.0 2.5 1429 $2,300 $1.61 24d 1 0.80mi
495 Switch St York, SC 3.0 2.5 1928 $2,500 $1.30 4d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $235,999 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $235,999 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $235,999 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $235,999 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $235,999 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    price $235,999 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,999 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,999 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,999 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $250,999 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,999 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $250,999 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $248,999 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $248,999 Active 4 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,745
− Mortgage interest
−$13,273
− Property taxes
−$3,554
− Insurance
−$1,185
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,540
− Management
−$2,540
− Depreciation
−$6,893
Taxable income
$1,761
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$423
After-tax cash flow
$5,006/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained townhouse is move-in ready with a good condition score and potential for minor updates to enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
York 01
NCES district ID
4503810
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$44,491
Composite
30.21/100
National rank
#6305
State rank
#41 of 80 in SC

Livability — York

Score
65/100
State rank
#139
US rank
#13425

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
York, SC
County
York County · 281,758 people
City population
34,909
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
34,909
Household income
$79,117
Rent vs Own
16.1% rent · 83.9% own
Severe rent burden
321.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
307,757 people
By 2030
335,979 · +9.2%
By 2040
391,378 · +27.2%
By 2050
443,234 · +44.0%
By 2075
557,102 · +81.0%
By 2100
625,837 · +103.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 12% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
R (+19.1) · D 39.7% · R 58.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -19.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.1 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+22.1 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.42%
Current HPI
251.6848
Rent YoY
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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