128 Bridge St · Old Forge, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$199,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 story home with plenty to offer! There are 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, plenty of off street parking, a nice size yard and an enclosed porch. Check out what could be yours, today!
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Private yard
- 0.28 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Private parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Bi-level design; Built circa 1958 (estimated)
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Combination and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Private yard; Private lot; Public maintained paved road frontage (approx. 100')
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one bedroom on lower level / basement present)
- Flooring: Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Drywall interior; Attic storage; Block basement
- Laundry & utility: 150 Amp electric service
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 6.1% in Old Forge — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#287 in PA, #2,531 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Old Forge SD (suburban): math 22% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #409 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $200k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.21%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $223,672
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 322 Bridge St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,529 (-0%) | 8mo | $116,000 | $76 | 84 |
| 116 Broadhead St | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-9%) | 0mo | $204,750 | $146 | 73 |
| 122 W Morton St | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,589 (+4%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $179 | 73 |
| 600 Center St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,550 (+1%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $235 | 72 |
| 806 Foote Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,506 (-2%) | 1mo | $238,350 | $158 | 68 |
| 702 Main St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+6%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $43 | 52 |
| 602 Milwaukee Ave | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,395 (-9%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $194 | 52 |
| 115 Taroli St Unit L20 22 | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-12%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $96 | 50 |
| 414 Marcy St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,676 (+9%) | 4mo | $199,000 | $119 | 47 |
| 201 Alicia St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+11%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $135 | 47 |
| 108 Mary St | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,705 (+11%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $90 | 46 |
| 412 Brook St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-14%) | 5mo | $197,000 | $149 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $63,290
- Equity at exit
- $115,118
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.17×
- Total profit
- $177,263
- Equity at exit
- $200,166
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18518
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,057 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $243
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $381 | -5% $312 | +0% $243 | +5% $174 | +10% $105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $81 | -5% $162 | +0% $243 | +5% $324 | +10% $406 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $344 | -0.5pp $294 | base $243 | +0.5pp $191 | +1.0pp $139 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163 Bianca Way Old Forge, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $2,500 | $2.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 75 Marimar Dr Old Forge, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 230 Swetland St Duryea, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1418 Grove St Moosic, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $1,850 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 114 Dickson St Duryea, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1836 | $1,600 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 200 Oak St Unit 2 Old Forge, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 140-char remark
-
2026-06-18$199,999 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,000
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,975
- − Management
- −$1,975
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$283
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$68
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,986/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Old Forge SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218120
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,409
- Composite
- 30.6/100
- National rank
- #6196
- State rank
- #409 of 539 in PA
Livability — Old Forge
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #287
- US rank
- #2531
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Old Forge, PA
- City population
- 8,533
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,533
Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 210,652 people
- By 2030
- 208,623 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 203,980 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 201,069 · -4.5%
- By 2075
- 205,026 · -2.7%
- By 2100
- 210,851 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.15%
- Current HPI
- 242.2839
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+60.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $199,999 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-03-08 Sold (MLS) $115,000 PMAR
- 2022-11-16 Price Changed $133,900 PMAR
- 2022-09-16 Listed $139,900 PMAR
- 2022-05-26 Listed $125,000 LCAR
Property tax history
+42.3%/yrLatest (2026): $29,164 · +4001.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…