205 Pineknoll Ct · Stonecrest, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2,120 sq. ft. split-foyer residence in the established Twin Pines community offers a spacious and versatile floor plan on a 0.053-acre cul-de-sac lot. The upper level features an open living and dining area with vaulted ceilings and a focal-point fireplace, flowing into an updated kitchen with tile flooring and included appliances. The primary suite serves as a private retreat with an ensuite bath, accompanied by two additional well-proportioned bedrooms. The lower level adds significant value with a fourth bedroom, laundry closet, half bath and a large family room. Exterior amenities include a two-car attached garage and a rear deck perfect for outdoor activities overlooking the expansive, level backyard. Conveniently located near Fairview Road shopping and I-675, this home combines generous living space with a quiet suburban setting in the Henry County school district
Key facts
- Large family room
- Primary suite
- Ensuite bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $230k).
- Recommended offer: $209k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.1% in Stonecrest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 244 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $139k; list at $230k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.02%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $303,056
- List price
- $229,900
- Delta
- -24.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1305 Austin Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 2,276 (+8%) | 1mo | $284,000 | $125 | 69 |
| 963 Blackberry Ct | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,100 (-0%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $81 | 61 |
| 30 Court S | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 2,020 (-4%) | 11mo | $280,500 | $139 | 60 |
| 353 Chateauguay Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 2,284 (+8%) | 14mo | $310,000 | $136 | 59 |
| 384 Chateauguay Dr | 0.17mi | 3/3.0 | 2,332 (+11%) | 16mo | $325,000 | $139 | 57 |
| 907 Strawberry Ct | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,937 (-8%) | 5mo | $272,000 | $140 | 52 |
| 107 S Circle Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,188 (+4%) | 6mo | $249,000 | $114 | 48 |
| 1101 Strawberry Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,924 (-9%) | 19mo | $257,500 | $134 | 43 |
| 1027 Strawberry Ln | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,969 (-6%) | 14mo | $305,000 | $155 | 42 |
| 1098 Strawberry Ln | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,812 (-14%) | 22mo | $333,000 | $184 | 33 |
| 1015 Strawberry Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,827 (-13%) | 17mo | $256,000 | $140 | 30 |
| 320 Church Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,838 (-13%) | 23mo | $340,000 | $185 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-12,660
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $32,479
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30294
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 244
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,479 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$334 /mo · $4,007/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 Wilhelmina Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $4,900 | $3.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 65 Juliana Dr Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $5,200 | $2.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 135 Stratmore Pl Stockbridge, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2791 | $2,705 | $0.97 | 18d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4910 Brookstone Pkwy Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1728 | $1,995 | $1.15 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 118 Gabion Loop Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2564 | $2,500 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3971 Brookstone Ct Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1891 | $2,256 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 103 Parkview Dr Stockbridge, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2265 | $2,460 | $1.09 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $229,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricestatusdays on market $229,900 Price Change 102 DOM
-
2026-06-10status $239,900 Back On Market 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,900 Active Under Contract 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active Under Contract 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,900 Active Under Contract 96 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $239,900 Active Under Contract 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,900 Active Under Contract 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,900 Active Under Contract 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Active Under Contract 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active Under Contract 89 DOM
-
2026-05-19historical Active Under Contract 887-char remark
Show marketing remark (887 chars)
This 2,120 sq. ft. split-foyer residence in the established Twin Pines community offers a spacious and versatile floor plan on a 0.053-acre cul-de-sac lot. The upper level features an open living and dining area with vaulted ceilings and a focal-point fireplace, flowing into an updated kitchen with tile flooring and included appliances. The primary suite serves as a private retreat with an ensuite bath, accompanied by two additional well-proportioned bedrooms. The lower level adds significant value with a fourth bedroom, laundry closet, half bath and a large family room. Exterior amenities include a two-car attached garage and a rear deck perfect for outdoor activities overlooking the expansive, level backyard. Conveniently located near Fairview Road shopping and I-675, this home combines generous living space with a quiet suburban setting in the Henry County school district
-
2026-05-09price $239,900 887-char remark
Show marketing remark (887 chars)
This 2,120 sq. ft. split-foyer residence in the established Twin Pines community offers a spacious and versatile floor plan on a 0.053-acre cul-de-sac lot. The upper level features an open living and dining area with vaulted ceilings and a focal-point fireplace, flowing into an updated kitchen with tile flooring and included appliances. The primary suite serves as a private retreat with an ensuite bath, accompanied by two additional well-proportioned bedrooms. The lower level adds significant value with a fourth bedroom, laundry closet, half bath and a large family room. Exterior amenities include a two-car attached garage and a rear deck perfect for outdoor activities overlooking the expansive, level backyard. Conveniently located near Fairview Road shopping and I-675, this home combines generous living space with a quiet suburban setting in the Henry County school district
-
2026-04-17price $244,900 887-char remark
Show marketing remark (887 chars)
This 2,120 sq. ft. split-foyer residence in the established Twin Pines community offers a spacious and versatile floor plan on a 0.053-acre cul-de-sac lot. The upper level features an open living and dining area with vaulted ceilings and a focal-point fireplace, flowing into an updated kitchen with tile flooring and included appliances. The primary suite serves as a private retreat with an ensuite bath, accompanied by two additional well-proportioned bedrooms. The lower level adds significant value with a fourth bedroom, laundry closet, half bath and a large family room. Exterior amenities include a two-car attached garage and a rear deck perfect for outdoor activities overlooking the expansive, level backyard. Conveniently located near Fairview Road shopping and I-675, this home combines generous living space with a quiet suburban setting in the Henry County school district
-
2026-04-10price $249,900 887-char remark
Show marketing remark (887 chars)
This 2,120 sq. ft. split-foyer residence in the established Twin Pines community offers a spacious and versatile floor plan on a 0.053-acre cul-de-sac lot. The upper level features an open living and dining area with vaulted ceilings and a focal-point fireplace, flowing into an updated kitchen with tile flooring and included appliances. The primary suite serves as a private retreat with an ensuite bath, accompanied by two additional well-proportioned bedrooms. The lower level adds significant value with a fourth bedroom, laundry closet, half bath and a large family room. Exterior amenities include a two-car attached garage and a rear deck perfect for outdoor activities overlooking the expansive, level backyard. Conveniently located near Fairview Road shopping and I-675, this home combines generous living space with a quiet suburban setting in the Henry County school district
-
2026-03-17status Back On Market 887-char remark
Show marketing remark (887 chars)
This 2,120 sq. ft. split-foyer residence in the established Twin Pines community offers a spacious and versatile floor plan on a 0.053-acre cul-de-sac lot. The upper level features an open living and dining area with vaulted ceilings and a focal-point fireplace, flowing into an updated kitchen with tile flooring and included appliances. The primary suite serves as a private retreat with an ensuite bath, accompanied by two additional well-proportioned bedrooms. The lower level adds significant value with a fourth bedroom, laundry closet, half bath and a large family room. Exterior amenities include a two-car attached garage and a rear deck perfect for outdoor activities overlooking the expansive, level backyard. Conveniently located near Fairview Road shopping and I-675, this home combines generous living space with a quiet suburban setting in the Henry County school district
-
2026-03-10status Under Contract 887-char remark
Show marketing remark (887 chars)
This 2,120 sq. ft. split-foyer residence in the established Twin Pines community offers a spacious and versatile floor plan on a 0.053-acre cul-de-sac lot. The upper level features an open living and dining area with vaulted ceilings and a focal-point fireplace, flowing into an updated kitchen with tile flooring and included appliances. The primary suite serves as a private retreat with an ensuite bath, accompanied by two additional well-proportioned bedrooms. The lower level adds significant value with a fourth bedroom, laundry closet, half bath and a large family room. Exterior amenities include a two-car attached garage and a rear deck perfect for outdoor activities overlooking the expansive, level backyard. Conveniently located near Fairview Road shopping and I-675, this home combines generous living space with a quiet suburban setting in the Henry County school district
-
2026-02-24$259,900 New 887-char remark
Show marketing remark (887 chars)
This 2,120 sq. ft. split-foyer residence in the established Twin Pines community offers a spacious and versatile floor plan on a 0.053-acre cul-de-sac lot. The upper level features an open living and dining area with vaulted ceilings and a focal-point fireplace, flowing into an updated kitchen with tile flooring and included appliances. The primary suite serves as a private retreat with an ensuite bath, accompanied by two additional well-proportioned bedrooms. The lower level adds significant value with a fourth bedroom, laundry closet, half bath and a large family room. Exterior amenities include a two-car attached garage and a rear deck perfect for outdoor activities overlooking the expansive, level backyard. Conveniently located near Fairview Road shopping and I-675, this home combines generous living space with a quiet suburban setting in the Henry County school district
-
2003-03-10soldstatus $139,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,007 · $334/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,007 · $334/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$4,007
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,380
- − Management
- −$2,380
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable income
- $266
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$64
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,813/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 1302820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,594
- Composite
- 26.13/100
- National rank
- #7279
- State rank
- #89 of 174 in GA
Livability — Stonecrest
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- City population
- 106,165
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,983
- Household income
- $79,762
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 864.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,041 people
- By 2030
- 264,369 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 294,459 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 322,249 · +29.4%
- By 2075
- 392,310 · +57.5%
- By 2100
- 437,836 · +75.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% White 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.99%
- Current HPI
- 213.1999
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+72.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $239,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $244,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $249,900 GAMLS
- 2026-03-17 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-03-10 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $259,900 GAMLS
- 2003-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,007 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…