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128 Bridge St
C+ Composite 63.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,999

128 Bridge St · Old Forge, PA 18518
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,532 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1958 0.28 ac lot Est $224k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 story home with plenty to offer! There are 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, plenty of off street parking, a nice size yard and an enclosed porch. Check out what could be yours, today!

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Private yard
  • 0.28 acre lot

Tags

OFF STREET PARKINGPRIVATE YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Private parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Bi-level design; Built circa 1958 (estimated)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Combination and stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Private lot; Public maintained paved road frontage (approx. 100')

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one bedroom on lower level / basement present)
  • Flooring: Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Drywall interior; Attic storage; Block basement
  • Laundry & utility: 150 Amp electric service

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 6.1% in Old Forge — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#287 in PA, #2,531 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Old Forge SD (suburban): math 22% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #409 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
  • Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $200k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $199,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.75%
Cash-on-cash
5.21%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$223,672
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
322 Bridge St 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,529 (-0%) 8mo $116,000 $76 84
116 Broadhead St 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (-9%) 0mo $204,750 $146 73
122 W Morton St 0.27mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,589 (+4%) 2mo $285,000 $179 73
600 Center St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,550 (+1%) 2mo $365,000 $235 72
806 Foote Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,506 (-2%) 1mo $238,350 $158 68
702 Main St 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,620 (+6%) 9mo $70,000 $43 52
602 Milwaukee Ave 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,395 (-9%) 5mo $270,000 $194 52
115 Taroli St Unit L20 22 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,350 (-12%) 2mo $130,000 $96 50
414 Marcy St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,676 (+9%) 4mo $199,000 $119 47
201 Alicia St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+11%) 1mo $230,000 $135 47
108 Mary St 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,705 (+11%) 1mo $153,000 $90 46
412 Brook St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-14%) 5mo $197,000 $149 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$63,290
Equity at exit
$115,118
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$177,263
Equity at exit
$200,166

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18518

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,057 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$243

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,750
Max offer price $199,999
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $381 -5% $312 +0% $243 +5% $174 +10% $105
Rent -10% $81 -5% $162 +0% $243 +5% $324 +10% $406
Rate -1.0pp $344 -0.5pp $294 base $243 +0.5pp $191 +1.0pp $139

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
163 Bianca Way Old Forge, PA 2.0 2.0 1194 $2,500 $2.09 14d 1 0.52mi
75 Marimar Dr Old Forge, PA 2.0 2.0 1300 $2,500 $1.92 14d 1 0.54mi
230 Swetland St Duryea, PA 2.0 1.0 1092 $1,400 $1.28 21d 1 0.83mi
1418 Grove St Moosic, PA 3.0 2.0 1820 $1,850 $1.02 14d 1 0.89mi
114 Dickson St Duryea, PA 3.0 1.0 1836 $1,600 $0.87 14d 1 1.03mi
200 Oak St Unit 2 Old Forge, PA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,800 $1.20 44d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 140-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $199,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,688
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$3,000
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,975
− Management
−$1,975
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$283
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$68
After-tax cash flow
$2,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Old Forge SD
NCES district ID
4218120
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$49,409
Composite
30.6/100
National rank
#6196
State rank
#409 of 539 in PA

Livability — Old Forge

Score
78/100
State rank
#287
US rank
#2531

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Old Forge, PA
City population
8,533
Population (ZIP)
8,533

Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
210,652 people
By 2030
208,623 · -1.0%
By 2040
203,980 · -3.2%
By 2050
201,069 · -4.5%
By 2075
205,026 · -2.7%
By 2100
210,851 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 17% Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.15%
Current HPI
242.2839
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $199,999 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-03-08 Sold (MLS) $115,000 PMAR
  • 2022-11-16 Price Changed $133,900 PMAR
  • 2022-09-16 Listed $139,900 PMAR
  • 2022-05-26 Listed $125,000 LCAR

Property tax history

+42.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $29,164 · +4001.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…