202 W Perry St · Arma, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1967
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 14,947 square feet; Road maintained by public maintenance
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; Single-story/main-level living; Located inside city limits
- Construction: Metal siding; Vinyl siding; Other roof material; Estimated 51–75 years old
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Front porch; Paved road access; Corner lot location
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range; Vinyl in the kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms — all on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl; Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Electric cooling (central)
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Open family room; Additional flexible room (other)
- Laundry & utility: Utility room on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($917 rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#208 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Northeast (rural): math 18% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #159 of 169 in KS (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $221 of equity ($408 loan paydown + $-187 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 466 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $37k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $59k implies a 195% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 466 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.35%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $20,492
- Equity at exit
- $16,201
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.29×
- Total profit
- $54,305
- Equity at exit
- $18,747
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66712
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $917 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $330/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$193
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $396 | -5% $380 | +0% $363 | +5% $346 | +10% $329 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $290 | -5% $327 | +0% $363 | +5% $399 | +10% $435 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $393 | -0.5pp $378 | base $363 | +0.5pp $348 | +1.0pp $332 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18status $59,000 Pending 466 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 466 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 465 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 464 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,000 Active 462 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $59,000 Active 461 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 458 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 457 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 456 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,000 Active 454 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,000 Active 452 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 451 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 450 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 449 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,000 Active 448 DOM
-
2026-03-09status Active
-
2026-03-09price $59,000
-
2026-01-30historical
-
2025-08-20price $69,000
-
2025-06-24price $79,000
-
2025-03-31price $86,000
-
2025-01-29$96,000 Active
-
1985-03-01soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $330 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $832 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$502/yr (+$42/mo · 152.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,002
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$330
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$880
- − Management
- −$880
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $3,595
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$863
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northeast
- NCES district ID
- 2003480
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,724
- Composite
- 16.53/100
- National rank
- #9180
- State rank
- #159 of 169 in KS
Livability — Arma
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #208
- US rank
- #9327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arma, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,471
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,393 people
- By 2030
- 39,540 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 39,452 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 39,188 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 39,038 · -0.9%
- By 2100
- 38,219 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Danish 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.5% · R 61.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.4pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+6.5 2008: D+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.32%
- Current HPI
- 154.0525
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+195.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $59,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $69,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-24 Price Changed $79,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-31 Price Changed $86,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-29 Listed $96,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $330 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…