🏗️ New Construction
Trillium IV H Plan · Gulf Hills, MS
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Cash flow +4.7/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Introducing the Trillium IV H floor plan by DSLD Homes, a beautifully designed home offering a perfect balance of energy-efficient living and modern features. With 1,848 square feet of living space and a total area of 2,459 square feet, this home provides ample room for families who value both style and functionality. The open floor plan connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas seamlessly, making the space feel inviting and ideal for family gatherings and entertaining. The brick and siding exterior enhances curb appeal, while the covered rear porch offers a tranquil space to relax outdoors. The chef-inspired kitchen is equipped with recessed canned lighting, a spacious walk-in pantry, and plenty of counter space, making it perfect for meal preparation and storage. The boot bench in the utility room is an added convenience, helping to keep the home organized and clutter-free. The master suite is a true retreat, featuring a double master vanity, a garden master tub, a separate master shower, and a walk-in master closet designed for ample storage and organization. This home also includes three bedrooms, two bathrooms, a two-car garage for parking and extra storage, and energy-efficient features that help keep utility costs low without compromising on comfort. The Trillium IV H is perfect for those seeking a spacious, energy-efficient home with modern amenities and a functional layout.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Garden master tub
- Walk in pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $301k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-822 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $208k (30.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (39.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (39.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.3% vs local median 4.5% in Gulf Hills — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#38 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Jackson County School District (rural): math 53% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #10 of 130 in MS (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: St Martin East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 57%, grade B, #18 of 375 statewide, top 5%, 685 students, 100% FRL); St. Martin Middle School (math 44% / reading 39%, grade F, #53 of 179 statewide, top 30%, 995 students, 100% FRL); St Martin High School (math 65% / reading 49%, grade C, #8 of 197 statewide, top 4%, 1,283 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 1063 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($265k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.76%
- DSCR
- 0.52
- GRM
- 15.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $327,291
- List price
- $300,990
- Delta
- -8.04%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7725 Claymont Cir | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (0%) | 5mo | $302,550 | $164 | 90 |
| 7719 Claymont Cir | 0.11mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,851 (+0%) | 2mo | $314,800 | $170 | 86 |
| 7621 Falcon Cir | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,884 (+2%) | 2mo | $299,995 | $159 | 82 |
| 7741 Claymont Cir | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,642 (-11%) | 3mo | $295,408 | $180 | 75 |
| 7277 Pencarrow Cir | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,986 (+8%) | 4mo | $323,151 | $163 | 75 |
| 7270 Pencarrow Cir | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,986 (+8%) | 5mo | $328,824 | $166 | 74 |
| 7217 Pencarrow Cir | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,642 (-11%) | 0mo | $288,345 | $176 | 74 |
| 2121 Beauvoir St | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 1,697 (-8%) | 4mo | $239,000 | $141 | 71 |
| 2008 Napoleon St | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,697 (-8%) | 1mo | $219,000 | $129 | 67 |
| 2113 Toulouse St | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,992 (+8%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $123 | 63 |
| 7258 Pencarrow Cir | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,092 (+13%) | 5mo | $325,195 | $155 | 60 |
| 11436 Memphis Cir | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,986 (+8%) | 4mo | $323,500 | $163 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -37.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.18×
- Total profit
- $-108,379
- Equity at exit
- $48,800
- IRR
- -67.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.90×
- Total profit
- $-173,729
- Equity at exit
- $28,298
Cash invested: $91,642 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 13 active · 25 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.5 mo (28%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $303,990 ($156/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 145 d
- This list price
- 38% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +13.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 39564
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 1063
- Price-to-rent
- 13.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,823 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,716
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$409 /mo · $4,909/yr
- Insurance
- −$136
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $-822
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-595 | -5% $-708 | +0% $-822 | +5% $-935 | +10% $-1,048 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-966 | -5% $-894 | +0% $-822 | +5% $-749 | +10% $-677 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-657 | -0.5pp $-738 | base $-822 | +0.5pp $-906 | +1.0pp $-993 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,823
- Closing costs
- $9,819
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2416 Felicity St Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 6d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2509 Esplanade St Ocean Springs, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,350 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2401 Esplanade St Unit B Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,225 | $0.98 | 117d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2201 Toulouse St Unit A Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 6d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2109 Napoleon St Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2221 Paula Cir Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $1,700 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 12916 Rosemont St Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7205 Greenbriar St Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $1,550 | $1.05 | 6d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 11404 Harrison Ct Ocean Springs, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2091 | $2,850 | $1.36 | 6d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $300,990 Active 204 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $300,990 Active 203 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $300,990 Active 202 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $300,990 Active 201 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $300,990 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $300,990 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $300,990 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $300,990 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $300,990 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $300,990 Active 194 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $300,990 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $300,990 Active 192 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $300,990 Active 191 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $300,990 Active 185 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $300,990 Active 184 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $300,990 Active 183 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $300,990 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $300,990 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $300,990 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $300,990 Active 177 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $300,990 Active 176 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $300,990 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $300,990 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $300,990 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $300,990 Active 172 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $300,990 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $300,990 Active 170 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $300,990 Active 169 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $300,990 Active 168 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $300,990 Active 167 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $300,990 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $300,990 Active 165 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $300,990 Active 164 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $300,990 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $300,990 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $300,990 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $300,990 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $300,990 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $300,990 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $300,990 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $300,990 Active 156 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $300,990 Active 155 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $300,990 Active 154 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $300,990 Active 153 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $300,990 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $300,990 Active 149 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $300,990 Active 148 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $300,990 Active 147 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $300,990 Active 145 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $300,990 Active 143 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,878
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,333
- − Property taxes
- −$4,909
- − Insurance
- −$1,636
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,750
- − Management
- −$1,750
- − Depreciation
- −$9,521
- Taxable loss
- −$16,023
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,845
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,013/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This Trillium IV H home by DSLD Homes is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with minimal repairs and maintenance needed. The highest-ROI updates to increase its value include painting, landscaping, new flooring, and kitchen appliances.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802160
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,569
- Composite
- 43.57/100
- National rank
- #2980
- State rank
- #10 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulf Hills
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #7310
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulf Hills, MS
- County
- Jackson County · 146,926 people
- City population
- 43,240
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,240
- Household income
- $78,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 146,926 people
- By 2030
- 148,442 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 149,631 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 148,723 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 147,845 · +0.6%
- By 2100
- 144,510 · -1.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.77%
- Current HPI
- 204.2244
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Listed $300,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…