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B- Composite 66.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$37,500

301 Pine St · West Memphis, AR 72301
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,562 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1961 8,712 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $954 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
  • Cap rate 36.8% vs local median 7.0% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: West Junior High School (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #175 of 201 statewide, top 88%, 507 students, 100% FRL); The Academies of West Memphis Charter School (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #265 of 292 statewide, top 91%, 952 students, 100% FRL, charter) — zoned schools at 100% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $259 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $37,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.07%
Cap rate
36.82%
Cash-on-cash
109.03%
DSCR
5.85
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$168,696
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
123 W Danner Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,425 (-9%) 1mo $115,000 $81 69
200 Gibson Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,498 (-4%) 17mo $162,000 $108 56
128 Ross Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,486 (-5%) 14mo $194,900 $131 50
411 Pine St 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,351 (-14%) 19mo $225,000 $167 49
126 W Cooper Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,372 (-12%) 12mo $183,000 $133 48
413 Pine St 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,351 (-14%) 20mo $225,000 $167 46
117 Ross Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,396 (-11%) 21mo $65,000 $47 41
224 S 9th St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,624 (+4%) 17mo $22,000 $14 39
213 S Worthington Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,375 (-12%) 6mo $169,900 $124 37
232 Ross Rd 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,775 (+14%) 5mo $177,500 $100 36
228 Ross Rd 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,375 (-12%) 14mo $82,900 $60 36
303 N Bond St 0.64mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,353 (-13%) 22mo $94,900 $70 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.21×
Total profit
$54,704
Equity at exit
$5,591
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.00×
Total profit
$125,949
Equity at exit
$3,242

Cash invested: $10,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,525 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$197
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $464/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$954

Break-even live

Break-even rent $318
Max offer price $37,500
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $975 -5% $965 +0% $954 +5% $943 +10% $933
Rent -10% $834 -5% $894 +0% $954 +5% $1,014 +10% $1,075
Rate -1.0pp $973 -0.5pp $964 base $954 +0.5pp $944 +1.0pp $934

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,375
Closing costs
$1,125
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR 2.0 2.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 2d 1 0.80mi
1398 E Barton Ave West Memphis, AR 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,550 $1.24 11d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-01-08
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-08
    listed $37,500 Active
  3. 1989-06-05
    soldstatus $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$464 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$464 · $39/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,303
− Mortgage interest
−$2,101
− Property taxes
−$464
− Insurance
−$188
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,464
− Management
−$1,464
− Depreciation
−$1,091
Taxable income
$11,532
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,768
After-tax cash flow
$8,681/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Pending EARA
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $37,500 EARA
  • 1989-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $464 · -9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…