324 W Onota St · Munising, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity in the City of Munising. Bring this beautiful 4 BR, 1BA home with a large garage back to it's vibrant corner lot beginnings. Garage is 44 x 14. New roof was put on last year!!
Key facts
- Large garage
- New roof
- 4,791 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.6% in Munising — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#338 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Munising Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #241 of 540 in MI (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Alger County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alger County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $99k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.78%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,419
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -40.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 322 W Superior St | 0.09mi | 4/1.0 | 1,661 (+11%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $96 | 78 |
| 304 Chestnut St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,517 (+1%) | 15mo | $109,000 | $72 | 74 |
| 213 Oak St | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,439 (-4%) | 11mo | $154,900 | $108 | 67 |
| 223 Lynn St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,601 (+7%) | 11mo | $210,000 | $131 | 66 |
| 116 W Varnum St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,389 (-7%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $115 | 66 |
| 608 W Onota St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,598 (+6%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $100 | 62 |
| 301 E Chocolay St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,611 (+7%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $90 | 58 |
| 314 Maple St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,479 (-1%) | 21mo | $93,000 | $63 | 57 |
| 331 E Varnum St | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,438 (-4%) | 2mo | $219,000 | $152 | 56 |
| 214 Hickory St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+7%) | 8mo | $171,000 | $107 | 55 |
| 112 Pine St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,581 (+5%) | 16mo | $183,900 | $116 | 47 |
| 310 Birch St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,685 (+12%) | 22mo | $195,000 | $116 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,796
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $26,791
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49862
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,274 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,806/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $295
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 300 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 299 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 298 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 297 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 295 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 294 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 291 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 290 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 289 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 287 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 285 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 284 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 283 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 282 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 281 DOM
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2025-08-22$99,000 Active 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Investment opportunity in the City of Munising. Bring this beautiful 4 BR, 1BA home with a large garage back to it's vibrant corner lot beginnings. Garage is 44 x 14. New roof was put on last year!!
-
2025-08-22$99,000 Active 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Investment opportunity in the City of Munising. Bring this beautiful 4 BR, 1BA home with a large garage back to it's vibrant corner lot beginnings. Garage is 44 x 14. New roof was put on last year!!
-
2024-01-01historical
-
2022-07-11$99,000 Active
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2000-09-07soldstatus $33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,806 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,806 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,283
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,806
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,223
- − Management
- −$1,223
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $2,111
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$507
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,036/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Munising Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2624810
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,446
- Composite
- 32.16/100
- National rank
- #5790
- State rank
- #241 of 540 in MI
Livability — Munising
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #338
- US rank
- #8357
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Munising, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,532
Population outlook (Alger County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,895 people
- By 2030
- 8,541 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 7,706 · -13.4%
- By 2050
- 6,904 · -22.4%
- By 2075
- 5,760 · -35.2%
- By 2100
- 4,414 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Native American 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Romanian 7% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Alger
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.7 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+2.5 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.87%
- Current HPI
- 153.6932
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-22 Listed $99,000 UPAR
- 2025-08-22 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-07-11 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,806 · -23.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…