701 Ninth St · Mena, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$117,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sweet house located across the street from Jansen park. You can see the park pond from the front porch! This 3bed/1bath has updates to the house to include a new roof and kitchen to name a few. This large shaded lot is nice to sit in and have a glass of sweet tea and watch the world go by. Home is close to shopping and historic Mena street. Would make a great personal home or a great location for a short term rental!
Key facts
- New kitchen
- Historic mena street
- Large shaded lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing available: conventional loan or cash
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Frame/wood construction
- Construction: Frame and wood exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Crawl space foundation with piers
- Exterior features: Front porch; Partially fenced yard; Outside storage area; Paved road access; Level lot; Inside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Formica countertops
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Washer connection and washer stays; Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen counters are Formica; Wood paneling and wood ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; washer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.1% in Mena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
- Mena School District (rural): math 42% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #70 of 238 in AR (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $812 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.63%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,738
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 Fourth St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,356 (-0%) | 2mo | $131,500 | $97 | 78 |
| 705 Twelfth St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,254 (-8%) | 7mo | $174,500 | $139 | 65 |
| 1412 Hamilton Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,266 (-7%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $87 | 64 |
| 1209 Cole Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+3%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $107 | 63 |
| 1111 Averitt Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-10%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $111 | 62 |
| 301 11th St St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+13%) | 2mo | $242,000 | $157 | 57 |
| 805 Reine St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (-8%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $32 | 53 |
| 210 Gann St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-9%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $114 | 47 |
| 1902 Smith Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,519 (+12%) | 1mo | $41,000 | $27 | 45 |
| 305 N Reine St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (-10%) | 2mo | $166,500 | $136 | 44 |
| 1105 S 2nd St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-12%) | 5mo | $29,000 | $24 | 40 |
| 265 Polk Road 76e | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+10%) | 8mo | $316,000 | $211 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $5,196
- Equity at exit
- $27,322
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $32,287
- Equity at exit
- $27,813
Cash invested: $32,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71953
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,179 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$616
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $358/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $237
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,375
- Closing costs
- $3,525
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $117,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $117,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $117,500 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $117,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $117,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $117,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $117,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $117,500 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $117,500 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $117,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $117,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $117,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $117,500 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $117,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $117,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $117,500
-
2026-02-18$120,000 New Listing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $358 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $752 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$394/yr (+$33/mo · 110.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,582
- − Property taxes
- −$358
- − Insurance
- −$588
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,132
- − Management
- −$1,132
- − Depreciation
- −$3,418
- Taxable income
- $942
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$226
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,614/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mena School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509750
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,941
- Composite
- 32.88/100
- National rank
- #5607
- State rank
- #70 of 238 in AR
Livability — Mena
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #12615
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mena, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,065 people
- By 2030
- 18,369 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 17,156 · -10.0%
- By 2050
- 16,177 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 14,642 · -23.2%
- By 2100
- 13,020 · -31.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.5) · D 13.8% · R 84.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.7pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -70.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.5 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+66.4 2012: R+56.9 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Current HPI
- 278.2854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-2.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $117,500 CARMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $120,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $358 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…