230 W Anthony St · Celina, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Supplied water
- Home design: Single-family residential; Residential property; Built in 1900; Located in the First Ext subdivision; Near the corner of Sugar and Anthony
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Residential lot; Supplied water; Public sewer
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Block basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 1523415.0% vs local median 4.9% in Celina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#397 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Celina City (town): math 64% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #299 of 656 in OH (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mercer County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 160698.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1523415.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5440745.53%
- DSCR
- 242083.56
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $176,976
- List price
- $1
- Delta
- -100.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 W Fayette St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,582 (+0%) | 4mo | $56,000 | $35 | 83 |
| 320 E Anthony St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,580 (+0%) | 9mo | $183,200 | $116 | 72 |
| 224 E Fulton St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,460 (-7%) | 1mo | $217,500 | $149 | 70 |
| 545 W Wayne St | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,492 (-5%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $134 | 69 |
| 669 N Walnut St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (-6%) | 5mo | $189,000 | $127 | 69 |
| 301 E Market St | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,534 (-2%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $124 | 68 |
| 609 N Cherry St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,469 (-7%) | 3mo | $234,900 | $160 | 66 |
| 328 E Livingston St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,401 (-11%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $164 | 59 |
| 526 Willow St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,655 (+5%) | 3mo | $211,101 | $128 | 58 |
| 906 N Sugar St | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,694 (+8%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $142 | 52 |
| 426 Magnolia St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (-10%) | 4mo | $262,000 | $185 | 47 |
| 309 Dogwood Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (+10%) | 10mo | $272,000 | $157 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 288856.99×
- Total profit
- $80,880
- Equity at exit
- $0
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 623721.00×
- Total profit
- $174,642
- Equity at exit
- $0
Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45822
- Active inventory
- 67
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,607 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $1,270
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,270 | -5% $1,270 | +0% $1,270 | +5% $1,270 | +10% $1,270 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,143 | -5% $1,206 | +0% $1,270 | +5% $1,333 | +10% $1,396 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,270 | -0.5pp $1,270 | base $1,270 | +0.5pp $1,270 | +1.0pp $1,270 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $0
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-04$1 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$0
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,543
- − Management
- −$1,543
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $16,198
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,888
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,347/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Celina City
- NCES district ID
- 3910030
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,168
- Composite
- 50.44/100
- National rank
- #1864
- State rank
- #299 of 656 in OH
Livability — Celina
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #397
- US rank
- #6556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Celina, OH
- County
- Mercer · 42,068 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,170
- Household income
- $72,106
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15.9
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,163 people
- By 2030
- 39,367 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 37,406 · -6.9%
- By 2050
- 34,917 · -13.1%
- By 2075
- 28,969 · -27.9%
- By 2100
- 21,338 · -46.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.7) · D 16.3% · R 83.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -66.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.7 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+43.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.25%
- Current HPI
- 204.0486
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,699 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…