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3223 Roberts St
B Composite 70.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

3223 Roberts St · Kansas City, MO 64124
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1890 2,968 sqft lot $78/sqft · 24% below area Est $177k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom home located in Kansas City Northeast, South of the River. Originally built in 1890, this property blends historic character with modern updates. Home now features four extremely spacious bedrooms with generous square footage throughout. Primary and additional 2 bedroom on second floor and 1 additional bedroom on the main level. Recent improvements include a newly built deck and a brand-new privacy fence in the front yard, offering added curb appeal and outdoor enjoyment.

Key facts

  • 2,968 sq ft lot
  • Built 1890
  • Listed 70 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $427 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
10.09%
Cash-on-cash
13.55%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,550
List price
$135,000
Delta
-23.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
311 Gladstone Blvd 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,731 (+0%) 8mo $200,000 $116 76
1027 Cleveland Ave 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,758 (+2%) 3mo $60,000 $34 66
3521 Lexington Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,552 (-10%) 2mo $140,000 $90 66
3521 Windsor Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,718 (-1%) 7mo $249,950 $145 64
3430 E 6th St 0.20mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,558 (-10%) 3mo $75,000 $48 63
3222 E 11th St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,874 (+8%) 9mo $29,500 $16 53
2612 E 10th St 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,572 (-9%) 3mo $170,000 $108 50
1309 Askew Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,848 (+7%) 2mo $51,000 $28 48
1302 College Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,839 (+6%) 9mo $200,000 $109 42
2116 Elma St 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,494 (-14%) 2mo $250,000 $167 37
615 Brooklyn Ave 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,970 (+14%) 9mo $275,000 $140 33
216 N Clinton Pl 0.73mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,910 (+10%) 9mo $295,000 $154 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$4,005
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$33,205
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64124

Home prices YoY
-26.0%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,597 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $843/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$427

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,056
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $503 -5% $465 +0% $427 +5% $389 +10% $351
Rent -10% $301 -5% $364 +0% $427 +5% $490 +10% $553
Rate -1.0pp $495 -0.5pp $461 base $427 +0.5pp $392 +1.0pp $356

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3510 Garner Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1536 $1,400 $0.91 4d 1 0.21mi
504 Bellefontaine Ave Unit 2 Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 1500 $1,300 $0.87 44d 1 0.23mi
311 Bellefontaine Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1360 $2,200 $1.62 44d 1 0.33mi
307 Bellefontaine Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 3.0 2023 $3,500 $1.73 17d 1 0.34mi
901 Benton Blvd Unit 7 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,202 $1.09 44d 1 0.34mi
3429 Morrell Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.5 1800 $1,650 $0.92 8d 1 0.38mi
916 Bellefontaine Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1399 $1,650 $1.18 17d 1 0.41mi
3523 Saint John Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1500 $995 $0.66 24d 1 0.46mi
203 N Indiana Ave Unit 209 Indiana Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 44d 1 0.53mi
2919 E 12th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1943 $2,000 $1.03 44d 1 0.63mi
1233 Benton Blvd Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.5 1500 $2,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.67mi
129 Brooklyn Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1225 $1,195 $0.98 11d 1 0.76mi
105 Brooklyn Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1152 $1,250 $1.09 5d 1 0.80mi
347 Maple Blvd Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1246 $1,350 $1.08 24d 1 0.84mi
612 Garfield Ave Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,875 $2.08 2d 44 0.86mi
815 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1302 $1,600 $1.23 15d 1 0.88mi
4405 Norledge Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1510 $1,600 $1.06 44d 1 0.93mi
218 N Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1184 $1,500 $1.27 44d 1 0.95mi
3305 E 19th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 44d 1 1.21mi
1603 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,031 $0.97 13d 1 1.27mi
1805 Jackson Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1250 $1,250 $1.00 44d 1 1.30mi
5213 Wilburn Ct Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,375 $1.08 22d 1 1.35mi
1812 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1650 $1,600 $0.97 17d 1 1.41mi
2003 Wabash Ave Unit B Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,095 $0.91 24d 1 1.42mi
1905 Kensington Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1285 $1,325 $1.03 24d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $135,000 Pending 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-05-16
    price $135,000 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    Charming 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom home located in Kansas City Northeast, South of the River. Originally built in 1890, this property blends historic character with modern updates. Home now features four extremely spacious bedrooms with generous square footage throughout. Primary and additional 2 bedroom on second floor and 1 additional bedroom on the main level. Recent improvements include a newly built deck and a brand-new privacy fence in the front yard, offering added curb appeal and outdoor enjoyment.

  5. 2026-04-07
    price $145,000 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    Charming 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom home located in Kansas City Northeast, South of the River. Originally built in 1890, this property blends historic character with modern updates. Home now features four extremely spacious bedrooms with generous square footage throughout. Primary and additional 2 bedroom on second floor and 1 additional bedroom on the main level. Recent improvements include a newly built deck and a brand-new privacy fence in the front yard, offering added curb appeal and outdoor enjoyment.

  6. 2026-03-24
    listed $150,000 Active 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    Charming 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom home located in Kansas City Northeast, South of the River. Originally built in 1890, this property blends historic character with modern updates. Home now features four extremely spacious bedrooms with generous square footage throughout. Primary and additional 2 bedroom on second floor and 1 additional bedroom on the main level. Recent improvements include a newly built deck and a brand-new privacy fence in the front yard, offering added curb appeal and outdoor enjoyment.

  7. 2026-03-01
    historical $150,000 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    Charming 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom home located in Kansas City Northeast, South of the River. Originally built in 1890, this property blends historic character with modern updates. Home now features four extremely spacious bedrooms with generous square footage throughout. Primary and additional 2 bedroom on second floor and 1 additional bedroom on the main level. Recent improvements include a newly built deck and a brand-new privacy fence in the front yard, offering added curb appeal and outdoor enjoyment.

  8. 2020-01-14
    soldstatus
  9. 2019-08-26
    historical
  10. 2019-07-29
    status Active
  11. 2019-07-25
    status Pending
  12. 2019-07-10
    listed $52,000 Active
  13. 2019-04-18
    historical
  14. 2019-03-22
    status Pending
  15. 2019-02-11
    price $52,000
  16. 2019-01-11
    listed $55,000 Active
  17. 2013-08-20
    soldstatus
  18. 2012-03-12
    historical
  19. 2011-10-07
    listed $19,500
  20. 2011-05-02
    soldstatus
  21. 2011-04-24
    soldstatus
  22. 2010-11-09
    listed $9,500
  23. 2010-10-18
    soldstatus
  24. 2010-09-01
    listed $8,000
  25. 2010-06-09
    historical
  26. 2010-05-12
    listed $13,800
  27. 2008-10-20
    soldstatus
  28. 2007-07-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$843 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,310 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$466/yr (+$39/mo · 55.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,161
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$843
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,533
− Management
−$1,533
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$3,087
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$741
After-tax cash flow
$4,382/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
10,925
Household income
$46,241
Rent vs Own
52.6% rent · 47.4% own
Severe rent burden
541.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 43% White 30% Black 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Hispanic 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 35% Vietnamese 2% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.95%
Current HPI
358.4244
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+878.3% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $135,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $145,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $150,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-01 Coming Soon $150,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-08-26 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-29 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-25 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-10 Listed $52,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-18 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-03-22 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-11 Price Changed $52,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-01-11 Listed $55,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-08-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-03-12 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-10-07 Listed $19,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-05-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-04-24 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-09 Listed $9,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-10-18 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-01 Listed $8,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-06-09 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-05-12 Listed $13,800 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-10-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-07-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $843 · -35.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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