2026 James Ave · Caledonia, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.17%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice duplex in Caledonia Township. New roof 2-3 years ago complete. 2028 James is a complete remodel & is vacant. New flooring throughout, new window trim, tub professionally reglazed, all new paint. Outside and deck recently power washed. 2026 James has long term tenant. Apartments are mirror image. Large storage unit in rear of property. Each unit has private entrance & parking. New electric water heater in 2028 side. Electric heat.
Key facts
- Complete remodel
- New window trim
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listed as residential income / multi-family; One unit reported with actual rent of $665
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Multi-family residential; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Paved road access; Lot about 0.17 acres (57 x 132)
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator; Range
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Radiant heating; Separate meters for utilities; No central cooling
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Oven; Refrigerator; Range; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.5% in Caledonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#101 in MI, #2,449 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Corunna Public Schools (town): math 24% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #330 of 540 in MI (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Shiawassee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shiawassee County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $140k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.02%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,592
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- 3.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 757 Union Ave Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,364 (-3%) | 21mo | $160,000 | $117 | 64 |
| 1912 Corunna Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,347 (-4%) | 18mo | $75,000 | $56 | 62 |
| 709 Linwood St | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 | 1,332 (-5%) | 8mo | $179,900 | $135 | 62 |
| 873 Union Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,570 (+12%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $118 | 56 |
| 873 Union Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,570 (+12%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $118 | 55 |
| 631 Aiken St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 1,497 (+7%) | 23mo | $175,000 | $117 | 50 |
| 1921 Corunna Ave Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,547 (+10%) | 24mo | $135,000 | $87 | 46 |
| 1713 Melinda St | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 | 1,542 (+10%) | 19mo | $212,000 | $137 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-10,152
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $7,274
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48867
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,425 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,643/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $139,900 Active 29 DOM
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Nice duplex in Caledonia Township. New roof 2-3 years ago complete. 2028 James is a complete remodel & is vacant. New flooring throughout, new window trim, tub professionally reglazed, all new paint. Outside and deck recently power washed. 2026 James has long term tenant. Apartments are mirror image. Large storage unit in rear of property. Each unit has private entrance & parking. New electric water heater in 2028 side. Electric heat.
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $139,900 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-11$139,900 Active 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Nice duplex in Caledonia Township. New roof 2-3 years ago complete. 2028 James is a complete remodel & is vacant. New flooring throughout, new window trim, tub professionally reglazed, all new paint. Outside and deck recently power washed. 2026 James has long term tenant. Apartments are mirror image. Large storage unit in rear of property. Each unit has private entrance & parking. New electric water heater in 2028 side. Electric heat.
-
2026-05-11$139,900 Active 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Nice duplex in Caledonia Township. New roof 2-3 years ago complete. 2028 James is a complete remodel & is vacant. New flooring throughout, new window trim, tub professionally reglazed, all new paint. Outside and deck recently power washed. 2026 James has long term tenant. Apartments are mirror image. Large storage unit in rear of property. Each unit has private entrance & parking. New electric water heater in 2028 side. Electric heat.
-
2009-02-18soldstatus $28,000
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
Hud Home. Sold 'as Is' By Elec Bid Only. For Prop. Conditions, Forms, Lbp, Discl, Avail & Owner Occupant Incentives See Website In Agent Remarks. Fha Case #262-155502. Insured W Escrow Repairs $1,155. Bids Due By 11-16-08 11:59 Pm Or Daily Until Sold
-
2009-02-18soldstatus $28,000
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
Hud Home. Sold 'as Is' By Elec Bid Only. For Prop. Conditions, Forms, Lbp, Discl, Avail & Owner Occupant Incentives See Website In Agent Remarks. Fha Case #262-155502. Insured W Escrow Repairs $1,155. Bids Due By 11-16-08 11:59 Pm Or Daily Until Sold
-
2008-11-07$25,000
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
Hud Home. Sold 'as Is' By Elec Bid Only. For Prop. Conditions, Forms, Lbp, Discl, Avail & Owner Occupant Incentives See Website In Agent Remarks. Fha Case #262-155502. Insured W Escrow Repairs $1,155. Bids Due By 11-16-08 11:59 Pm Or Daily Until Sold
-
2008-11-07$25,000
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
Hud Home. Sold 'as Is' By Elec Bid Only. For Prop. Conditions, Forms, Lbp, Discl, Avail & Owner Occupant Incentives See Website In Agent Remarks. Fha Case #262-155502. Insured W Escrow Repairs $1,155. Bids Due By 11-16-08 11:59 Pm Or Daily Until Sold
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,643 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,899 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- +$256/yr (+$21/mo · 15.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,095
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,643
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,368
- − Management
- −$1,368
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $111
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$27
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,332/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corunna Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2610860
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,801
- Composite
- 27.59/100
- National rank
- #6935
- State rank
- #330 of 540 in MI
Livability — Caledonia
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #2449
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middletown, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,399
Population outlook (Shiawassee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,238 people
- By 2030
- 61,434 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 55,054 · -14.3%
- By 2050
- 48,426 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 35,995 · -44.0%
- By 2100
- 26,678 · -58.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shiawassee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.1) · D 37.7% · R 60.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -234.79%
- Current HPI
- 190.5775
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+459.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-16 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2009-02-18 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-02-18 Sold (MLS) $28,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-11-07 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-11-07 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,643 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…