69 Kinzy St · Trion, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for plenty of space? This house has two bedrooms, two bathrooms, and two large bonus rooms upstairs! The property has had new flooring installed, a new metal roof, new wood on the front porch, and more. There is a large wooden deck attached to the back door, overlooking the backyard on this corner lot. A large walk-in access to the crawlspace is located below the back deck. With a little TLC, this house could be a great home, or investment property!
Key facts
- New metal roof
- Large wooden deck
- Walk-in access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#257 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Trion City (town): math 55% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 174 in GA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Trion Elementary School (math 51% / reading 49%, grade D+, #255 of 1,228 statewide, top 21%, 661 students, 56% FRL); Trion Middle School (math 69% / reading 62%, grade A-, #27 of 470 statewide, top 6%, 277 students, 53% FRL); Trion High School (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #88 of 424 statewide, top 22%, 389 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Chattooga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Chattooga County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $95k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.97%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $156,611
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -39.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 743 Pine St | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (+4%) | 8mo | $158,000 | $146 | 59 |
| 35 Marsh Ave | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,116 (+7%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $161 | 59 |
| 689 Melba Dr | 1.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,044 (+0%) | 4mo | $159,000 | $152 | 57 |
| 52 Dogwood Dr | 1.15mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,048 (+1%) | 6mo | $176,000 | $168 | 52 |
| 51 Oak St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 1,177 (+13%) | 7mo | $138,000 | $117 | 46 |
| 78 Oak St | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,177 (+13%) | 7mo | $151,500 | $129 | 42 |
| 164 Elm St | 0.61mi | 2/1.5 | 1,279 (+23%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $113 | 39 |
| 95 Cherry St | 1.44mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-14%) | 4mo | $127,000 | $141 | 39 |
| 112 Seventh St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+18%) | 8mo | $137,200 | $112 | 39 |
| 96 South Second St | 1.21mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (-17%) | 7mo | $19,500 | $22 | 34 |
| 450 Oak Hill Dr | 1.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,175 (+13%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $149 | 33 |
| 93 Cherry St | 1.46mi | 2/1.0 | 1,189 (+14%) | 10mo | $177,689 | $149 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $84,132
- Equity at exit
- $85,584
- IRR
- 35.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.35×
- Total profit
- $222,168
- Equity at exit
- $184,564
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active
- Median asking
- $159,000 ($142/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 65 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +6.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30753
- Home prices YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $234/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $509
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $563 | -5% $536 | +0% $509 | +5% $482 | +10% $455 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $403 | -5% $456 | +0% $509 | +5% $563 | +10% $616 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $557 | -0.5pp $533 | base $509 | +0.5pp $485 | +1.0pp $460 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Peach St Trion, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 154d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 36 events
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2026-06-21days on market $95,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-09price $95,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-04-10price $120,000 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Looking for plenty of space? This house has two bedrooms, two bathrooms, and two large bonus rooms upstairs! The property has had new flooring installed, a new metal roof, new wood on the front porch, and more. There is a large wooden deck attached to the back door, overlooking the backyard on this corner lot. A large walk-in access to the crawlspace is located below the back deck. With a little TLC, this house could be a great home, or investment property!
-
2026-04-10price $120,000 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Looking for plenty of space? This house has two bedrooms, two bathrooms, and two large bonus rooms upstairs! The property has had new flooring installed, a new metal roof, new wood on the front porch, and more. There is a large wooden deck attached to the back door, overlooking the backyard on this corner lot. A large walk-in access to the crawlspace is located below the back deck. With a little TLC, this house could be a great home, or investment property!
-
2026-03-20$124,900 New 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Looking for plenty of space? This house has two bedrooms, two bathrooms, and two large bonus rooms upstairs! The property has had new flooring installed, a new metal roof, new wood on the front porch, and more. There is a large wooden deck attached to the back door, overlooking the backyard on this corner lot. A large walk-in access to the crawlspace is located below the back deck. With a little TLC, this house could be a great home, or investment property!
-
2026-03-20$124,900 Active 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Looking for plenty of space? This house has two bedrooms, two bathrooms, and two large bonus rooms upstairs! The property has had new flooring installed, a new metal roof, new wood on the front porch, and more. There is a large wooden deck attached to the back door, overlooking the backyard on this corner lot. A large walk-in access to the crawlspace is located below the back deck. With a little TLC, this house could be a great home, or investment property!
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2024-12-30soldstatus $41,000
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2024-11-30historical
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2024-11-30historical
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2024-11-12price $43,900
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2024-11-12price $43,900
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2024-11-02price $44,900
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2024-11-02price $44,900
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2024-10-24price $45,000
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2024-10-24price $45,000
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2024-10-16price $47,500
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2024-10-16price $47,500
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2024-10-10price $52,000
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2024-10-10price $52,000
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2024-10-05$56,000 Active
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2024-10-05$56,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $234 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $874 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$640/yr (+$53/mo · 273.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$234
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $4,814
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,155
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This single-family home has been updated with new flooring, a new metal roof, and new siding, making it a good candidate for investment or rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves property's visual appeal and can increase its value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trion City
- NCES district ID
- 1305130
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,021
- Composite
- 45.6/100
- National rank
- #2589
- State rank
- #11 of 174 in GA
Livability — Trion
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #257
- US rank
- #14164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trion, GA
- County
- Chattooga · 23,451 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,039
- Household income
- $49,111
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Chattooga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,451 people
- By 2030
- 22,595 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 20,808 · -11.3%
- By 2050
- 19,079 · -18.6%
- By 2075
- 15,131 · -35.5%
- By 2100
- 10,904 · -53.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chattooga
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.2) · D 17.7% · R 81.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.4pp toward R · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -64.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.2 2020: R+61.8 2016: R+58.8 2012: R+41.3 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.20%
- Current HPI
- 253.4637
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+114.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $120,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $124,900 FMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $124,900 GAMLS
- 2024-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-30 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-11-30 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-11-12 Price Changed $43,900 FMLS
- 2024-11-12 Price Changed $43,900 GAMLS
- 2024-11-02 Price Changed $44,900 FMLS
- 2024-11-02 Price Changed $44,900 GAMLS
- 2024-10-24 Price Changed $45,000 FMLS
- 2024-10-24 Price Changed $45,000 GAMLS
- 2024-10-16 Price Changed $47,500 FMLS
- 2024-10-16 Price Changed $47,500 GAMLS
- 2024-10-10 Price Changed $52,000 FMLS
- 2024-10-10 Price Changed $52,000 GAMLS
- 2024-10-05 Listed $56,000 GAMLS
- 2024-10-05 Listed $56,000 FMLS
Property tax history
+19.2%/yrLatest (2025): $234 · -10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…