2898 E Lass Ave · New Kingman-Butler, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this beautifully maintained 1964 single-wide manufactured home featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and just over 600 sqft of comfortable living space (plus additions for extra room!). The newly updated kitchen shines with modern finishes, fresh cabinetry, and stylish countertops—perfect for home-cooked meals and entertaining. Enjoy the privacy and space of a fully fenced lot, ideal for pets, gardening, or simply relaxing outdoors. The additions provide flexible living or storage options, enhancing both comfort and functionality.
Key facts
- Fully fenced lot
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1964
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 4.3% in New Kingman-Butler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 643 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.20%
- DSCR
- 2.48
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,847
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -7.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $20,002
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $49,474
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86409
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 643
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,210 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $205/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $542
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2840 E Leroy Ave Kingman, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,000 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3600 E Thompson Ave Kingman, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $800 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 218 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $70,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $70,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $70,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2025-11-12$70,000 Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Step into this beautifully maintained 1964 single-wide manufactured home featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and just over 600 sqft of comfortable living space (plus additions for extra room!). The newly updated kitchen shines with modern finishes, fresh cabinetry, and stylish countertops—perfect for home-cooked meals and entertaining. Enjoy the privacy and space of a fully fenced lot, ideal for pets, gardening, or simply relaxing outdoors. The additions provide flexible living or storage options, enhancing both comfort and functionality.
-
2023-05-01soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $205 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $462 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- +$257/yr (+$21/mo · 125.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,515
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$205
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,161
- − Management
- −$1,161
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $5,680
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,363
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,144/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingman Unified School District (79598)
- NCES district ID
- 0400295
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,760
- Composite
- 17.87/100
- National rank
- #9002
- State rank
- #179 of 249 in AZ
Livability — New Kingman-Butler
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Kingman-Butler, AZ
- County
- Mohave County · 181,906 people
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,365
- Household income
- $50,852
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 688.0
Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,184 people
- By 2030
- 209,674 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 205,897 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 196,810 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 169,454 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 136,630 · -34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Mohave
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.90%
- Current HPI
- 280.1884
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.33%
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+16.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-12 Listed $70,000 WARDEX
- 2023-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $205 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…