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701 Ninth St
B- Composite 68.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$117,500

701 Ninth St · Mena, AR 71953
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,358 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 121 Days on market
Built 1932 0.32 ac lot Est $151k · 22% under ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Sweet house located across the street from Jansen park. You can see the park pond from the front porch! This 3bed/1bath has updates to the house to include a new roof and kitchen to name a few. This large shaded lot is nice to sit in and have a glass of sweet tea and watch the world go by. Home is close to shopping and historic Mena street. Would make a great personal home or a great location for a short term rental!

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • Historic mena street
  • Large shaded lot

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW KITCHENLARGE SHADED LOTCLOSE TO SHOPPINGHISTORIC MENA STREET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing available: conventional loan or cash

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy); Natural gas
  • Home design: Frame/wood construction
  • Construction: Frame and wood exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Crawl space foundation with piers
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Partially fenced yard; Outside storage area; Paved road access; Level lot; Inside city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Formica countertops
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Washer connection and washer stays; Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen counters are Formica; Wood paneling and wood ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; washer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.1% in Mena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
  • Mena School District (rural): math 42% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #70 of 238 in AR (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $812 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.63%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$150,738
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
600 Fourth St 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,356 (-0%) 2mo $131,500 $97 78
705 Twelfth St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,254 (-8%) 7mo $174,500 $139 65
1412 Hamilton Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,266 (-7%) 5mo $110,000 $87 64
1209 Cole Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+3%) 3mo $150,000 $107 63
1111 Averitt Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,216 (-10%) 3mo $135,000 $111 62
301 11th St St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,540 (+13%) 2mo $242,000 $157 57
805 Reine St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,250 (-8%) 4mo $40,000 $32 53
210 Gann St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,232 (-9%) 8mo $140,000 $114 47
1902 Smith Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,519 (+12%) 1mo $41,000 $27 45
305 N Reine St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,224 (-10%) 2mo $166,500 $136 44
1105 S 2nd St 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-12%) 5mo $29,000 $24 40
265 Polk Road 76e 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+10%) 8mo $316,000 $211 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$5,196
Equity at exit
$27,322
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$32,287
Equity at exit
$27,813

Cash invested: $32,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71953

Home prices YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,179 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$616
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $358/yr
Insurance
$49
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$237

Break-even live

Break-even rent $880
Max offer price $117,500
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,375
Closing costs
$3,525
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $117,500 Active 121 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $117,500 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $117,500 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $117,500 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $117,500 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $117,500 Active 115 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $117,500 Active 114 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $117,500 Active 111 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $117,500 Active 110 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $117,500 Active 109 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $117,500 Active 105 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $117,500 Active 104 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $117,500 Active 103 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $117,500 Active 102 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $117,500 Active 101 DOM
  16. 2026-05-07
    price $117,500
  17. 2026-02-18
    listed $120,000 New Listing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$358 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$752 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$394/yr (+$33/mo · 110.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,152
− Mortgage interest
−$6,582
− Property taxes
−$358
− Insurance
−$588
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,132
− Management
−$1,132
− Depreciation
−$3,418
Taxable income
$942
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$226
After-tax cash flow
$2,614/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mena School District
NCES district ID
0509750
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,941
Composite
32.88/100
National rank
#5607
State rank
#70 of 238 in AR

Livability — Mena

Score
65/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#12615

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mena, AR
Population (ZIP)
13,412

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,065 people
By 2030
18,369 · -3.7%
By 2040
17,156 · -10.0%
By 2050
16,177 · -15.1%
By 2075
14,642 · -23.2%
By 2100
13,020 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.5) · D 13.8% · R 84.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-24.7pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -70.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.5 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+66.4 2012: R+56.9 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.18%
Current HPI
278.2854
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $117,500 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $120,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $358 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…