1311 33rd St · Springfield, OR 97478

$130,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 520 sqft · Manufactured public records · 13 Days on market

Built 1964 9,583 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.4/30.0
• DSCR +9.6/10.0
• 1% rule +7.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

0.22-acre property located in the Springfield area offering excellent potential. Established neighborhood setting with convenient access to schools, parks, and local amenities. A great opportunity to bring your vision and make this property your own. Bring your ideas and explore the possibilities this site has to offer. Buyer to perform due diligence.

Key facts

• 0.22-acre property
• 9,583 sq ft lot
• Garage

Tags

• 0.22-ACRE PROPERTY
• ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD
• CONVENIENT ACCESS TO SCHOOLS
• CONVENIENT ACCESS TO PARKS

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Not a senior community; No land lease

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway; RV parking; Detached 1-car garage; 1 parking space total
• Utilities: Electricity; Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Manufactured home on real property; Residential property; Fixer condition; Single-level entry
• Construction: Built in 1964
• Exterior features: Metal siding; Level lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level); Second bedroom
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
• Interior features: Family room; Great room; Dining room; Living room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $381 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
• Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+.
• Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Yolanda Elementary School (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #183 of 412 statewide, top 47%, 358 students, 61% FRL); Briggs Middle School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #119 of 128 statewide, top 94%, 428 students, 62% FRL); Thurston High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,277 students, 65% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $130,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.81%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.57%
• DSCR: 1.56
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $35,360
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2145 31st St #1	0.63mi	2/1.0	576 (+11%)	22mo	$39,000	$68	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 2.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.11×
• Total profit: $3,872
• Equity at exit: $19,383

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.03×
• Total profit: $37,320
• Equity at exit: $11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Oregon: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 97478

• Rents YoY: 3.4%
• Active inventory: 263
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,620 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$682
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$340
• Net cashflow: $381

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137

Max offer price $130,000

Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,500
• Closing costs: $3,900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 7 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2700 Pierce Pkwy Springfield, OR	3.0	1.0–2.0	876	$2,085	$2.38	13d	11	0.66mi
1890 M St Springfield, OR	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	725	$1,699	$2.34	13d	3	0.80mi
1890 M St Springfield, OR	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1033	$1,599	$1.55	21d	1	0.80mi
2665 C St Springfield, OR	2.0	1.0	572	$1,795	$3.14	13d	1	0.82mi
2005 Marcola Rd Springfield, OR	1.0	1.0	600	$1,274	$2.12	13d	4	0.87mi
1813 M St Springfield, OR	1.0	1.0	700	$1,150	$1.64	43d	1	0.94mi
207 N 24th St Unit 209 Springfield, OR	1.0	1.0	670	$1,195	$1.78	21d	1	0.98mi

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $130,000 Active 13 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   remarks 353-char remark
10. 2026-06-07
    listed $130,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,440
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,282
• − Property taxes: −$1,950
• − Insurance: −$650
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,555
• − Management: −$1,555
• − Depreciation: −$3,782
• Taxable income: $2,666
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$640
• After-tax cash flow: $3,937/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Springfield SD 19
• NCES district ID: 4111670
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $42,236
• Composite: 24.14/100
• National rank: #7746
• State rank: #48 of 58 in OR

Livability — Springfield

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #40
• US rank: #934

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Springfield, OR
• County: Lane County · 310,476 people
• City population: 76,907
• Metro: Eugene-Springfield, OR
• Population (ZIP): 39,373
• Household income: $80,086
• Rent vs Own: 31.0% rent · 69.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 904.0

Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 391,933 people
• By 2030: 405,860 · +3.6%
• By 2040: 429,386 · +9.6%
• By 2050: 452,016 · +15.3%
• By 2075: 508,825 · +29.8%
• By 2100: 531,208 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 9%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lane

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -395.83%
• Current HPI: 302.9203
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.38%
• Metro: Eugene-Springfield, OR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.05%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Consumer Goods	1	$51B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-05 Listed $130,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $122 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.