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1020 BRADBOURNE Ave #81
C Composite 55.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

1020 BRADBOURNE Ave #81 · Duarte, CA 91010
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 880 sqft · Manufactured · 38 Days on market
Built 2025 $307/sqft · 116% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

BEAUTIFUL DOUBLE WIDE SKYLINE/CHANPION MANUFACTURED HOME (AKA. MOBILE HOME ) . .. . NESTED IN A GREAT 55+ SENIOR COMMUNITY IN THE CITY OF DUARTE, ON THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS. THIS HOME HAS ALL THE BELLS AND WHISTLES: FEATURES, QUARTZ COUNTER TOPS, STAILESS STEEL APPLIANCES ( REFRIGERATOR, GAS STOVE, OVER THE STOVE MICROWAVE, WASHING MACHINE & GAS DRYER, DISHWASHER > MADE BY WHIRLPOOL ) CENTRAL AIR AND HEAT, GORGEOUS VINYL WATERPROOF FLOORING, HIGH CEILINGS, RECESSED LIGHTING, COVERED CARPORT, OUTSIDE SITTING AREA, AND STORAGE SHED. .. . HOME IS CENTRALLY LOCTED NEAR SHOPPING MALLS, RESTAURANTS, CONVENIENCE STORES, SCHOOLS, PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, CITY OF HOPE HO

Key facts

  • Covered carport
  • Central air and heat
  • Recessed lighting

Tags

QUARTZ COUNTER TOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCENTRAL AIR AND HEATVINYL WATERPROOF FLOORINGRECESSED LIGHTINGCOVERED CARPORT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is level with street and paved; listed lot descriptors include 0-1 unit/acre and lot level/flat
  • Financial info: Land lease: $1,200 monthly (current)
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Park name: TREELANE COMMUNITY PARK; Community features include street lighting and sidewalks; Manager approval required; Pets allowed with breed restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (2 carport spaces); Driveway with concrete paving and level driveway; 2 total parking spaces; Private road frontage; paved and maintained road
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Private water source; Private sewer; Electricity on property (standard, 220V available); Natural gas connected/available; Sewer and water connected; Cable and telephone available
  • Home design: Mobile home (model: AMBER COVE); Double body type; Single-story; Entry level 1; Mobile home remains
  • Construction: Cement board, brick and hardboard exterior with drywall interior walls; Composition/shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation with pier jacks; Year built reported by seller
  • Exterior features: Awning; Exterior lighting; Patio; One shed on property; Turnkey condition; South-facing with a view; Garden; Near public transit, park nearby, close to clubhouse, walkstreet

Interior

  • Kitchen: Quartz countertops; Microwave; Gas range (also compatible with gas & electric range); Water heater unit
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Bathtub and shower (shower in tub)
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Front entry; One-level home; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors; Double-pane windows with plantation shutters
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup and gas & electric dryer hookup; Laundry chute; Community laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
  • Recommended offer: $262k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.0% in Duarte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#97 in CA, #3,529 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D, cost of living F.
  • Duarte Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #241 of 517 in CA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 37 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $261,803 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.47%
Cash-on-cash
7.78%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$125,000
List price
$269,900
Delta
115.92%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1020 BRADBOURNE Ave #4 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (+9%) 8mo $158,000 $165 73
1030 Bradbourne Ave #9 0.06mi 2/1.5 956 (+9%) 10mo $77,400 $81 73
1020 Bradourne Ave #72 0.00mi 2/1.0 920 (+4%) 21mo $85,000 $92 71
1030 Bradbourne Ave #44 0.06mi 2/1.0 1,000 (+14%) 2mo $125,000 $125 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-21,224
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-11,884
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 91010

Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,981 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax est. 1.5%
$337 /mo · $4,048/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$626
Net cashflow
$490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,361
Max offer price $269,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2222 Huntington Dr Duarte, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 753 $2,685 $3.56 1d 6 0.17mi
2305 Sesmas St Duarte, CA 2.0 1.0 787 $3,200 $4.07 7d 1 0.21mi
1708 Second St Duarte, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,500 $3.33 43d 1 0.55mi
1700 Fasana Rd Duarte, CA 3.0 1.0–3.0 851 $3,551 $4.17 1d 51 0.74mi
1750 Fasana Rd Duarte, CA 4.0 1.0–4.0 1480 $4,087 $2.76 1d 37 0.74mi
1608 Cotter Ave Duarte, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $3,100 $4.77 43d 1 0.94mi
1353 Pengra St Duarte, CA 3.0 2.0 1075 $3,100 $2.88 43d 1 1.21mi
1543 Delford Ave Unit 1/2 Duarte, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,400 $3.40 43d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,900 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,900 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,900 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,900 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $269,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,900 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,900 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $269,900 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,900 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,900 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,900 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-11
    listed $269,900 Active 794-char remark
  16. 2026-03-19
    historical
  17. 2026-01-14
    status Active
  18. 2026-01-13
    price $275,000
  19. 2025-11-25
    historical
  20. 2025-11-15
    listed $295,000 Active
  21. 2024-12-07
    status Active
  22. 2024-09-20
    status Active
  23. 2024-06-23
    status Active
  24. 2024-06-14
    listed $75,000 Active
  25. 2024-06-11
    historical
  26. 2004-11-07
    historical
  27. 2003-11-07
    listed $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,774
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$4,048
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,862
− Management
−$2,862
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable income
$1,682
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$404
After-tax cash flow
$5,475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duarte Unified
NCES district ID
0611520
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$63,411
Composite
33.66/100
National rank
#5392
State rank
#241 of 517 in CA

Livability — Duarte

Score
76/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#3529

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duarte, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
27,589
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
27,589
Household income
$102,705
Rent vs Own
39.0% rent · 61.0% own
Severe rent burden
844.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% Two or more races 21% White 20% Asian 16% Black 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 42%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 42% Chinese 6% Tagalog/Filipino 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -790.18%
Current HPI
381.0753
Rent YoY
▼ -2.46%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1487.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $269,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $275,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-25 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-11-15 Listed $295,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-12-07 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2024-09-20 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2024-06-23 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2024-06-14 Listed $75,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-06-11 Coming Soon CRMLS
  • 2004-11-07 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2003-11-07 Listed $17,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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