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202 W Perry St
B Composite 72.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$59,000

202 W Perry St · Arma, KS 66712
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 684 sqft · Manufactured public records · 466 Days on market
Built 1967 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1967

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 14,947 square feet; Road maintained by public maintenance
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; Single-story/main-level living; Located inside city limits
  • Construction: Metal siding; Vinyl siding; Other roof material; Estimated 51–75 years old
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Front porch; Paved road access; Corner lot location

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range; Vinyl in the kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms — all on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl; Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Electric cooling (central)
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Open family room; Additional flexible room (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($917 rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#208 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Northeast (rural): math 18% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #159 of 169 in KS (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $221 of equity ($408 loan paydown + $-187 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 466 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $37k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $59k implies a 195% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 466 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.67%
Cash-on-cash
26.35%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$20,492
Equity at exit
$16,201
10-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
4.29×
Total profit
$54,305
Equity at exit
$18,747

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66712

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$917 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $330/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$193
Net cashflow
$363

Break-even live

Break-even rent $458
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $396 -5% $380 +0% $363 +5% $346 +10% $329
Rent -10% $290 -5% $327 +0% $363 +5% $399 +10% $435
Rate -1.0pp $393 -0.5pp $378 base $363 +0.5pp $348 +1.0pp $332

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $59,000 Pending 466 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 466 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 465 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 464 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,000 Active 462 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,000 Active 461 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 458 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 457 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 456 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,000 Active 454 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 452 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 451 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 450 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 449 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,000 Active 448 DOM
  16. 2026-03-09
    status Active
  17. 2026-03-09
    price $59,000
  18. 2026-01-30
    historical
  19. 2025-08-20
    price $69,000
  20. 2025-06-24
    price $79,000
  21. 2025-03-31
    price $86,000
  22. 2025-01-29
    listed $96,000 Active
  23. 1985-03-01
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$330 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$832 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$502/yr (+$42/mo · 152.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,002
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$330
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$880
− Management
−$880
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$3,595
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$863
After-tax cash flow
$3,491/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northeast
NCES district ID
2003480
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$35,724
Composite
16.53/100
National rank
#9180
State rank
#159 of 169 in KS

Livability — Arma

Score
68/100
State rank
#208
US rank
#9327

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Arma, KS
Population (ZIP)
1,471

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,393 people
By 2030
39,540 · +0.4%
By 2040
39,452 · +0.1%
By 2050
39,188 · -0.5%
By 2075
39,038 · -0.9%
By 2100
38,219 · -3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Danish 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.5% · R 61.7% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.4pp · 2024: -25.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.3 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+6.5 2008: D+1.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.32%
Current HPI
154.0525
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+195.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $59,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-20 Price Changed $69,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $79,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-31 Price Changed $86,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-29 Listed $96,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1985-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $330 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…