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709 Windy Trl
B Composite 70.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$400,000

709 Windy Trl · Newport, NC 28570
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,816 sqft · Other public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1986 9,148 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy the best of coastal Carolina living in this immaculate, 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Newport. Meticulously maintained inside and out, this 2-story home offers the perfect balance of comfort & convenience to support the relaxed lifestyle the Crystal Coast is known for. Inside, you'll find a recently renovated spacious layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. Outside the established and meticulously maintained landscaping creates beautiful curb appeal and a welcoming first impression. Located in a prime Newport location, this home makes commuting easy with convenient access to Carteret, Craven, and Onslow counties. Spend your weekends enjoying nearby be

Key facts

  • 9,148 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1986

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space (1 total parking space); Paved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-level entry; Two total stories; Residential zoning; Located in White Sands subdivision
  • Construction: Cedar and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with frame and cedar materials
  • Exterior features: Patio; Has a view; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Master bedroom located on the main level; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($109k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $400k).
  • Recommended offer: $388k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#385 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Newport Elementary (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #542 of 1,410 statewide, top 39%, 645 students, 100% FRL); Newport Middle (math 39% / reading 56%, grade C-, #140 of 475 statewide, top 30%, 378 students, 98% FRL); West Carteret High (math 82% / reading 71%, grade A-, #89 of 535 statewide, top 16%, 1,146 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 39% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $15,034/mo this rent would consume 257% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $388,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.76%
Cap rate
33.63%
Cash-on-cash
97.63%
DSCR
5.34
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
98.6%
Equity multiple
5.61×
Total profit
$515,771
Equity at exit
$59,641
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.69×
Total profit
$1,197,353
Equity at exit
$34,585

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28570

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$15,034 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax est. 1.5%
$500 /mo · $6,000/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,157
Net cashflow
$9,112

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,499
Max offer price $400,000
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $400,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $400,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $400,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $400,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $400,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $400,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $400,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $400,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $400,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $400,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $400,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $400,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $400,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $400,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $400,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $400,000 Active 32 DOM
  17. 2026-04-28
    listed $400,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$180,403
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$6,000
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$14,432
− Management
−$14,432
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable income
$109,496
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$26,279
After-tax cash flow
$83,067/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carteret County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3700630
Math proficiency
59% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$48,330
Composite
50.92/100
National rank
#1786
State rank
#31 of 178 in NC

Livability — Newport

Score
63/100
State rank
#385
US rank
#15094

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newport, NC
County
Carteret County · 52,389 people
City population
22,197
Metro
Morehead City, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,197
Household income
$70,229
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
461.0

Population outlook (Carteret County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,443 people
By 2030
75,344 · +2.6%
By 2040
78,142 · +6.4%
By 2050
80,091 · +9.1%
By 2075
86,120 · +17.3%
By 2100
89,408 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carteret

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.0% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -34.7pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.54%
Current HPI
276.6589
Rent YoY
Metro
Morehead City, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $400,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $697 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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